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Premier LeagueFT

Aston Villa vs Manchester City result, stats & H2H

Aston Villa

2–1
FT

Manchester City

24/10/2026 14:30 · Villa Park

Key events

Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

Key events

1st half1 - 0
1-0N. Jackson6′
32′M. Guehi
38′R. Cherki
2nd half1 - 1
46′R. Lewis
46′P. Foden
52′1-1E. Haaland
J. Manzambi54′
M. Cash55′
I. Mbaye59′
2-1N. Jackson60′
E. Buendia66′
R. Barkley66′
69′R. McAidoo
74′E. Anderson
76′R. McAidoo
B. Madjo82′
L. Goretzka82′
B. Madjo83′
E. Buendia90′

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Manchester City
1.65Lost

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Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Premier League
Kick-off
Stadium
Villa Park
Capacity
42,824
City
Birmingham

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Manchester City68%Confidence1.65lost

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.65 means bookmakers give it 61%; Nito's confidence is 68% (+7 pts)

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Manchester CityHigh confidence
Confidence68%
Price1.65Lost

Manchester City to win: our confidence is 68%, 7 points above the 61% the best price of 1.65 implies.

Asian handicap +0.5Manchester City -0.5High confidence
Confidence65%
Price1.61Lost

We rate Asian handicap: Manchester City -0.5 at 65% — the price of 1.61 implies only 62%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

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About this match

Aston Villa vs Manchester City preview

Final score in the Premier League on Sat, 24 Oct 2026: Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City.