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Lugo vs AD Merida prediction & odds

Lugo

19:45

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 19:45

AD Merida

Odds 1X2

1Lugo2.21XDraw3.402AD Merida3.20

Estadio Anxo Carro

LugovsAD Merida

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Segunda B
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 19:45 EET
Stadium: Estadio Anxo Carro
Capacity: 8,168
City: Lugo

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Lugo43%2.21

Draw28%3.40

AD Merida30%3.20

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 5.9%

Lugo2.2143%Draw3.4028%AD Merida3.2030%

Total goals 2.5margin 6.6%

Over 2.52.0845%Under 2.51.7155%

Asian handicapmargin 5.5%

Lugo -0.251.9150%AD Merida +0.251.8850%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

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Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

2Lugo wins

0Draws

0AD Merida wins

Last matches: Lugo

23.10.26Segunda BR. UnionLugo41L
17.10.26Segunda BLugoDep. Fabril30W
12.10.26Segunda BLugoUD Logrones31W
02.10.26Segunda BReal AvilesLugo12W
26.09.26Segunda BLugoRacing Club Ferrol10W

Last matches: AD Merida

25.10.26Segunda BAD MeridaCD Coria00D
18.10.26Segunda BArenas GetxoAD Merida04W
11.10.26Segunda BPontevedraAD Merida12W
04.10.26Segunda BAD MeridaCacereno20W
27.09.26Segunda BAD MeridaUD Logrones35L

Head-to-head matches

03.05.26Segunda BAD MeridaLugo02W
03.01.26Segunda BLugoAD Merida10W

1.50Avg goals0%Both scored0%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Lugo vs AD Merida: head-to-head record

2 meetings since 2026: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

2Lugo wins

0Draws

0AD Merida wins

3:0Goals (Lugo : AD Merida)

1.50Goals per match

0%BTTS

50%Over 1.5

0%Over 2.5

0%Over 3.5

Lugo at home: 1-0-01:0 goals in 1 games
AD Merida at home: 0-0-10:2 goals in 1 games
Lugo's biggest win: 0–2AD Merida 0–2 Lugo, 3 May 2026

Meetings (2 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
3 May 2026	Segunda B	AD Merida	0–2	Lugo
3 Jan 2026	Segunda B	Lugo	1–0	AD Merida

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Lugo4W 0D 1L · goals 10–6

L23.10Segunda BAR. Union1–4
W17.10Segunda BHDep. Fabril3–0
W12.10Segunda BHUD Logrones3–1
W02.10Segunda BAReal Aviles2–1
W26.09Segunda BHRacing Club Ferrol1–0

AD Merida3W 1D 1L · goals 11–6

D25.10Segunda BHCD Coria0–0
W18.10Segunda BAArenas Getxo4–0
W11.10Segunda BAPontevedra2–1
W04.10Segunda BHCacereno2–0
L27.09Segunda BHUD Logrones3–5

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

LugoAD Merida

1.7Goals scored per game1.7

0.8Goals conceded per game1.3

50%Both teams scored40%

60%Over 2.5 goals50%

5Clean sheets4

10%Failed to score30%

5-0-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-0-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Segunda B: Group 1

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lugo	9	+8	22	LWWWW
2	UD Logrones	9	+8	20	WDLWW
8	R. Union	9	+5	13	WDDDL
9	AD Merida	9	+3	13	DWWWL
10	Ponferradina	9	0	13	DDLWD

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About this match

Lugo vs AD Merida preview

Segunda B fixture: Lugo welcome AD Merida on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 (19:45 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

LugoLWWWW10 scored · 6 conceded

AD MeridaDWWWL11 scored · 6 conceded

Key facts · last 5

LugoAD Merida

1.7Goals scored per game1.7

0.8Goals conceded per game1.3

50%Both teams scored40%

60%Over 2.5 goals50%

5Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

2Lugo wins

0Draws

0AD Merida wins

2 meetings · 1.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 0%

What's at stake

Lugo1st22 pts · 9 played

AD Merida9th13 pts · 9 played

Lugo lead by 9 pts

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Estadio Anxo Carro.

The best available prices are 2.21 on Lugo, 3.40 on the draw and 3.20 on AD Merida, which is roughly 43%, 28% and 30% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Recent form over the last 5: Lugo LWWWW (goals 10–6), AD Merida DWWWL (goals 11–6).

Both teams scored in 50% of Lugo's recent games and 40% of AD Merida's; over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 50% respectively.

Per game, Lugo average 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (clean sheets: 5), AD Merida 1.7 and 1.3 (clean sheets: 4).

Across 2 head-to-head games the record reads 2–0–0 (wins–draws–losses) from Lugo's side.

Those 2 games averaged 1.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

The last meeting (2026-05-03) ended AD Merida 0–2 Lugo.

Lugo sit 1st on 22 pts after 9 games, AD Merida 9th on 13 pts.

Nito explains: Lugo vs AD Merida

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Lugo vs AD Merida mean?

The best prices are 2.21 for a Lugo win, 3.40 for a draw and 3.20 for a AD Merida win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.21 returns 22.10 if Lugo win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 5.9% removed) that is 43% Lugo, 28% draw and 30% AD Merida.

How often do Lugo and AD Merida matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Lugo's last 10 matches and 40% of AD Merida's last 10. In their 2 recorded meetings it was 0%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Lugo reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, AD Merida in 50% of their last 10. Their 2 meetings averaged 1.5 goals (0% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LWWWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Lugo, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (10 scored, 6 conceded). AD Merida, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (11 scored, 6 conceded).

Where do Lugo and AD Merida stand in the table?

Lugo are 1st with 22 points from 9 games. AD Merida are 9th with 13 points from 9 games. The gap between them is 9 points.

Lugo vs AD Merida: questions & answers

Who will win Lugo vs AD Merida?

Bookmaker odds imply Lugo 43%, draw 28%, AD Merida 30%.

Will both teams score in Lugo vs AD Merida?

Both teams scored in 0% of their 2 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Lugo's matches and 40% of AD Merida's.

What are the odds for Lugo vs AD Merida?

Odds: Lugo 2.21, draw 3.40, AD Merida 3.20.

When is the Lugo vs AD Merida kick-off?

Lugo vs AD Merida kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 19:45 (GMT+2) at Estadio Anxo Carro.

What is the head-to-head record between Lugo and AD Merida?

2 meetings: Lugo 2 wins, 0 draws, AD Merida 0 wins. Those 2 games averaged 1.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

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Lugo vs AD Merida prediction & odds

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Our picks for this match

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