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Southport vs AFC Telford prediction & odds

Southport

17:00
Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 17:00

AFC Telford

Odds 1X2
1Southport3.00XDraw3.452AFC Telford2.29
SouthportvsAFC TelfordNito’s pick1.84

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
1.84

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
National League North
Kick-off

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence1.84Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.84 means bookmakers give it 54%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+6 pts)
  • 3+ goals in 30% of Southport's last 5 and 50% of AFC Telford's
  • Goals per game in the last 5: Southport matches 2.3, AFC Telford matches 2.2
  • Their 26 meetings average 2.6 goals; both teams scored in 46%

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Southport31%3.00
Draw27%3.45
AFC Telford41%2.29

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 6.0%
Southport3.0031%Draw3.4527%AFC Telford2.2941%
Total goals 2.5margin 5.1%
Over 2.51.9748%Under 2.51.8452%
Asian handicapmargin 4.6%
Southport +0.251.8352%AFC Telford -0.252.0048%
More markets (1)
1st-half resultmargin 9.1%
Southport3.4926%Draw2.1842%AFC Telford2.8932%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

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About this match

Southport vs AFC Telford preview

Southport host AFC Telford in the National League North on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.