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Tobol vs Aktobe prediction & odds

Tobol

12:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 12:00

Aktobe

Odds 1X2

1Tobol2.07XDraw3.452Aktobe3.05

Ortalyq stadıon

TobolvsAktobe

Nito’s pick1.76

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Aktobe

1.76

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Premier League
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 12:00 EET
Stadium: Ortalyq stadıon
Capacity: 8,432
City: Kostanai / Kustanay (Kostanay)

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Aktobe60%Confidence1.76Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.76 means bookmakers give it 57%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+3 pts)
Aktobe won 2 of their last 5 (goals 10–9); Tobol won 3 (goals 11–7)
In the table Aktobe are 5th with 46 pts, Tobol 7th with 41 pts
In 50 meetings Aktobe won 19, Tobol won 20, 11 were drawn

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or Aktobe

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.76

Double chance: Draw or Aktobe: our confidence is 60%, 3 points above the 57% the best price of 1.76 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.13

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 60%, 13 points above the 47% the best price of 2.13 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Tobol44%2.07

Draw26%3.45

Aktobe30%3.05

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 10.1%

Tobol2.0744%Draw3.4526%Aktobe3.0530%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

20Tobol wins

11Draws

19Aktobe wins

Last matches: Tobol

24.10.26Premier LeagueZhetysu TaldykorganTobol11D
17.10.26Premier LeagueTobolZhenis42W
10.10.26Premier LeagueTobolFC Astana21W
17.09.26Premier LeagueTobolYelimay Semey02L
13.09.26Premier LeagueKairat AlmatyTobol14W

Last matches: Aktobe

25.10.26Premier LeagueAktobeKairat Almaty22D
17.10.26Premier LeagueAktobeOrdabasy13L
10.10.26Premier LeagueYelimay SemeyAktobe13W
18.09.26Premier LeagueAktobeUlytau22D
12.09.26Premier LeagueKaspij AktauAktobe12W

Head-to-head matches

07.03.26Premier LeagueAktobeTobol41L
20.07.25Premier LeagueAktobeTobol00D
19.04.25Premier LeagueTobolAktobe20W
22.09.24Premier LeagueTobolAktobe30W
30.06.24Premier LeagueAktobeTobol34W
20.08.23Premier LeagueAktobeTobol11D

2.56Avg goals56%Both scored50%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Tobol vs Aktobe: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 2003: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

20Tobol wins

11Draws

19Aktobe wins

62:66Goals (Tobol : Aktobe)

2.56Goals per match

56%BTTS

70%Over 1.5

50%Over 2.5

22%Over 3.5

Tobol at home: 12-5-632:25 goals in 23 games
Aktobe at home: 13-6-841:30 goals in 27 games
Tobol's biggest win: 3–0Tobol 3–0 Aktobe, 22 Sept 2024
Aktobe's biggest win: 4–1Aktobe 4–1 Tobol, 7 Mar 2026

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
7 Mar 2026	Premier League	Aktobe	4–1	Tobol
20 Jul 2025	Premier League	Aktobe	0–0	Tobol
19 Apr 2025	Premier League	Tobol	2–0	Aktobe
22 Sept 2024	Premier League	Tobol	3–0	Aktobe
30 Jun 2024	Premier League	Aktobe	3–4	Tobol
20 Aug 2023	Premier League	Aktobe	1–1	Tobol
23 Apr 2023	Premier League	Tobol	2–2	Aktobe
15 Oct 2022	Premier League	Tobol	1–0	Aktobe
14 May 2022	Premier League	Aktobe	2–1	Tobol
29 May 2021	Premier League	Tobol	2–1	Aktobe
20 Mar 2021	Premier League	Aktobe	1–1	Tobol
10 Nov 2019	Premier League	Tobol	2–1	Aktobe
15 Jun 2019	Premier League	Aktobe	0–1	Tobol
6 Apr 2019	Premier League	Tobol	2–1	Aktobe
22 Sept 2018	Premier League	Aktobe	3–1	Tobol
23 Jun 2018	Premier League	Tobol	2–3	Aktobe
14 Apr 2018	Premier League	Aktobe	0–1	Tobol
20 Sept 2017	Premier League	Aktobe	1–0	Tobol
14 May 2017	Premier League	Aktobe	1–3	Tobol
12 Mar 2017	Premier League	Tobol	0–0	Aktobe

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Tobol3W 1D 1L · goals 11–7

D24.10Premier LeagueAZhetysu Taldykorgan1–1
W17.10Premier LeagueHZhenis4–2
W10.10Premier LeagueHFC Astana2–1
L17.09Premier LeagueHYelimay Semey0–2
W13.09Premier LeagueAKairat Almaty4–1

Aktobe2W 2D 1L · goals 10–9

D25.10Premier LeagueHKairat Almaty2–2
L17.10Premier LeagueHOrdabasy1–3
W10.10Premier LeagueAYelimay Semey3–1
D18.09Premier LeagueHUlytau2–2
W12.09Premier LeagueAKaspij Aktau2–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

TobolAktobe

2.0Goals scored per game1.6

1.3Goals conceded per game1.6

70%Both teams scored90%

60%Over 2.5 goals80%

1Clean sheets1

20%Failed to score0%

4-0-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-1-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Premier League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
4	Okzhetpes	29	+8	51	WWLWL
5	Aktobe	29	+7	46	DLWDW
6	Yelimay Semey	29	+2	45	DWWLW
7	Tobol	29	+1	41	DWWLW
8	Ulytau	29	-8	35	LLWDL

Comments

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About this match

Tobol vs Aktobe preview

Premier League fixture: Tobol welcome Aktobe on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 (12:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

TobolDWWLW11 scored · 7 conceded

AktobeDLWDW10 scored · 9 conceded

Key facts · last 5

TobolAktobe

2.0Goals scored per game1.6

1.3Goals conceded per game1.6

70%Both teams scored90%

60%Over 2.5 goals80%

1Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

20Tobol wins

11Draws

19Aktobe wins

50 meetings · 2.6 goals per game · both teams scored in 56%

What's at stake

Tobol7th41 pts · 29 played

Aktobe5th46 pts · 29 played

Aktobe lead by 5 pts

Our pick

Double chanceDraw or Aktobe60%Confidence1.76Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Ortalyq stadıon hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Tobol the favourite at 2.07 (44% implied), with the draw at 3.45 (26%).

The selection we rate highest is Double chance: Draw or Aktobe: 60% confidence, priced at 1.76.

We also have Under 2.5 goals (60%, 2.13).

Tobol come into the game with DWWLW in their last 5 (11 scored, 7 conceded), while Aktobe have DLWDW (10 scored, 9 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 60% of Tobol's recent games and 80% of Aktobe's, with both teams scoring in 70% and 90%.

Per game, Tobol average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Aktobe 1.6 and 1.6 (clean sheets: 1).

Head-to-head over 50 previous meetings: Tobol 20 wins, Aktobe 19 wins, draws 11.

Those 50 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.

The last meeting (2026-03-07) ended Aktobe 4–1 Tobol.

In the table, Tobol are 7th (41 pts from 29 games) and Aktobe are 5th (46 pts from 29).

Nito explains: Tobol vs Aktobe

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Tobol vs Aktobe mean?

The best prices are 2.07 for a Tobol win, 3.45 for a draw and 3.05 for a Aktobe win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.07 returns 20.70 if Tobol win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 10.1% removed) that is 44% Tobol, 26% draw and 30% Aktobe.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Aktobe" mean?

It wins if Aktobe win or draw; it loses only if Tobol win. At 1.76, the price implies a 57% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Tobol and Aktobe matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Tobol's last 10 matches and 90% of Aktobe's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 56%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Tobol reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Aktobe in 80% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.6 goals (50% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DWWLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Tobol, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (11 scored, 7 conceded). Aktobe, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (10 scored, 9 conceded).

Where do Tobol and Aktobe stand in the table?

Tobol are 7th with 41 points from 29 games. Aktobe are 5th with 46 points from 29 games. The gap between them is 5 points.

Tobol vs Aktobe: questions & answers

Who will win Tobol vs Aktobe?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Aktobe with 60% confidence (best price 1.76). Bookmaker odds imply Tobol 44%, draw 26%, Aktobe 30%.

Will both teams score in Tobol vs Aktobe?

Both teams scored in 56% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Tobol's matches and 90% of Aktobe's.

What are the odds for Tobol vs Aktobe?

Odds: Tobol 2.07, draw 3.45, Aktobe 3.05. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Aktobe is available at 1.76.

When is the Tobol vs Aktobe kick-off?

Tobol vs Aktobe kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 12:00 (GMT+2) at Ortalyq stadıon.

What is the head-to-head record between Tobol and Aktobe?

50 meetings: Tobol 20 wins, 11 draws, Aktobe 19 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.

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Tobol vs Aktobe prediction & odds

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Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds