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Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction & odds

Liverpool

18:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 18:30

Arsenal

Odds 1X2

1Liverpool3.00XDraw3.502Arsenal2.48

Anfield

LiverpoolvsArsenal

Nito’s pick1.83

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Asian handicap +0.25Liverpool +0.25

1.83

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Premier League
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 18:30 EET
Stadium: Anfield
Capacity: 61,276
City: Liverpool

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Asian handicap +0.25Liverpool +0.2560%Confidence1.83Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.83 means bookmakers give it 55%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+5 pts)
Liverpool won 4 of their last 5 (goals 15–8); Arsenal won 2 (goals 8–5)
In the table Liverpool are 4th with 15 pts, Arsenal 2nd with 21 pts
In 49 meetings Liverpool won 16, Arsenal won 11, 22 were drawn

Best price 1.83 means bookmakers give it 55%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+5 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Liverpool32%3.00

Draw28%3.50

Arsenal40%2.42

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.2%

Liverpool3.0033%Draw3.5028%Arsenal2.4839%

Double chance

Liverpool or Draw1.59Liverpool or Arsenal1.25Draw or Arsenal1.35

Total goals 2.5margin 2.9%

Over 2.51.8852%Under 2.52.0148%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 2.8%

Liverpool 02.1346%Arsenal 01.7954%

1st-half resultmargin 4.0%

Liverpool3.5627%Draw2.3241%Arsenal3.0532%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Liverpool1.9749%Arsenal1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

16Liverpool wins

22Draws

11Arsenal wins

Last matches: Liverpool

28.10.26EFL CupLiverpoolChelsea11D
25.10.26Premier LeagueLiverpoolBrighton20W
20.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueLiverpoolVillarreal43W
17.10.26Premier LeagueBrentfordLiverpool12W
14.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueLASKLiverpool36W

Last matches: Arsenal

International Champions CupReal MadridArsenal22D
27.10.26EFL CupFleetwoodArsenal11D
24.10.26Premier LeagueArsenalEverton20W
21.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueBayern MunichArsenal22D
18.10.26Premier LeagueNottinghamArsenal01W

Head-to-head matches

08.01.26Premier LeagueArsenalLiverpool00D
31.08.25Premier LeagueLiverpoolArsenal10W
11.05.25Premier LeagueLiverpoolArsenal22D
27.10.24Premier LeagueArsenalLiverpool22D
04.02.24Premier LeagueArsenalLiverpool31L
07.01.24FA CupArsenalLiverpool02W

3.35Avg goals69%Both scored57%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Liverpool vs Arsenal: head-to-head record

49 meetings since 2007: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

16Liverpool wins

22Draws

11Arsenal wins

94:70Goals (Liverpool : Arsenal)

3.35Goals per match

69%BTTS

88%Over 1.5

57%Over 2.5

45%Over 3.5

Liverpool at home: 10-11-359:35 goals in 24 games
Arsenal at home: 8-11-635:35 goals in 25 games
Liverpool's biggest win: 4–0Liverpool 4–0 Arsenal, 20 Nov 2021
Arsenal's biggest win: 4–1Arsenal 4–1 Liverpool, 4 Apr 2015

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
8 Jan 2026	Premier League	Arsenal	0–0	Liverpool
31 Aug 2025	Premier League	Liverpool	1–0	Arsenal
11 May 2025	Premier League	Liverpool	2–2	Arsenal
27 Oct 2024	Premier League	Arsenal	2–2	Liverpool
4 Feb 2024	Premier League	Arsenal	3–1	Liverpool
7 Jan 2024	FA Cup	Arsenal	0–2	Liverpool
23 Dec 2023	Premier League	Liverpool	1–1	Arsenal
9 Apr 2023	Premier League	Liverpool	2–2	Arsenal
9 Oct 2022	Premier League	Arsenal	3–2	Liverpool
16 Mar 2022	Premier League	Arsenal	0–2	Liverpool
20 Jan 2022	Carling Cup	Arsenal	0–2	Liverpool
13 Jan 2022	Carling Cup	Liverpool	0–0	Arsenal
20 Nov 2021	Premier League	Liverpool	4–0	Arsenal
3 Apr 2021	Premier League	Arsenal	0–3	Liverpool
1 Oct 2020	Carling Cup	Liverpool	0–0	Arsenal
28 Sept 2020	Premier League	Liverpool	3–1	Arsenal
29 Aug 2020	Community Shield	Arsenal	1–1	Liverpool
15 Jul 2020	Premier League	Arsenal	2–1	Liverpool
30 Oct 2019	Carling Cup	Liverpool	5–5	Arsenal
24 Aug 2019	Premier League	Liverpool	3–1	Arsenal

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Liverpool4W 1D 0L · goals 15–8

