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Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC prediction & odds

Al Shabab

20:00

Kick-off Fri 30 Oct, 20:00

Al Ahli SC

Odds 1X2

1Al Shabab3.43XDraw3.402Al Ahli SC1.72Nito’s pick

Al ShababvsAl Ahli SC

Nito’s pick1.72

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Al Ahli SC

1.72

60%Confidence

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Saudi Professional League
Kick-off: Fri 30 Oct 20:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Al Ahli SC60%Confidence1.72Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.72 means bookmakers give it 58%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+2 pts)
Al Ahli SC won 5 of their last 5 (goals 16–5); Al Shabab won 2 (goals 9–5)
In the table Al Ahli SC are 5th with 21 pts, Al Shabab 12th with 11 pts
In 27 meetings Al Ahli SC won 10, Al Shabab won 7, 10 were drawn

Best price 1.72 means bookmakers give it 58%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+2 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Al Shabab25%3.43

Draw25%3.40

Al Ahli SC50%1.72

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 16.7%

Al Shabab3.4325%Draw3.4025%Al Ahli SC1.7250%

Double chance

Al Shabab or Draw2.02Al Shabab or Al Ahli SC1.15Draw or Al Ahli SC1.14

1st-half resultmargin 17.1%

Al Shabab3.3925%Draw2.3437%Al Ahli SC2.2338%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%

Al Shabab1.9250%Al Ahli SC1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

7Al Shabab wins

10Draws

10Al Ahli SC wins

Last matches: Al Shabab

22.10.26Saudi Pro LeagueAl FatehAl Shabab13W
19.10.26Saudi Pro LeagueAl ShababAl-Faisaly22D
11.10.26Saudi Pro LeagueAl ShababAl Taawon30W
12.09.26Saudi Pro LeagueAl ShababAl Feiha00D
09.09.26Saudi Pro LeagueAl KholoodAl Shabab21L

Last matches: Al Ahli SC

26.10.26AFC Champions LeagueAl Ahli SCAl-Gharafa21W
23.10.26Saudi Pro LeagueAl Ahli SCAl Khaleej41W
19.10.26Saudi Pro LeagueAl FeihaAl Ahli SC23W
12.10.26AFC Champions LeagueAl WaslAl Ahli SC13W
09.10.26Saudi Pro LeagueAl FatehAl Ahli SC04W

Head-to-head matches

13.02.26Saudi Pro LeagueAl ShababAl Ahli SC25L
17.10.25Saudi Pro LeagueAl Ahli SCAl Shabab11D
11.05.25Saudi Professional LeagueAl ShababAl Ahli SC31W
10.01.25Saudi Professional LeagueAl Ahli SCAl Shabab32L
11.05.24Saudi Professional LeagueAl ShababAl Ahli SC12L
25.11.23Saudi Professional LeagueAl Ahli SCAl Shabab00D

3.15Avg goals67%Both scored56%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC: head-to-head record

27 meetings since 2012: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

7Al Shabab wins

10Draws

10Al Ahli SC wins

38:47Goals (Al Shabab : Al Ahli SC)

3.15Goals per match

67%BTTS

74%Over 1.5

56%Over 2.5

48%Over 3.5

Al Shabab at home: 5-3-521:25 goals in 13 games
Al Ahli SC at home: 5-7-222:17 goals in 14 games
Al Shabab's biggest win: 3–0Al Shabab 3–0 Al Ahli SC, 22 Feb 2021
Al Ahli SC's biggest win: 0–4Al Shabab 0–4 Al Ahli SC, 5 Apr 2019

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
13 Feb 2026	Saudi Pro League	Al Shabab	2–5	Al Ahli SC
17 Oct 2025	Saudi Pro League	Al Ahli SC	1–1	Al Shabab
11 May 2025	Saudi Professional League	Al Shabab	3–1	Al Ahli SC
10 Jan 2025	Saudi Professional League	Al Ahli SC	3–2	Al Shabab
11 May 2024	Saudi Professional League	Al Shabab	1–2	Al Ahli SC
25 Nov 2023	Saudi Professional League	Al Ahli SC	0–0	Al Shabab
27 Jun 2022	Saudi Professional League	Al Shabab	0–0	Al Ahli SC
1 Jan 2022	Saudi Professional League	Al Ahli SC	3–4	Al Shabab
22 Feb 2021	Saudi Professional League	Al Shabab	3–0	Al Ahli SC
23 Nov 2020	Saudi Professional League	Al Ahli SC	2–2	Al Shabab
30 Aug 2020	Saudi Professional League	Al Ahli SC	1–1	Al Shabab
28 Dec 2019	Saudi Professional League	Al Shabab	1–0	Al Ahli SC
5 Apr 2019	Saudi Professional League	Al Shabab	0–4	Al Ahli SC
15 Dec 2018	Saudi Professional League	Al Ahli SC	0–1	Al Shabab
30 Jan 2018	Saudi Professional League	Al Ahli SC	3–2	Al Shabab
14 Oct 2017	Saudi Professional League	Al Shabab	2–5	Al Ahli SC
27 Jan 2017	Saudi Professional League	Al Ahli SC	3–1	Al Shabab
18 Sept 2016	Saudi Professional League	Al Shabab	3–2	Al Ahli SC
6 Mar 2016	Saudi Professional League	Al Ahli SC	3–1	Al Shabab
3 Nov 2015	Saudi Professional League	Al Shabab	1–1	Al Ahli SC

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Al Shabab2W 2D 1L · goals 9–5

W22.10Saudi Pro LeagueAAl Fateh3–1
D19.10Saudi Pro LeagueHAl-Faisaly2–2
W11.10Saudi Pro LeagueHAl Taawon3–0
D12.09Saudi Pro LeagueHAl Feiha0–0
L09.09Saudi Pro LeagueAAl Kholood1–2

Al Ahli SC5W 0D 0L · goals 16–5

W26.10AFC Champions LeagueHAl-Gharafa2–1
W23.10Saudi Pro LeagueHAl Khaleej4–1
W19.10Saudi Pro LeagueAAl Feiha3–2
W12.10AFC Champions LeagueAAl Wasl

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Al ShababAl Ahli SC

1.5Goals scored per game2.8

1.4Goals conceded per game1.2

60%Both teams scored80%

60%Over 2.5 goals90%

3Clean sheets2

30%Failed to score0%

1-3-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-0-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Saudi Professional League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
4	Al Ittihad	10	+10	23	WWLWW
5	Al Ahli SC	10	+14	21	WWWWL
6	Neom SC	11	+7	19	WLLDW
11	Al Riyadh	11	-14	12	LWLDW
12	Al Shabab	10	0	11	WDWDL
13	Al Hazem	12	-6

About this match

Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC preview

Al Shabab host Al Ahli SC in the Saudi Professional League on Fri, 30 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 20:00.

Form · last 5 matches

Al ShababWDWDL9 scored · 5 conceded

Al Ahli SCWWWWW16 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Al ShababAl Ahli SC

1.5Goals scored per game2.8

1.4Goals conceded per game1.2

60%Both teams scored80%

60%Over 2.5 goals90%

3Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

7Al Shabab wins

10Draws

10Al Ahli SC wins

27 meetings · 3.1 goals per game · both teams scored in 67%

What's at stake

Al Shabab12th11 pts · 10 played

Al Ahli SC5th21 pts · 10 played

Al Ahli SC lead by 10 pts

Our pick

Al Ahli SC to winAl Ahli SC60%Confidence1.72Price

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 3.43 on Al Shabab, 3.40 on the draw and 1.72 on Al Ahli SC, which is roughly 25%, 25% and 50% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Our strongest pick is Al Ahli SC to win with 60% confidence at a best price of 1.72.

Recent form over the last 5: Al Shabab WDWDL (goals 9–5), Al Ahli SC WWWWW (goals 16–5).

Both teams scored in 60% of Al Shabab's recent games and 80% of Al Ahli SC's; over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 90% respectively.

Per game, Al Shabab average 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Al Ahli SC 2.8 and 1.2 (clean sheets: 2).

Across 27 head-to-head games the record reads 7–10–10 (wins–draws–losses) from Al Shabab's side.

Those 27 games averaged 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

The last meeting (2026-02-13) ended Al Shabab 2–5 Al Ahli SC.

Al Shabab sit 12th on 11 pts after 10 games, Al Ahli SC 5th on 21 pts.

Nito explains: Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC mean?

The best prices are 3.43 for a Al Shabab win, 3.40 for a draw and 1.72 for a Al Ahli SC win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.43 returns 34.30 if Al Shabab win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 16.7% removed) that is 25% Al Shabab, 25% draw and 50% Al Ahli SC.

What does Nito's pick "Al Ahli SC to win" mean?

It wins only if Al Ahli SC win; a draw or a Al Shabab win loses. At 1.72, the price implies a 58% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Al Shabab and Al Ahli SC matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Al Shabab's last 10 matches and 80% of Al Ahli SC's last 10. In their 27 recorded meetings it was 67%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Al Shabab reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Al Ahli SC in 90% of their last 10. Their 27 meetings averaged 3.2 goals (56% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WDWDL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Al Shabab, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (9 scored, 5 conceded). Al Ahli SC, last 5: 5 W · 0 D · 0 L (16 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do Al Shabab and Al Ahli SC stand in the table?

Al Shabab are 12th with 11 points from 10 games. Al Ahli SC are 5th with 21 points from 10 games. The gap between them is 10 points.

Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC: questions & answers

Who will win Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC?

Our pick is Al Ahli SC to win with 60% confidence (best price 1.72). Bookmaker odds imply Al Shabab 25%, draw 25%, Al Ahli SC 50%.

Will both teams score in Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC?

Both teams scored in 67% of their 27 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Al Shabab's matches and 80% of Al Ahli SC's.

What are the odds for Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC?

Odds: Al Shabab 3.43, draw 3.40, Al Ahli SC 1.72. Our pick Al Ahli SC to win is available at 1.72.

When is the Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC kick-off?

Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC kicks off on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Al Shabab and Al Ahli SC?

27 meetings: Al Shabab 7 wins, 10 draws, Al Ahli SC 10 wins. Those 27 games averaged 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Other Saudi Professional League matches on 30 Oct

All Saudi Professional League fixtures

Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC prediction & odds

Al Shabab

Al Ahli SC

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds