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PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis prediction & odds

PAOK

19:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 19:00

Asteras Tripolis

Odds 1X2

1PAOK1.28XDraw4.722Asteras Tripolis6.86

Stadio Toumbas

PAOKvsAsteras Tripolis

Nito’s pick1.62

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5

1.62

65%Confidence

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Super League Greece
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 19:00 EET
Stadium: Stadio Toumbas
Capacity: 28,803
City: Thessaloníki

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Over 2.565%Confidence1.62Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.62 means bookmakers give it 62%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+3 pts)
3+ goals in 70% of PAOK's last 5 and 40% of Asteras Tripolis's
Goals per game in the last 5: PAOK matches 2.8, Asteras Tripolis matches 2.5
Their 50 meetings average 2.4 goals; both teams scored in 44%

Best price 1.62 means bookmakers give it 62%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+3 pts)

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

PAOK69%1.28

Draw19%4.72

Asteras Tripolis13%6.86

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 13.9%

PAOK1.2869%Draw4.7219%Asteras Tripolis6.8613%

Double chance

PAOK or Draw1.01PAOK or Asteras Tripolis1.08Draw or Asteras Tripolis2.99

1st-half resultmargin 17.0%

PAOK1.6751%Draw2.4635%Asteras Tripolis6.0914%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

PAOK1.9350%Asteras Tripolis1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

25PAOK wins

11Draws

14Asteras Tripolis wins

Last matches: PAOK

28.10.26Greek CupPAOKAEK Athens31W
25.10.26Super League GreeceOFI CretePAOK21L
18.10.26Super League GreecePAOKIraklis 190821W
12.10.26Super League GreecePAOKKalamata13L
20.09.26Super League GreecePanetolikosPAOK13W

Last matches: Asteras Tripolis

27.10.26Greek CupAsteras TripolisKifisia02L
24.10.26Super League GreeceAsteras TripolisLevadiakos00D
18.10.26Super League GreecePanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis51L
10.10.26Super League GreeceAsteras TripolisAtromitos21W
20.09.26Super League GreeceOFI CreteAsteras Tripolis22D

Head-to-head matches

01.03.26Super League GreecePAOKAsteras Tripolis20W
28.09.25Super League GreeceAsteras TripolisPAOK33D
02.03.25Super LeaguePAOKAsteras Tripolis20W
24.11.24Super LeagueAsteras TripolisPAOK12W
17.12.23Super LeagueAsteras TripolisPAOK14W
20.08.23Super LeaguePAOKAsteras Tripolis30W

2.36Avg goals44%Both scored42%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 2007: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

25PAOK wins

11Draws

14Asteras Tripolis wins

70:48Goals (PAOK : Asteras Tripolis)

2.36Goals per match

44%BTTS

70%Over 1.5

42%Over 2.5

18%Over 3.5

PAOK at home: 17-5-340:16 goals in 25 games
Asteras Tripolis at home: 11-6-832:30 goals in 25 games
PAOK's biggest win: 1–4Asteras Tripolis 1–4 PAOK, 17 Dec 2023
Asteras Tripolis's biggest win: 3–0Asteras Tripolis 3–0 PAOK, 10 Jan 2015

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
1 Mar 2026	Super League Greece	PAOK	2–0	Asteras Tripolis
28 Sept 2025	Super League Greece	Asteras Tripolis	3–3	PAOK
2 Mar 2025	Super League	PAOK	2–0	Asteras Tripolis
24 Nov 2024	Super League	Asteras Tripolis	1–2	PAOK
17 Dec 2023	Super League	Asteras Tripolis	1–4	PAOK
20 Aug 2023	Super League	PAOK	3–0	Asteras Tripolis
13 Feb 2023	Super League	Asteras Tripolis	2–2	PAOK
23 Oct 2022	Super League	PAOK	2–2	Asteras Tripolis
19 Dec 2021	Super League	PAOK	3–2	Asteras Tripolis
19 Sept 2021	Super League	Asteras Tripolis	0–1	PAOK
16 May 2021	Super League	PAOK	0–1	Asteras Tripolis
11 Apr 2021	Super League	Asteras Tripolis	1–1	PAOK
27 Feb 2021	Super League	Asteras Tripolis	2–1	PAOK
6 Dec 2020	Super League	PAOK	2–0	Asteras Tripolis
19 Jan 2020	Super League	PAOK	3–1	Asteras Tripolis
6 Oct 2019	Super League	Asteras Tripolis	1–2	PAOK
25 Apr 2019	Cup	Asteras Tripolis	0–0	PAOK
3 Apr 2019	Cup	PAOK	2–0	Asteras Tripolis
13 Jan 2019	Super League	Asteras Tripolis	0–3	PAOK
25 Aug 2018	Super League	PAOK	1–0	Asteras Tripolis

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

PAOK3W 0D 2L · goals 10–8

W28.10Greek CupHAEK Athens3–1
L25.10Super League GreeceAOFI Crete1–2
W18.10Super League GreeceHIraklis 19082–1
L12.10Super League GreeceHKalamata1–3
W20.09Super League GreeceAPanetolikos3–1

Asteras Tripolis1W 2D 2L · goals 5–10

L27.10Greek CupHKifisia0–2
D24.10Super League GreeceHLevadiakos0–0
L18.10Super League GreeceAPanathinaikos1–5
W10.10Super League GreeceHAtromitos

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

PAOKAsteras Tripolis

1.6Goals scored per game1.0

1.2Goals conceded per game1.5

70%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

3Clean sheets2

10%Failed to score40%

3-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

PAOKAsteras Tripolis

Super League 2026/2027 · 5 gamesSuper League 2025/2026 · 33 games

2.4Goals scored0.9

1.0Goals conceded1.4

3.8Corners4.7

12.2Shots9.4

45%Possession45%

1.4Yellow cards2.9

40%Clean sheets24%

0%Failed to score39%

2-0-0Home / away record (W-D-L)2-5-10

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Super League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Olympiacos Piraeus	7	+5	16	WWWLD
3	PAOK	7	+6	15	WLWWL
4	AEK Athens	6	+13	14	WWDWD
10	Kifisia	7	-2	8	LWWDL
11	Asteras Tripolis	7	-8	5	LWDDL
12	Atromitos	6	-4

About this match

PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis preview

Super League Greece fixture: PAOK welcome Asteras Tripolis on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 (19:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

PAOKWLWLW10 scored · 8 conceded

Asteras TripolisLDLWD5 scored · 10 conceded

Key facts · last 5

PAOKAsteras Tripolis

1.6Goals scored per game1.0

1.2Goals conceded per game1.5

70%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

3Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

25PAOK wins

11Draws

14Asteras Tripolis wins

50 meetings · 2.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 44%

What's at stake

PAOK3rd15 pts · 7 played

Asteras Tripolis11th5 pts · 7 played

PAOK lead by 10 pts

Our pick

Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.565%Confidence1.62Price

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Stadio Toumbas.

The best available prices are 1.28 on PAOK, 4.72 on the draw and 6.86 on Asteras Tripolis, which is roughly 69%, 19% and 13% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Our strongest pick is Over 2.5 goals with 65% confidence at a best price of 1.62.

Recent form over the last 5: PAOK WLWLW (goals 10–8), Asteras Tripolis LDLWD (goals 5–10).

Both teams scored in 70% of PAOK's recent games and 50% of Asteras Tripolis's; over 2.5 goals landed in 70% and 40% respectively.

Per game, PAOK average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Asteras Tripolis 1.0 and 1.5 (clean sheets: 2).

Across 50 head-to-head games the record reads 25–11–14 (wins–draws–losses) from PAOK's side.

Those 50 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.

The last meeting (2026-03-01) ended PAOK 2–0 Asteras Tripolis.

PAOK sit 3rd on 15 pts after 7 games, Asteras Tripolis 11th on 5 pts.

Nito explains: PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis mean?

The best prices are 1.28 for a PAOK win, 4.72 for a draw and 6.86 for a Asteras Tripolis win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.28 returns 12.80 if PAOK win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 13.9% removed) that is 69% PAOK, 19% draw and 13% Asteras Tripolis.

What does Nito's pick "Over 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has more than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.62, the price implies a 62% chance; Nito's data rates it at 65%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do PAOK and Asteras Tripolis matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of PAOK's last 10 matches and 50% of Asteras Tripolis's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 44%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. PAOK reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Asteras Tripolis in 40% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.4 goals (42% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WLWLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. PAOK, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (10 scored, 8 conceded). Asteras Tripolis, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (5 scored, 10 conceded).

Where do PAOK and Asteras Tripolis stand in the table?

PAOK are 3rd with 15 points from 7 games. Asteras Tripolis are 11th with 5 points from 7 games. The gap between them is 10 points.

PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis: questions & answers

Who will win PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?

Bookmaker odds imply PAOK 69%, draw 19%, Asteras Tripolis 13%.

Will both teams score in PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?

Both teams scored in 44% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of PAOK's matches and 50% of Asteras Tripolis's.

What are the odds for PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?

Odds: PAOK 1.28, draw 4.72, Asteras Tripolis 6.86. Our pick Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.62.

When is the PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis kick-off?

PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 19:00 (GMT+2) at Stadio Toumbas.

What is the head-to-head record between PAOK and Asteras Tripolis?

50 meetings: PAOK 25 wins, 11 draws, Asteras Tripolis 14 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.

Other Super League Greece matches on 1 Nov

All Super League Greece fixtures

PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis prediction & odds

PAOK

Asteras Tripolis

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds