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Gremio vs Atletico-MG prediction & odds

Gremio

23:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 23:30

Atletico-MG

Odds 1X2

1Gremio2.72XDraw3.252Atletico-MG2.89

GremiovsAtletico-MG

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Copa Do Brasil
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 23:30 EET

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Gremio36%2.72

Draw30%3.25

Atletico-MG34%2.89

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.1%

Gremio2.7236%Draw3.2530%Atletico-MG2.8934%

Double chance

Gremio or Draw1.38Gremio or Atletico-MG1.30Draw or Atletico-MG1.43

1st-half resultmargin 6.1%

Gremio3.3828%Draw2.0746%Atletico-MG3.5527%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.7%

Gremio1.9749%Atletico-MG1.8951%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

1Gremio wins

0Draws

1Atletico-MG wins

Last matches: Gremio

Primeira LigaGremioCeará11D
Primeira LigaGremioAmérica Mineiro10W
Primeira LigaFlamengoGremio20L
30.10.26BrasileirãoGremioAthletico-PR20W
26.10.26BrasileirãoCoritibaGremio01W

Last matches: Atletico-MG

Primeira LigaChapecoenseAtletico-MG22D
Primeira LigaAtletico-MGJoinville20W
Primeira LigaCruzeiroAtletico-MG10L
29.10.26BrasileirãoAtletico-MGCruzeiro01L
26.10.26BrasileirãoFlamengoAtletico-MG32L

Head-to-head matches

16.08.26BrasileirãoAtletico-MGGremio30L
26.02.26BrasileirãoGremioAtletico-MG21W

3.00Avg goals50%Both scored100%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Gremio vs Atletico-MG: head-to-head record

2 meetings since 2026: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

1Gremio wins

0Draws

1Atletico-MG wins

2:4Goals (Gremio : Atletico-MG)

3.00Goals per match

50%BTTS

100%Over 1.5

100%Over 2.5

0%Over 3.5

Gremio at home: 1-0-02:1 goals in 1 games
Atletico-MG at home: 1-0-03:0 goals in 1 games
Gremio's biggest win: 2–1Gremio 2–1 Atletico-MG, 26 Feb 2026
Atletico-MG's biggest win: 3–0Atletico-MG 3–0 Gremio, 16 Aug 2026

Meetings (2 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
16 Aug 2026	Brasileirão	Atletico-MG	3–0	Gremio
26 Feb 2026	Brasileirão	Gremio	2–1	Atletico-MG

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Gremio3W 1D 1L · goals 5–3

D01.01Primeira LigaHCeará1–1
W01.01Primeira LigaHAmérica Mineiro1–0
L01.01Primeira LigaAFlamengo0–2
W30.10BrasileirãoHAthletico-PR2–0
W26.10BrasileirãoACoritiba1–0

Atletico-MG1W 1D 3L · goals 6–7

D01.01Primeira LigaAChapecoense2–2
W01.01Primeira LigaHJoinville2–0
L01.01Primeira LigaACruzeiro0–1
L29.10BrasileirãoHCruzeiro0–1
L26.10BrasileirãoAFlamengo2–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

GremioAtletico-MG

1.1Goals scored per game1.4

1.2Goals conceded per game1.2

50%Both teams scored40%

20%Over 2.5 goals50%

4Clean sheets3

20%Failed to score30%

2-3-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-2-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

GremioAtletico-MG

Serie A 2025 · 37 gamesSerie A 2026 · 27 games

1.2Goals scored1.3

1.3Goals conceded1.2

3.9Corners5.0

12.2Shots13.6

45%Possession49%

2.8Yellow cards1.7

19%Clean sheets22%

30%Failed to score33%

9-4-5Home / away record (W-D-L)4-2-8

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About this match

Gremio vs Atletico-MG preview

Gremio host Atletico-MG in the Copa Do Brasil on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 23:30.

Form · last 5 matches

GremioDWLWW5 scored · 3 conceded

Atletico-MGDWLLL6 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

GremioAtletico-MG

1.1Goals scored per game1.4

1.2Goals conceded per game1.2

50%Both teams scored40%

20%Over 2.5 goals50%

4Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

1Gremio wins

0Draws

1Atletico-MG wins

2 meetings · 3.0 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

Read the full match preview

The market sees little between the sides: Gremio 2.72 (36%), draw 3.25 (30%), Atletico-MG 2.89 (34%).

Recent form over the last 5: Gremio DWLWW (goals 5–3), Atletico-MG DWLLL (goals 6–7).

Both teams scored in 50% of Gremio's recent games and 40% of Atletico-MG's; over 2.5 goals landed in 20% and 50% respectively.

Per game, Gremio average 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (clean sheets: 4), Atletico-MG 1.4 and 1.2 (clean sheets: 3).

Across 2 head-to-head games the record reads 1–0–1 (wins–draws–losses) from Gremio's side.

Those 2 games averaged 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

The last meeting (2026-08-16) ended Atletico-MG 3–0 Gremio.

Nito explains: Gremio vs Atletico-MG

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Gremio vs Atletico-MG mean?

The best prices are 2.72 for a Gremio win, 3.25 for a draw and 2.89 for a Atletico-MG win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.72 returns 27.20 if Gremio win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 2.1% removed) that is 36% Gremio, 30% draw and 34% Atletico-MG.

How often do Gremio and Atletico-MG matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Gremio's last 10 matches and 40% of Atletico-MG's last 10. In their 2 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Gremio reached that in 20% of their last 10 matches, Atletico-MG in 50% of their last 10. Their 2 meetings averaged 3.0 goals (100% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DWLWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Gremio, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (5 scored, 3 conceded). Atletico-MG, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (6 scored, 7 conceded).

Gremio vs Atletico-MG: questions & answers

Who will win Gremio vs Atletico-MG?

Bookmaker odds imply Gremio 36%, draw 30%, Atletico-MG 34%.

Will both teams score in Gremio vs Atletico-MG?

Both teams scored in 50% of their 2 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Gremio's matches and 40% of Atletico-MG's.

What are the odds for Gremio vs Atletico-MG?

Odds: Gremio 2.72, draw 3.25, Atletico-MG 2.89.

When is the Gremio vs Atletico-MG kick-off?

Gremio vs Atletico-MG kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 23:30 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Gremio and Atletico-MG?

2 meetings: Gremio 1 wins, 0 draws, Atletico-MG 1 wins. Those 2 games averaged 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

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Gremio vs Atletico-MG prediction & odds

Gremio

Atletico-MG

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Our picks for this match

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