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AEK Athens vs Real Madrid prediction & odds

AEK Athens

19:45

Kick-off Wed 4 Nov, 19:45

Real Madrid

Odds 1X2

1AEK Athens8.81XDraw6.402Real Madrid1.30

OPAP Arena

AEK AthensvsReal Madrid

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: UEFA Champions League
Kick-off: Wed 4 Nov 19:45 EET
Stadium: OPAP Arena
Capacity: 33,000
City: Athína (Athens)

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

AEK Athens11%8.81

Draw15%6.40

Real Madrid74%1.30

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.9%

AEK Athens8.8111%Draw6.4015%Real Madrid1.3074%

Double chance

AEK Athens or Draw3.13AEK Athens or Real Madrid1.10Draw or Real Madrid1.06

Total goals 2.5margin 6.3%

Over 2.51.3172%Under 2.53.3428%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.9%

AEK Athens +1.751.8452%Real Madrid -1.751.9848%

1st-half resultmargin 6.1%

AEK Athens7.4013%Draw3.1330%Real Madrid1.6557%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

AEK Athens1.9450%Real Madrid1.9450%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

0AEK Athens wins

2Draws

0Real Madrid wins

Last matches: AEK Athens

28.10.26Greek CupPAOKAEK Athens31L
24.10.26Super League GreeceAEK AthensPanetolikos50W
20.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueManchester CityAEK Athens51L
14.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueShakhtar DonetskAEK Athens31L
10.10.26Super League GreeceAEK AthensOFI Crete30W

Last matches: Real Madrid

International Champions CupReal MadridArsenal22D
25.10.26La LigaBarcelonaReal Madrid12W
21.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueReal MadridRB Leipzig41W
18.10.26La LigaReal MadridSevilla41W
14.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueAS RomaReal Madrid34W

Head-to-head matches

21.10.02UEFA Champions LeagueReal MadridAEK Athens22D
01.10.02UEFA Champions LeagueAEK AthensReal Madrid33D

5.00Avg goals100%Both scored100%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

AEK Athens vs Real Madrid: head-to-head record

2 meetings since 2002: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

0AEK Athens wins

2Draws

0Real Madrid wins

5:5Goals (AEK Athens : Real Madrid)

5.00Goals per match

100%BTTS

100%Over 1.5

100%Over 2.5

100%Over 3.5

AEK Athens at home: 0-1-03:3 goals in 1 games
Real Madrid at home: 0-1-02:2 goals in 1 games

Meetings (2 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
21 Oct 2002	UEFA Champions League	Real Madrid	2–2	AEK Athens
1 Oct 2002	UEFA Champions League	AEK Athens	3–3	Real Madrid

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

AEK Athens2W 0D 3L · goals 11–11

L28.10Greek CupAPAOK1–3
W24.10Super League GreeceHPanetolikos5–0
L20.10UEFA Champions LeagueAManchester City1–5
L14.10UEFA Champions LeagueAShakhtar Donetsk1–3
W10.10Super League GreeceHOFI Crete3–0

Real Madrid4W 1D 0L · goals 16–8

D01.01International Champions CupHArsenal2–2
W25.10La LigaABarcelona2–1
W21.10UEFA Champions LeagueHRB Leipzig4–1
W18.10La LigaHSevilla4–1
W14.10UEFA Champions LeagueAAS Roma4–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

AEK AthensReal Madrid

2.8Goals scored per game2.7

1.4Goals conceded per game1.4

60%Both teams scored90%

80%Over 2.5 goals90%

4Clean sheets1

0%Failed to score0%

5-0-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-0-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

AEK AthensReal Madrid

Super League 2026/2027 · 5 gamesLa Liga 2026/2027 · 7 games

2.6Goals scored2.6

0.6Goals conceded1.1

3.8Corners6.9

17.2Shots18.9

61%Possession52%

1.8Yellow cards1.7

40%Clean sheets14%

0%Failed to score14%

2-0-0Home / away record (W-D-L)2-0-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · UEFA Champions League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
3	Liverpool	3	+5	9	WWW
4	Real Madrid	3	+5	9	WWW
5	Betis	3	+3	9	WWW
28	Bodo/Glimt	3	-5	3	LWL
29	AEK Athens	3	-5	3	LLW
30	RB Leipzig	3	-5	3	LWL

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About this match

AEK Athens vs Real Madrid preview

UEFA Champions League fixture: AEK Athens welcome Real Madrid on Wed, 4 Nov 2026 (19:45 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

AEK AthensLWLLW11 scored · 11 conceded

Real MadridDWWWW16 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

AEK AthensReal Madrid

2.8Goals scored per game2.7

1.4Goals conceded per game1.4

60%Both teams scored90%

80%Over 2.5 goals90%

4Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

0AEK Athens wins

2Draws

0Real Madrid wins

2 meetings · 5.0 goals per game · both teams scored in 100%

What's at stake

AEK Athens29th3 pts · 3 played

Real Madrid4th9 pts · 3 played

Real Madrid lead by 6 pts

Read the full match preview

The game is played at OPAP Arena.

The best available prices are 8.81 on AEK Athens, 6.40 on the draw and 1.30 on Real Madrid, which is roughly 11%, 15% and 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Recent form over the last 5: AEK Athens LWLLW (goals 11–11), Real Madrid DWWWW (goals 16–8).

Both teams scored in 60% of AEK Athens's recent games and 90% of Real Madrid's; over 2.5 goals landed in 80% and 90% respectively.

Per game, AEK Athens average 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (clean sheets: 4), Real Madrid 2.7 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 1).

Across 2 head-to-head games the record reads 0–2–0 (wins–draws–losses) from AEK Athens's side.

Those 2 games averaged 5.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

The last meeting (2002-10-21) ended Real Madrid 2–2 AEK Athens.

AEK Athens sit 29th on 3 pts after 3 games, Real Madrid 4th on 9 pts.

Nito explains: AEK Athens vs Real Madrid

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for AEK Athens vs Real Madrid mean?

The best prices are 8.81 for a AEK Athens win, 6.40 for a draw and 1.30 for a Real Madrid win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 8.81 returns 88.10 if AEK Athens win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.9% removed) that is 11% AEK Athens, 15% draw and 74% Real Madrid.

How often do AEK Athens and Real Madrid matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of AEK Athens's last 10 matches and 90% of Real Madrid's last 10. In their 2 recorded meetings it was 100%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. AEK Athens reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Real Madrid in 90% of their last 10. Their 2 meetings averaged 5.0 goals (100% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LWLLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. AEK Athens, last 5: 2 W · 0 D · 3 L (11 scored, 11 conceded). Real Madrid, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (16 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do AEK Athens and Real Madrid stand in the table?

AEK Athens are 29th with 3 points from 3 games. Real Madrid are 4th with 9 points from 3 games. The gap between them is 6 points.

AEK Athens vs Real Madrid: questions & answers

Who will win AEK Athens vs Real Madrid?

Bookmaker odds imply AEK Athens 11%, draw 15%, Real Madrid 74%.

Will both teams score in AEK Athens vs Real Madrid?

Both teams scored in 100% of their 2 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of AEK Athens's matches and 90% of Real Madrid's.

What are the odds for AEK Athens vs Real Madrid?

Odds: AEK Athens 8.81, draw 6.40, Real Madrid 1.30.

When is the AEK Athens vs Real Madrid kick-off?

AEK Athens vs Real Madrid kicks off on Wed, 4 Nov 2026 at 19:45 (GMT+2) at OPAP Arena.

What is the head-to-head record between AEK Athens and Real Madrid?

2 meetings: AEK Athens 0 wins, 2 draws, Real Madrid 0 wins. Those 2 games averaged 5.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

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AEK Athens vs Real Madrid prediction & odds

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Match information

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All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

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