D28.10EFL CupHChelsea1–1
W25.10Premier LeagueHBrighton2–0
W20.10UEFA Champions LeagueHVillarreal4–3
W17.10Premier LeagueABrentford2–1
W14.10UEFA Champions LeagueALASK6–3

Arsenal2W 3D 0L · goals 8–5

D01.01International Champions CupAReal Madrid2–2
D27.10EFL CupAFleetwood1–1
W24.10Premier LeagueHEverton2–0
D21.10UEFA Champions LeagueABayern Munich

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

LiverpoolArsenal

2.1Goals scored per game1.9

1.3Goals conceded per game1.1

60%Both teams scored50%

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets4

20%Failed to score10%

4-2-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-3-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

LiverpoolArsenal

Premier League 2026/2027 · 6 gamesPremier League 2026/2027 · 5 games

1.2Goals scored1.6

1.2Goals conceded0.8

4.2Corners5.0

14.8Shots13.0

55%Possession59%

2.5Yellow cards1.4

50%Clean sheets60%

33%Failed to score20%

0-2-1Home / away record (W-D-L)2-0-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Premier League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Manchester City	8	+11	21	LWWWW
2	Arsenal	8	+8	21	WWWLW
3	Brighton	8	+16	16	LWWWW
4	Liverpool	8	+3	15	WWLWD
5	Chelsea	8	+2	13	LWWLD

Comments

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About this match

Liverpool vs Arsenal preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 18:30, Liverpool take on Arsenal in the Premier League.

Form · last 5 matches

LiverpoolDWWWW15 scored · 8 conceded

ArsenalDDWDW8 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

LiverpoolArsenal

2.1Goals scored per game1.9

1.3Goals conceded per game1.1

60%Both teams scored50%

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

16Liverpool wins

22Draws

11Arsenal wins

49 meetings · 3.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 69%

What's at stake

Liverpool4th15 pts · 8 played

Arsenal2nd21 pts · 8 played

Arsenal lead by 6 pts

Our pick

Asian handicapLiverpool +0.2560%Confidence1.83Price

Read the full match preview

Anfield hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Arsenal the favourite at 2.42 (40% implied), with the draw at 3.50 (28%).

Our strongest pick is Asian handicap: Liverpool +0.25 with 60% confidence at a best price of 1.83.

Liverpool come into the game with DWWWW in their last 5 (15 scored, 8 conceded), while Arsenal have DDWDW (8 scored, 5 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 60% of Liverpool's recent games and 60% of Arsenal's, with both teams scoring in 60% and 50%.

Per game, Liverpool average 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Arsenal 1.9 and 1.1 (clean sheets: 4).

Head-to-head over 49 previous meetings: Liverpool 16 wins, Arsenal 11 wins, draws 22.

Those 49 games averaged 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 69% of them.

The last meeting (2026-01-08) ended Arsenal 0–0 Liverpool.

In the table, Liverpool are 4th (15 pts from 8 games) and Arsenal are 2nd (21 pts from 8).

Nito explains: Liverpool vs Arsenal

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Liverpool vs Arsenal mean?

The best prices are 3.00 for a Liverpool win, 3.50 for a draw and 2.42 for a Arsenal win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.00 returns 30.00 if Liverpool win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.2% removed) that is 32% Liverpool, 28% draw and 40% Arsenal.

What does Nito's pick "Asian handicap: Liverpool +0.25" mean?

Asian handicap: +0.25 goals are added to Liverpool's final score, and the bet wins if Liverpool are still ahead after that. A quarter line splits the stake over the two nearest lines. At 1.83, the price implies a 55% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Liverpool and Arsenal matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Liverpool's last 10 matches and 50% of Arsenal's last 10. In their 49 recorded meetings it was 69%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Liverpool reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Arsenal in 60% of their last 10. Their 49 meetings averaged 3.4 goals (57% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DWWWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Liverpool, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (15 scored, 8 conceded). Arsenal, last 5: 2 W · 3 D · 0 L (8 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do Liverpool and Arsenal stand in the table?

Liverpool are 4th with 15 points from 8 games. Arsenal are 2nd with 21 points from 8 games. The gap between them is 6 points.

Liverpool vs Arsenal: questions & answers

Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Our pick is Asian handicap: Liverpool +0.25 with 60% confidence (best price 1.83). Bookmaker odds imply Liverpool 32%, draw 28%, Arsenal 40%.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Both teams scored in 69% of their 49 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Liverpool's matches and 50% of Arsenal's.

What are the odds for Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Odds: Liverpool 3.00, draw 3.50, Arsenal 2.42. Our pick Asian handicap: Liverpool +0.25 is available at 1.83.

When is the Liverpool vs Arsenal kick-off?

Liverpool vs Arsenal kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 18:30 (GMT+2) at Anfield.

What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Arsenal?

49 meetings: Liverpool 16 wins, 22 draws, Arsenal 11 wins. Those 49 games averaged 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 69% of them.

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Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction & odds

Liverpool

Arsenal

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds