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Al Sadd vs Shamal prediction & odds

Al Sadd

18:30

Kick-off Fri 30 Oct, 18:30

Shamal

Odds 1X2

1Al Sadd1.56Nito’s pickXDraw4.822Shamal4.90

Al SaddvsShamal

Nito’s pick1.56

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Al-Sadd

1.56

75%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Qsl
Kick-off: Fri 30 Oct 18:30 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Al-Sadd75%Confidence1.56Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.56 means bookmakers give it 64%; Nito's confidence is 75% (+11 pts)
Al Sadd won 1 of their last 5 (goals 9–9); Shamal won 1 (goals 5–8)
In the table Al Sadd are 2nd with 15 pts, Shamal 6th with 9 pts
In 27 meetings Al Sadd won 21, Shamal won 4, 2 were drawn

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Al-SaddHigh confidence

Confidence75%

Indicative price1.56

We rate Al-Sadd to win at 75% — the price of 1.56 implies only 64%.

Asian handicap -1.25Al-Sadd -1.25High confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.96

Asian handicap: Al-Sadd -1.25: our confidence is 65%, 14 points above the 51% the best price of 1.96 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Al Sadd61%1.40

Draw20%4.22

Shamal19%4.60

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 5.3%

Al Sadd1.5661%Draw4.8220%Shamal4.9019%

Double chance

Al Sadd or Draw1.08Al Sadd or Shamal1.11Draw or Shamal2.40

1st-half resultmargin 5.8%

Al Sadd1.9548%Draw2.9432%Shamal4.8819%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%

Al Sadd1.9250%Shamal1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

21Al Sadd wins

2Draws

4Shamal wins

Last matches: Al Sadd

26.10.26AFC Champions LeagueAl QadisiyaAl Sadd11D
22.10.26Stars LeagueAl-ShahaniyaAl Sadd04W
18.10.26Stars LeagueAl SaddAl-Duhail23L
13.10.26AFC Champions LeagueAl SaddAl Hilal02L
09.10.26Stars LeagueAl SaddAl Arabi23L

Last matches: Shamal

27.10.26AFC Champions LeagueShamalAl Hilal31W
23.10.26Stars LeagueShamalQatar SC23L
17.10.26Stars LeagueLusailShamal00D
12.10.26AFC Champions LeagueTractorShamal00D
08.10.26Stars LeagueShamalAl-Duhail04L

Head-to-head matches

01.05.26Prince CupShamalAl Sadd46W
27.04.26Stars LeagueAl SaddShamal32W
29.12.25Stars LeagueShamalAl Sadd03W
12.01.25Stars LeagueAl SaddShamal10W
10.08.24Stars LeagueShamalAl Sadd21L
24.04.24Stars LeagueShamalAl Sadd04W

3.48Avg goals48%Both scored70%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Al Sadd vs Shamal: head-to-head record

27 meetings since 2004: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

21Al Sadd wins

2Draws

4Shamal wins

68:26Goals (Al Sadd : Shamal)

3.48Goals per match

48%BTTS

85%Over 1.5

70%Over 2.5

37%Over 3.5

Al Sadd at home: 11-0-336:14 goals in 14 games
Shamal at home: 1-2-1012:32 goals in 13 games
Al Sadd's biggest win: 7–2Al Sadd 7–2 Shamal, 26 Sept 2021
Shamal's biggest win: 0–3Al Sadd 0–3 Shamal, 21 Sept 2007

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
1 May 2026	Prince Cup	Shamal	4–6	Al Sadd
27 Apr 2026	Stars League	Al Sadd	3–2	Shamal
29 Dec 2025	Stars League	Shamal	0–3	Al Sadd
12 Jan 2025	Stars League	Al Sadd	1–0	Shamal
10 Aug 2024	Stars League	Shamal	2–1	Al Sadd
24 Apr 2024	Stars League	Shamal	0–4	Al Sadd
1 Dec 2023	Stars League	Al Sadd	4–0	Shamal
17 Mar 2023	Stars League	Shamal	1–3	Al Sadd
6 Sept 2022	Stars League	Al Sadd	1–2	Shamal
18 Jan 2022	Stars League	Shamal	1–5	Al Sadd
26 Sept 2021	Stars League	Al Sadd	7–2	Shamal
16 Apr 2015	Stars League	Al Sadd	2–0	Shamal
10 Dec 2014	Stars League	Shamal	2–2	Al Sadd
30 Jan 2010	Stars League	Al Sadd	5–1	Shamal
4 Oct 2009	Stars League	Shamal	0–2	Al Sadd
16 Feb 2008	Stars League	Al Sadd	2–0	Shamal
30 Nov 2007	Stars League	Shamal	1–2	Al Sadd
21 Sept 2007	Stars League	Al Sadd	0–3	Shamal
8 Feb 2007	Stars League	Shamal	0–1	Al Sadd
9 Nov 2006	Stars League	Shamal	0–1	Al Sadd

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Al Sadd1W 1D 3L · goals 9–9

D26.10AFC Champions LeagueAAl Qadisiya1–1
W22.10Stars LeagueAAl-Shahaniya4–0
L18.10Stars LeagueHAl-Duhail2–3
L13.10AFC Champions LeagueHAl Hilal0–2
L09.10Stars LeagueHAl Arabi2–3

Shamal1W 2D 2L · goals 5–8

W27.10AFC Champions LeagueHAl Hilal3–1
L23.10Stars LeagueHQatar SC2–3
D17.10Stars LeagueALusail0–0
D12.10AFC Champions LeagueATractor0–0
L08.10Stars LeagueHAl-Duhail0–4

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Al SaddShamal

2.7Goals scored per game1.7

1.9Goals conceded per game1.3

70%Both teams scored60%

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

1Clean sheets3

20%Failed to score30%

2-0-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-2-0

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Al SaddShamal

Stars League 2025/2026 · 12 gamesStars League 2025/2026 · 14 games

3.1Goals scored1.4

1.6Goals conceded1.6

5.5Corners5.5

16.8Shots15.8

56%Possession52%

2.3Yellow cards2.6

17%Clean sheets36%

0%Failed to score29%

3-0-1Home / away record (W-D-L)4-0-3

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Stars League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Al Rayyan	7	+13	17	WDWWD
2	Al Sadd	7	+14	15	WLLWW
3	Al Duhail	7	+9	15	WWWDD
5	Al Wakrah	7	0	11	WWWDL
6	Shamal	7	-1	9	LDLDW
7	Al Ahli Doha	7	-2	8	DLWLW

Comments

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About this match

Al Sadd vs Shamal preview

Qsl fixture: Al Sadd welcome Shamal on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 (18:30 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

Al SaddDWLLL9 scored · 9 conceded

ShamalWLDDL5 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Al SaddShamal

2.7Goals scored per game1.7

1.9Goals conceded per game1.3

70%Both teams scored60%

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

1Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

21Al Sadd wins

2Draws

4Shamal wins

27 meetings · 3.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 48%

What's at stake

Al Sadd2nd15 pts · 7 played

Shamal6th9 pts · 7 played

Al Sadd lead by 6 pts

Our pick

Al-Sadd to winAl-Sadd75%Confidence1.56Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 1.40 on Al Sadd, 4.22 on the draw and 4.60 on Shamal, which is roughly 61%, 20% and 19% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

The selection we rate highest is Al-Sadd to win: 75% confidence, priced at 1.56.

We also have Asian handicap: Al-Sadd -1.25 (65%, 1.96).

Recent form over the last 5: Al Sadd DWLLL (goals 9–9), Shamal WLDDL (goals 5–8).

Both teams scored in 70% of Al Sadd's recent games and 60% of Shamal's; over 2.5 goals landed in 80% and 60% respectively.

Per game, Al Sadd average 2.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Shamal 1.7 and 1.3 (clean sheets: 3).

Across 27 head-to-head games the record reads 21–2–4 (wins–draws–losses) from Al Sadd's side.

Those 27 games averaged 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.

The last meeting (2026-05-01) ended Shamal 4–6 Al Sadd.

Al Sadd sit 2nd on 15 pts after 7 games, Shamal 6th on 9 pts.

Nito explains: Al Sadd vs Shamal

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Al Sadd vs Shamal mean?

The best prices are 1.40 for a Al Sadd win, 4.22 for a draw and 4.60 for a Shamal win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.40 returns 14.00 if Al Sadd win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 16.9% removed) that is 61% Al Sadd, 20% draw and 19% Shamal.

What does Nito's pick "Al-Sadd to win" mean?

It wins only if Al Sadd win; a draw or a Shamal win loses. At 1.56, the price implies a 64% chance; Nito's data rates it at 75%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Al Sadd and Shamal matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Al Sadd's last 10 matches and 60% of Shamal's last 10. In their 27 recorded meetings it was 48%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Al Sadd reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Shamal in 60% of their last 10. Their 27 meetings averaged 3.5 goals (70% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DWLLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Al Sadd, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (9 scored, 9 conceded). Shamal, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (5 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do Al Sadd and Shamal stand in the table?

Al Sadd are 2nd with 15 points from 7 games. Shamal are 6th with 9 points from 7 games. The gap between them is 6 points.

Al Sadd vs Shamal: questions & answers

Who will win Al Sadd vs Shamal?

Our pick is Al-Sadd to win with 75% confidence (best price 1.56). Bookmaker odds imply Al Sadd 61%, draw 20%, Shamal 19%.

Will both teams score in Al Sadd vs Shamal?

Both teams scored in 48% of their 27 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Al Sadd's matches and 60% of Shamal's.

What are the odds for Al Sadd vs Shamal?

Odds: Al Sadd 1.40, draw 4.22, Shamal 4.60. Our pick Al-Sadd to win is available at 1.56.

When is the Al Sadd vs Shamal kick-off?

Al Sadd vs Shamal kicks off on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Al Sadd and Shamal?

27 meetings: Al Sadd 21 wins, 2 draws, Shamal 4 wins. Those 27 games averaged 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.

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Al Sadd vs Shamal prediction & odds

Al Sadd

Shamal

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds