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Atl. Madrid vs Bayern Munich prediction & odds

Atl. Madrid

22:00

Kick-off Tue 3 Nov, 22:00

Bayern Munich

Odds 1X2

1Atl. Madrid3.30XDraw4.222Bayern Munich2.03

Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atl. MadridvsBayern Munich

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: UEFA Champions League
Kick-off: Tue 3 Nov 22:00 EET
Stadium: Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Capacity: 70,460
City: Madrid

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Atl. Madrid29%3.30

Draw23%4.22

Bayern Munich48%2.03

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.3%

Atl. Madrid3.3029%Draw4.2223%Bayern Munich2.0348%

Double chance

Atl. Madrid or Draw1.82Atl. Madrid or Bayern Munich1.19Draw or Bayern Munich1.28

1st-half resultmargin 15.1%

Atl. Madrid3.1028%Draw2.3837%Bayern Munich2.4535%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Atl. Madrid1.9550%Bayern Munich1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

2Atl. Madrid wins

1Draws

3Bayern Munich wins

Last matches: Atl. Madrid

24.10.26La LigaAtl. MadridDep. La Coruna10W
20.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueStuttgartAtl. Madrid11D
17.10.26La LigaEspanyolAtl. Madrid01W
13.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueAtl. MadridManchester Utd20W
10.10.26La LigaAlavesAtl. Madrid12W

Last matches: Bayern Munich

28.10.26DFB-PokalBayern MunichMagdeburg61W
25.10.26BundesligaFreiburgBayern Munich13W
21.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueBayern MunichArsenal22D
17.10.26BundesligaBayern MunichRB Leipzig61W
13.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueVikingBayern Munich33D

Head-to-head matches

01.12.20UEFA Champions LeagueAtl. MadridBayern Munich11D
21.10.20UEFA Champions LeagueBayern MunichAtl. Madrid40L
06.12.16UEFA Champions LeagueBayern MunichAtl. Madrid10L
28.09.16UEFA Champions LeagueAtl. MadridBayern Munich10W
03.05.16UEFA Champions LeagueBayern MunichAtl. Madrid21L
27.04.16UEFA Champions LeagueAtl. MadridBayern Munich10W

2.00Avg goals33%Both scored33%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Atl. Madrid vs Bayern Munich: head-to-head record

6 meetings since 2016: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

2Atl. Madrid wins

1Draws

3Bayern Munich wins

4:8Goals (Atl. Madrid : Bayern Munich)

2.00Goals per match

33%BTTS

50%Over 1.5

33%Over 2.5

17%Over 3.5

Atl. Madrid at home: 2-1-03:1 goals in 3 games
Bayern Munich at home: 3-0-07:1 goals in 3 games
Atl. Madrid's biggest win: 1–0Atl. Madrid 1–0 Bayern Munich, 28 Sept 2016
Bayern Munich's biggest win: 4–0Bayern Munich 4–0 Atl. Madrid, 21 Oct 2020

Meetings (6 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
1 Dec 2020	UEFA Champions League	Atl. Madrid	1–1	Bayern Munich
21 Oct 2020	UEFA Champions League	Bayern Munich	4–0	Atl. Madrid
6 Dec 2016	UEFA Champions League	Bayern Munich	1–0	Atl. Madrid
28 Sept 2016	UEFA Champions League	Atl. Madrid	1–0	Bayern Munich
3 May 2016	UEFA Champions League	Bayern Munich	2–1	Atl. Madrid
27 Apr 2016	UEFA Champions League	Atl. Madrid	1–0	Bayern Munich

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Atl. Madrid4W 1D 0L · goals 7–2

W24.10La LigaHDep. La Coruna1–0
D20.10UEFA Champions LeagueAStuttgart1–1
W17.10La LigaAEspanyol1–0
W13.10UEFA Champions LeagueHManchester Utd2–0
W10.10La LigaAAlaves2–1

Bayern Munich3W 2D 0L · goals 20–8

W28.10DFB-PokalHMagdeburg6–1
W25.10BundesligaAFreiburg3–1
D21.10UEFA Champions LeagueHArsenal2–2
W17.10BundesligaHRB Leipzig6–1
D13.10UEFA Champions LeagueAViking3–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Atl. MadridBayern Munich

1.7Goals scored per game3.6

0.8Goals conceded per game1.1

40%Both teams scored70%

60%Over 2.5 goals90%

5Clean sheets3

10%Failed to score10%

4-0-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-3-0

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Atl. MadridBayern Munich

La Liga 2026/2027 · 3 gamesBundesliga 2026/2027 · 4 games

2.3Goals scored3.5

1.0Goals conceded0.5

4.3Corners9.5

15.3Shots21.8

54%Possession70%

2.3Yellow cards1.0

33%Clean sheets50%

0%Failed to score25%

1-1-0Home / away record (W-D-L)1-1-0

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · UEFA Champions League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
13	Dortmund	3	+1	6	WLW
14	Bayern Munich	3	+5	5	DDW
15	AS Roma	3	+3	4	WLD
16	Atl. Madrid	3	+1	4	DWL
17	Shakhtar Donetsk	3	+1	4	LWD

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About this match

Atl. Madrid vs Bayern Munich preview

UEFA Champions League fixture: Atl. Madrid welcome Bayern Munich on Tue, 3 Nov 2026 (22:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

Atl. MadridWDWWW7 scored · 2 conceded

Bayern MunichWWDWD20 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Atl. MadridBayern Munich

1.7Goals scored per game3.6

0.8Goals conceded per game1.1

40%Both teams scored70%

60%Over 2.5 goals90%

5Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

2Atl. Madrid wins

1Draws

3Bayern Munich wins

6 meetings · 2.0 goals per game · both teams scored in 33%

What's at stake

Atl. Madrid16th4 pts · 3 played

Bayern Munich14th5 pts · 3 played

Bayern Munich lead by 1 pts

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

The best available prices are 3.30 on Atl. Madrid, 4.22 on the draw and 2.03 on Bayern Munich, which is roughly 29%, 23% and 48% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Recent form over the last 5: Atl. Madrid WDWWW (goals 7–2), Bayern Munich WWDWD (goals 20–8).

Both teams scored in 40% of Atl. Madrid's recent games and 70% of Bayern Munich's; over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 90% respectively.

Per game, Atl. Madrid average 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (clean sheets: 5), Bayern Munich 3.6 and 1.1 (clean sheets: 3).

Across 6 head-to-head games the record reads 2–1–3 (wins–draws–losses) from Atl. Madrid's side.

Those 6 games averaged 2.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

The last meeting (2020-12-01) ended Atl. Madrid 1–1 Bayern Munich.

Atl. Madrid sit 16th on 4 pts after 3 games, Bayern Munich 14th on 5 pts.

Nito explains: Atl. Madrid vs Bayern Munich

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Atl. Madrid vs Bayern Munich mean?

The best prices are 3.30 for a Atl. Madrid win, 4.22 for a draw and 2.03 for a Bayern Munich win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.30 returns 33.00 if Atl. Madrid win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.3% removed) that is 29% Atl. Madrid, 23% draw and 48% Bayern Munich.

How often do Atl. Madrid and Bayern Munich matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Atl. Madrid's last 10 matches and 70% of Bayern Munich's last 10. In their 6 recorded meetings it was 33%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Atl. Madrid reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Bayern Munich in 90% of their last 10. Their 6 meetings averaged 2.0 goals (33% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WDWWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Atl. Madrid, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (7 scored, 2 conceded). Bayern Munich, last 5: 3 W · 2 D · 0 L (20 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do Atl. Madrid and Bayern Munich stand in the table?

Atl. Madrid are 16th with 4 points from 3 games. Bayern Munich are 14th with 5 points from 3 games. The gap between them is 1 points.

Atl. Madrid vs Bayern Munich: questions & answers

Who will win Atl. Madrid vs Bayern Munich?

Bookmaker odds imply Atl. Madrid 29%, draw 23%, Bayern Munich 48%.

Will both teams score in Atl. Madrid vs Bayern Munich?

Both teams scored in 33% of their 6 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Atl. Madrid's matches and 70% of Bayern Munich's.

What are the odds for Atl. Madrid vs Bayern Munich?

Odds: Atl. Madrid 3.30, draw 4.22, Bayern Munich 2.03.

When is the Atl. Madrid vs Bayern Munich kick-off?

Atl. Madrid vs Bayern Munich kicks off on Tue, 3 Nov 2026 at 22:00 (GMT+2) at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

What is the head-to-head record between Atl. Madrid and Bayern Munich?

6 meetings: Atl. Madrid 2 wins, 1 draws, Bayern Munich 3 wins. Those 6 games averaged 2.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

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Atl. Madrid vs Bayern Munich prediction & odds

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