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AEL Larissa vs OFI Crete result, stats & H2H

AEL Larissa

1–0

OFI Crete

N. Nitsos 52′

28/10/2026 19:30 · AEL Arena

AEL Larissa1–0OFI Crete

Key events

Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

Key events

1st half0 - 0

2nd half1 - 0

46′N. Athanasiou

46′T. Nuss

50′T. Nuss

1-0N. Nitsos52′

58′P. Kenourgiakis

C. Lelekas60′

G. Konstantakopoulos61′

A. Tsingaras61′

61′T. Fountas

S. Risvanis67′

A. Dabizas67′

74′A. Androutsos

E. Sakic78′

78′A. Cantalapiedra

G. Konstantakopoulos90′

N. Melissas90′

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

1.93Won

66%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Greek Cup
Kick-off: Wed 28 Oct 19:30 EET
Stadium: AEL Arena
Capacity: 16,118
City: Larissa

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.566%Confidence1.93won

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.93 means bookmakers give it 52%; Nito's confidence is 66% (+14 pts)
3+ goals in 30% of AEL Larissa's last 5 and 60% of OFI Crete's
Goals per game in the last 5: AEL Larissa matches 2.1, OFI Crete matches 3.0
Their 24 meetings average 2.5 goals; both teams scored in 50%

Best price 1.93 means bookmakers give it 52%; Nito's confidence is 66% (+14 pts)

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)OFI Crete

Confidence62%

Price2.39Lost

OFI Crete to win: our confidence is 62%, 20 points above the 42% the best price of 2.39 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence

Confidence66%

Price1.93Won

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 66%, 14 points above the 52% the best price of 1.93 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

9AEL Larissa wins

8Draws

7OFI Crete wins

Last matches: AEL Larissa

24.10.26Super League 2Athens KallitheaAEL Larissa11D
18.10.26Super League 2AEL LarissaPanserraikos00D
11.10.26Super League 2MarkoAEL Larissa10L
03.10.26Super League 2Niki VolosAEL Larissa22D
27.09.26Super League 2AEL LarissaPAOK B10W

Last matches: OFI Crete

25.10.26Super League GreeceOFI CretePAOK21W
22.10.26Europa LeagueOFI CreteBayer Leverkusen02L
18.10.26Super League GreeceKalamataOFI Crete43L
15.10.26Europa LeagueRennesOFI Crete21L
10.10.26Super League GreeceAEK AthensOFI Crete30L

Head-to-head matches

28.10.26Greek CupAEL LarissaOFI Crete10W
28.02.26Super League GreeceOFI CreteAEL Larissa30L
24.11.25Super League GreeceAEL LarissaOFI Crete12L
24.04.21Super LeagueAEL LarissaOFI Crete01L
06.03.21Super LeagueOFI CreteAEL Larissa23W
12.12.20Super LeagueAEL LarissaOFI Crete01L

2.54Avg goals50%Both scored46%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

AEL Larissa vs OFI Crete: head-to-head record

24 meetings since 1994: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

9AEL Larissa wins

8Draws

7OFI Crete wins

31:30Goals (AEL Larissa : OFI Crete)

2.54Goals per match

50%BTTS

54%Over 1.5

46%Over 2.5

29%Over 3.5

AEL Larissa at home: 6-2-522:20 goals in 13 games
OFI Crete at home: 2-6-310:9 goals in 11 games
AEL Larissa's biggest win: 5–1AEL Larissa 5–1 OFI Crete, 16 Mar 2008
OFI Crete's biggest win: 2–6AEL Larissa 2–6 OFI Crete, 16 Sept 1995

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
28 Oct 2026	Greek Cup	AEL Larissa	1–0	OFI Crete
28 Feb 2026	Super League Greece	OFI Crete	3–0	AEL Larissa
24 Nov 2025	Super League Greece	AEL Larissa	1–2	OFI Crete
24 Apr 2021	Super League	AEL Larissa	0–1	OFI Crete
6 Mar 2021	Super League	OFI Crete	2–3	AEL Larissa
12 Dec 2020	Super League	AEL Larissa	0–1	OFI Crete
1 Feb 2020	Super League	OFI Crete	0–0	AEL Larissa
3 Nov 2019	Super League	AEL Larissa	3–2	OFI Crete
3 Mar 2019	Super League	OFI Crete	0–0	AEL Larissa
27 Oct 2018	Super League	AEL Larissa	0–0	OFI Crete
31 Jan 2009	Super League	OFI Crete	1–2	AEL Larissa
4 Oct 2008	Super League	AEL Larissa	4–3	OFI Crete
16 Mar 2008	Super League	AEL Larissa	5–1	OFI Crete
2 Dec 2007	Super League	OFI Crete	0–0	AEL Larissa
4 Mar 2007	Super League	AEL Larissa	1–2	OFI Crete
10 Jan 2007	Cup	AEL Larissa	3–1	OFI Crete
20 Dec 2006	Cup	OFI Crete	1–1	AEL Larissa
3 Nov 2006	Super League	OFI Crete	0–0	AEL Larissa
25 Feb 2006	Super League	AEL Larissa	1–0	OFI Crete
15 Oct 2005	Super League	OFI Crete	3–2	AEL Larissa

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

AEL Larissa1W 3D 1L · goals 4–4

D24.10Super League 2AAthens Kallithea1–1
D18.10Super League 2HPanserraikos0–0
L11.10Super League 2AMarko0–1
D03.10Super League 2ANiki Volos2–2
W27.09Super League 2HPAOK B1–0

OFI Crete1W 0D 4L · goals 6–12

W25.10Super League GreeceHPAOK2–1
L22.10Europa LeagueHBayer Leverkusen0–2
L18.10Super League GreeceAKalamata3–4
L15.10Europa LeagueARennes1–2
L10.10Super League GreeceAAEK Athens0–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

AEL LarissaOFI Crete

1.1Goals scored per game1.6

1.0Goals conceded per game1.4

40%Both teams scored40%

30%Over 2.5 goals60%

4Clean sheets4

30%Failed to score20%

2-2-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-0-3

Match stats

Team and player statistics from the match feed

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Cup: Regular season

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	Kalamata	3	+2	5	WDD
7	OFI Crete	3	+2	4	LWD
8	Asteras Tripolis	3	+1	4	LWD
10	Aris	3	0	4	LWD
11	AEL Larissa	3	-3	4	WDL
12	Niki Volos	3	-3	3	WLL

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About this match

AEL Larissa vs OFI Crete preview

Final score in the Greek Cup on Wed, 28 Oct 2026: AEL Larissa 1–0 OFI Crete.

Form · last 5 matches

AEL LarissaDDLDW4 scored · 4 conceded

OFI CreteWLLLL6 scored · 12 conceded

Key facts · last 5

AEL LarissaOFI Crete

1.1Goals scored per game1.6

1.0Goals conceded per game1.4

40%Both teams scored40%

30%Over 2.5 goals60%

4Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

9AEL Larissa wins

8Draws

7OFI Crete wins

24 meetings · 2.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

League table

AEL Larissa11th4 pts · 3 played

OFI Crete7th4 pts · 3 played

Level on points

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.566%Confidence1.93won

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Our top pick, Under 2.5 goals at 1.93 (66% confidence), won.

Our other picks were OFI Crete to win (62%, 2.39).

AEL Larissa come into the game with DDLDW in their last 5 (4 scored, 4 conceded), while OFI Crete have WLLLL (6 scored, 12 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 30% of AEL Larissa's recent games and 60% of OFI Crete's, with both teams scoring in 40% and 40%.

Per game, AEL Larissa average 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (clean sheets: 4), OFI Crete 1.6 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 4).

Head-to-head over 24 previous meetings: AEL Larissa 9 wins, OFI Crete 7 wins, draws 8.

Those 24 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

In the table, AEL Larissa are 11th (4 pts from 3 games) and OFI Crete are 7th (4 pts from 3).

Nito explains: AEL Larissa vs OFI Crete

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

How often do AEL Larissa and OFI Crete matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of AEL Larissa's last 10 matches and 40% of OFI Crete's last 10. In their 24 recorded meetings it was 50%. In this match it did not (AEL Larissa 1-0 OFI Crete).

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. AEL Larissa reached that in 30% of their last 10 matches, OFI Crete in 60% of their last 10. Their 24 meetings averaged 2.5 goals (46% over 2.5). This match had 1 goals: under.

What does the form guide DDLDW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. AEL Larissa, last 5: 1 W · 3 D · 1 L (4 scored, 4 conceded). OFI Crete, last 5: 1 W · 0 D · 4 L (6 scored, 12 conceded).

Where do AEL Larissa and OFI Crete stand in the table?

AEL Larissa are 11th with 4 points from 3 games. OFI Crete are 7th with 4 points from 3 games. They are level on points.

AEL Larissa vs OFI Crete: questions & answers

Who won AEL Larissa vs OFI Crete?

AEL Larissa won 1–0.

Did both teams score in AEL Larissa vs OFI Crete?

No, the match finished 1–0.

When was AEL Larissa vs OFI Crete played?

AEL Larissa vs OFI Crete was played on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 at 19:30 (GMT+2) at AEL Arena.

What is the head-to-head record between AEL Larissa and OFI Crete?

24 meetings: AEL Larissa 9 wins, 8 draws, OFI Crete 7 wins. Those 24 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Other Greek Cup matches on 28 Oct

All Greek Cup fixtures

AEL Larissa vs OFI Crete result, stats & H2H

AEL Larissa

OFI Crete

Key events

Key events

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match