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Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa prediction & odds

Manchester Utd

17:00

Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:00

Aston Villa

Odds 1X2

1Manchester Utd2.27XDraw3.812Aston Villa3.03

Old Trafford

Manchester UtdvsAston Villa

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Premier League
Kick-off: Sat 7 Nov 17:00 EET
Stadium: Old Trafford
Capacity: 76,212
City: Manchester

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Manchester Utd43%2.27

Draw25%3.81

Aston Villa32%3.03

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.3%

Manchester Utd2.2743%Draw3.8125%Aston Villa3.0332%

Double chance

Manchester Utd or Draw1.36Manchester Utd or Aston Villa1.25Draw or Aston Villa1.58

Total goals 2.5margin 4.9%

Over 2.51.5960%Under 2.52.3840%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.6%

Manchester Utd -0.251.9350%Aston Villa +0.251.9350%

1st-half resultmargin 5.5%

Manchester Utd2.7435%Draw2.4738%Aston Villa3.5127%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Manchester Utd1.9649%Aston Villa1.9251%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

1Manchester Utd wins

0Draws

1Aston Villa wins

Last matches: Manchester Utd

25.10.26Premier LeagueManchester UtdBournemouth03L
21.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueComoManchester Utd41L
18.10.26Premier LeagueLeedsManchester Utd11D
13.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueAtl. MadridManchester Utd20L
10.10.26Premier LeagueManchester UtdTottenham11D

Last matches: Aston Villa

28.10.26EFL CupBournemouthAston Villa30L
24.10.26Premier LeagueAston VillaManchester City21W
21.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueAston VillaViking31W
17.10.26Premier LeagueNewcastleAston Villa01W
14.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueAston VillaFenerbahce60W

Head-to-head matches

15.03.26Premier LeagueManchester UtdAston Villa31W
21.12.25Premier LeagueAston VillaManchester Utd21L

3.50Avg goals100%Both scored100%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa: head-to-head record

2 meetings since 2025: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

1Manchester Utd wins

0Draws

1Aston Villa wins

4:3Goals (Manchester Utd : Aston Villa)

3.50Goals per match

100%BTTS

100%Over 1.5

100%Over 2.5

50%Over 3.5

Manchester Utd at home: 1-0-03:1 goals in 1 games
Aston Villa at home: 1-0-02:1 goals in 1 games
Manchester Utd's biggest win: 3–1Manchester Utd 3–1 Aston Villa, 15 Mar 2026
Aston Villa's biggest win: 2–1Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester Utd, 21 Dec 2025

Meetings (2 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
15 Mar 2026	Premier League	Manchester Utd	3–1	Aston Villa
21 Dec 2025	Premier League	Aston Villa	2–1	Manchester Utd

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Manchester Utd0W 2D 3L · goals 3–11

L25.10Premier LeagueHBournemouth0–3
L21.10UEFA Champions LeagueAComo1–4
D18.10Premier LeagueALeeds1–1
L13.10UEFA Champions LeagueAAtl. Madrid0–2
D10.10Premier LeagueHTottenham1–1

Aston Villa4W 0D 1L · goals 12–5

L28.10EFL CupABournemouth0–3
W24.10Premier LeagueHManchester City2–1
W21.10UEFA Champions LeagueHViking3–1
W17.10Premier LeagueANewcastle1–0
W14.10UEFA Champions LeagueHFenerbahce6–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Manchester UtdAston Villa

1.2Goals scored per game2.4

1.8Goals conceded per game1.4

60%Both teams scored70%

50%Over 2.5 goals90%

1Clean sheets2

30%Failed to score10%

1-1-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)4-0-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Manchester UtdAston Villa

Premier League 2026/2027 · 5 gamesPremier League 2026/2027 · 6 games

1.6Goals scored1.0

1.6Goals conceded1.8

7.2Corners2.8

22.6Shots11.3

60%Possession47%

1.2Yellow cards2.0

0%Clean sheets17%

40%Failed to score50%

1-0-1Home / away record (W-D-L)1-1-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Premier League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
8	Newcastle	8	-2	11	WLLWL
9	Aston Villa	8	-3	11	WWDWL
10	Hull	8	+1	10	DLDLD
15	Fulham	8	-2	8	WWLDD
16	Manchester Utd	8	-3	7	LDDDL
17	Crystal Palace	8	-10	7	LLWDL

About this match

Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa preview

Manchester Utd host Aston Villa in the Premier League on Sat, 7 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.

Form · last 5 matches

Manchester UtdLLDLD3 scored · 11 conceded

Aston VillaLWWWW12 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Manchester UtdAston Villa

1.2Goals scored per game2.4

1.8Goals conceded per game1.4

60%Both teams scored70%

50%Over 2.5 goals90%

1Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

1Manchester Utd wins

0Draws

1Aston Villa wins

2 meetings · 3.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 100%

What's at stake

Manchester Utd16th7 pts · 8 played

Aston Villa9th11 pts · 8 played

Aston Villa lead by 4 pts

Read the full match preview

Old Trafford hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Manchester Utd the favourite at 2.27 (43% implied), with the draw at 3.81 (25%).

Manchester Utd come into the game with LLDLD in their last 5 (3 scored, 11 conceded), while Aston Villa have LWWWW (12 scored, 5 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 50% of Manchester Utd's recent games and 90% of Aston Villa's, with both teams scoring in 60% and 70%.

Per game, Manchester Utd average 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Aston Villa 2.4 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 2).

Head-to-head over 2 previous meetings: Manchester Utd 1 wins, Aston Villa 1 wins, draws 0.

Those 2 games averaged 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

The last meeting (2026-03-15) ended Manchester Utd 3–1 Aston Villa.

In the table, Manchester Utd are 16th (7 pts from 8 games) and Aston Villa are 9th (11 pts from 8).

Nito explains: Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa mean?

The best prices are 2.27 for a Manchester Utd win, 3.81 for a draw and 3.03 for a Aston Villa win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.27 returns 22.70 if Manchester Utd win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.3% removed) that is 43% Manchester Utd, 25% draw and 32% Aston Villa.

How often do Manchester Utd and Aston Villa matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Manchester Utd's last 10 matches and 70% of Aston Villa's last 10. In their 2 recorded meetings it was 100%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Manchester Utd reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Aston Villa in 90% of their last 10. Their 2 meetings averaged 3.5 goals (100% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLDLD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Manchester Utd, last 5: 0 W · 2 D · 3 L (3 scored, 11 conceded). Aston Villa, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (12 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do Manchester Utd and Aston Villa stand in the table?

Manchester Utd are 16th with 7 points from 8 games. Aston Villa are 9th with 11 points from 8 games. The gap between them is 4 points.

Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa: questions & answers

Who will win Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa?

Bookmaker odds imply Manchester Utd 43%, draw 25%, Aston Villa 32%.

Will both teams score in Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa?

Both teams scored in 100% of their 2 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Manchester Utd's matches and 70% of Aston Villa's.

What are the odds for Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa?

Odds: Manchester Utd 2.27, draw 3.81, Aston Villa 3.03.

When is the Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa kick-off?

Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa kicks off on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2) at Old Trafford.

What is the head-to-head record between Manchester Utd and Aston Villa?

2 meetings: Manchester Utd 1 wins, 0 draws, Aston Villa 1 wins. Those 2 games averaged 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa prediction & odds

Manchester Utd

Aston Villa

Match information

Match information

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

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