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Krasava vs AEK Larnaca prediction & odds

Krasava

16:00
Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 16:00

AEK Larnaca

Odds 1X2
1Krasava6.60XDraw4.402AEK Larnaca1.45Nito’s pick
KrasavavsAEK LarnacaNito’s pick1.45

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)AEK Larnaca
1.45

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 78% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Cyprus League
Kick-off

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)AEK Larnaca78%Confidence1.45Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.45 means bookmakers give it 69%; Nito's confidence is 78% (+9 pts)

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 78% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)AEK LarnacaHigh confidence
Confidence78%
Indicative price1.45

We rate AEK Larnaca to win at 78% — the price of 1.45 implies only 69%.

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5High confidence
Confidence65%
Indicative price1.73

We rate Over 2.5 goals at 65% — the price of 1.73 implies only 58%.

Asian handicap +1.25AEK Larnaca -1.25
Confidence62%
Indicative price1.88

We rate Asian handicap: AEK Larnaca -1.25 at 62% — the price of 1.88 implies only 53%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Krasava14%6.60
Draw21%4.40
AEK Larnaca65%1.45

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 6.8%
Krasava6.6014%Draw4.4021%AEK Larnaca1.4565%
1st-half resultmargin 9.3%
Krasava6.4814%Draw2.3838%AEK Larnaca1.9347%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Comments

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About this match

Krasava vs AEK Larnaca preview

Cyprus League fixture: Krasava welcome AEK Larnaca on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 (16:00 kick-off).