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Albirex Niigata vs Toyama prediction & odds

Albirex Niigata

07:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 07:00

Toyama

Odds 1X2

1Albirex Niigata3.62XDraw3.942Toyama1.98Nito’s pick

Albirex NiigatavsToyama

Nito’s pick1.98

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Toyama

1.98

60%Confidence

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: J2 League
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 07:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Toyama60%Confidence1.98Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.98 means bookmakers give it 51%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+9 pts)
Toyama won 2 of their last 5 (goals 7–4); Albirex Niigata won 3 (goals 8–9)
In the table Toyama are 3rd with 22 pts, Albirex Niigata 2nd with 26 pts
In 3 meetings Toyama won 2, Albirex Niigata won 0, 1 were drawn

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Albirex Niigata27%3.17

Draw27%3.23

Toyama46%1.91

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.5%

Albirex Niigata3.6227%Draw3.9425%Toyama1.9849%

Double chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw1.88Albirex Niigata or Toyama1.20Draw or Toyama1.20

1st-half resultmargin 6.0%

Albirex Niigata4.0723%Draw2.4738%Toyama2.4439%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Albirex Niigata1.9450%Toyama1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

0Albirex Niigata wins

1Draws

2Toyama wins

Last matches: Albirex Niigata

25.10.26J2-LeagueAlbirex NiigataVegalta Sendai21W
21.10.26J2-LeagueAlbirex NiigataSagan21W
17.10.26J2-LeagueOitaAlbirex Niigata51L
11.10.26J2-LeagueShonanAlbirex Niigata11D
03.10.26J2-LeagueAlbirex NiigataTokushima21W

Last matches: Toyama

25.10.26J2-LeagueToyamaHokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Albirex Niigata vs Toyama: head-to-head record

3 meetings since 2023: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

0Albirex Niigata wins

1Draws

2Toyama wins

4:7Goals (Albirex Niigata : Toyama)

3.67Goals per match

67%BTTS

100%Over 1.5

67%Over 2.5

67%Over 3.5

Albirex Niigata at home: 0-0-12:3 goals in 1 games
Toyama at home: 1-1-04:2 goals in 2 games
Toyama's biggest win: 2–0Toyama 2–0 Albirex Niigata, 29 Apr 2026

Meetings (3 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
29 Apr 2026	J2-League	Toyama	2–0	Albirex Niigata
20 Mar 2026	J2-League	Albirex Niigata	2–3

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Albirex Niigata3W 1D 1L · goals 8–9

W25.10J2-LeagueHVegalta Sendai2–1
W21.10J2-LeagueHSagan2–1
L17.10J2-LeagueAOita1–5
D11.10J2-LeagueAShonan1–1
W03.10J2-LeagueHTokushima2–1

Toyama2W 2D 1L · goals 7–4

L25.10J2-LeagueHHokkaido Consadole Sapporo0–1
W21.10J2-LeagueAOmiya Ardija3–0
D17.10J2-LeagueHShonan1–1
D11.10J2-LeagueHTegevajaro Miyazaki

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Albirex NiigataToyama

1.3Goals scored per game1.5

1.8Goals conceded per game1.0

70%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

1Clean sheets4

20%Failed to score20%

5-0-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)4-0-0

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · J2 League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Vegalta Sendai	13	+11	27	LWDWW
2	Albirex Niigata	13	-2	26	WWLDW
3	Toyama	13	+11	22	LWDDW
4	Yokohama FC	13	+9	22	DWDLW

About this match

Albirex Niigata vs Toyama preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 07:00, Albirex Niigata take on Toyama in the J2 League.

Form · last 5 matches

Albirex NiigataWWLDW8 scored · 9 conceded

ToyamaLWDDW7 scored · 4 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Albirex NiigataToyama

1.3Goals scored per game1.5

1.8Goals conceded per game1.0

70%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

1Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

0Albirex Niigata wins

1Draws

2Toyama wins

3 meetings · 3.7 goals per game · both teams scored in 67%

What's at stake

Albirex Niigata2nd26 pts · 13 played

Nito explains: Albirex Niigata vs Toyama

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Albirex Niigata vs Toyama mean?

The best prices are 3.17 for a Albirex Niigata win, 3.23 for a draw and 1.91 for a Toyama win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.17 returns 31.70 if Albirex Niigata win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 14.9% removed) that is 27% Albirex Niigata, 27% draw and 46% Toyama.

What does Nito's pick "Toyama to win" mean?

It wins only if Toyama win; a draw or a Albirex Niigata win loses. At 1.98, the price implies a 51% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Albirex Niigata and Toyama matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Albirex Niigata's last 10 matches and 50% of Toyama's last 10. In their 3 recorded meetings it was 67%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Albirex Niigata reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Toyama in 40% of their last 10. Their 3 meetings averaged 3.7 goals (67% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWLDW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Albirex Niigata, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (8 scored, 9 conceded). Toyama, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (7 scored, 4 conceded).

Where do Albirex Niigata and Toyama stand in the table?

Albirex Niigata are 2nd with 26 points from 13 games. Toyama are 3rd with 22 points from 13 games. The gap between them is 4 points.

Albirex Niigata vs Toyama: questions & answers

Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Toyama?

Our pick is Toyama to win with 60% confidence (best price 1.98). Bookmaker odds imply Albirex Niigata 27%, draw 27%, Toyama 46%.

Will both teams score in Albirex Niigata vs Toyama?

Both teams scored in 67% of their 3 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Albirex Niigata's matches and 50% of Toyama's.

What are the odds for Albirex Niigata vs Toyama?

Odds: Albirex Niigata 3.17, draw 3.23, Toyama 1.91. Our pick Toyama to win is available at 1.98.

When is the Albirex Niigata vs Toyama kick-off?

Albirex Niigata vs Toyama kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 07:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Albirex Niigata and Toyama?

3 meetings: Albirex Niigata 0 wins, 1 draws, Toyama 2 wins. Those 3 games averaged 3.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Albirex Niigata vs Toyama prediction & odds

Albirex Niigata

Toyama

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds