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Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro prediction & odds

Grêmio

23:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 23:30

Atlético Mineiro

Odds 1X2

1Grêmio2.72XDraw3.252Atlético Mineiro2.89

Arena do Grêmio

GrêmiovsAtlético Mineiro

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Cup
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 23:30 EET
Stadium: Arena do Grêmio
Capacity: 60,540
City: Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Grêmio36%2.72

Draw30%3.25

Atlético Mineiro34%2.89

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.1%

Grêmio2.7236%Draw3.2530%Atlético Mineiro2.8934%

Double chance

Grêmio or Draw1.38Grêmio or Atlético Mineiro1.30Draw or Atlético Mineiro1.43

Total goals 2.5margin 5.6%

Over 2.52.3241%Under 2.51.6059%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.3%

Grêmio 01.8652%Atlético Mineiro 01.9848%

1st-half resultmargin 6.1%

Grêmio3.3828%Draw2.0746%Atlético Mineiro3.5527%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.7%

Grêmio1.9749%Atlético Mineiro1.8951%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

1Grêmio wins

0Draws

1Atlético Mineiro wins

Last matches: Grêmio

Primeira LigaGrêmioCeará11D
Primeira LigaGrêmioAmérica Mineiro10W
Primeira LigaFlamengoGrêmio20L
30.10.26BrasileirãoGrêmioAthletico-PR20W
26.10.26BrasileirãoCoritibaGrêmio01W

Last matches: Atlético Mineiro

Primeira LigaChapecoenseAtlético Mineiro22D
Primeira LigaAtlético MineiroJoinville20W
Primeira LigaCruzeiroAtlético Mineiro10L
29.10.26BrasileirãoAtlético MineiroCruzeiro01L
26.10.26BrasileirãoFlamengoAtlético Mineiro32L

Head-to-head matches

16.08.26BrasileirãoAtlético MineiroGrêmio30L
26.02.26BrasileirãoGrêmioAtlético Mineiro21W

3.00Avg goals50%Both scored100%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro: head-to-head record

2 meetings since 2026: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

1Grêmio wins

0Draws

1Atlético Mineiro wins

2:4Goals (Grêmio : Atlético Mineiro)

3.00Goals per match

50%BTTS

100%Over 1.5

100%Over 2.5

0%Over 3.5

Grêmio at home: 1-0-02:1 goals in 1 games
Atlético Mineiro at home: 1-0-03:0 goals in 1 games
Grêmio's biggest win: 2–1Grêmio 2–1 Atlético Mineiro, 26 Feb 2026
Atlético Mineiro's biggest win: 3–0Atlético Mineiro 3–0 Grêmio, 16 Aug 2026

Meetings (2 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
16 Aug 2026	Brasileirão	Atlético Mineiro	3–0	Grêmio
26 Feb 2026	Brasileirão	Grêmio	2–1	Atlético Mineiro

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Grêmio3W 1D 1L · goals 5–3

D01.01Primeira LigaHCeará1–1
W01.01Primeira LigaHAmérica Mineiro1–0
L01.01Primeira LigaAFlamengo0–2
W30.10BrasileirãoHAthletico-PR2–0
W26.10BrasileirãoACoritiba1–0

Atlético Mineiro1W 1D 3L · goals 6–7

D01.01Primeira LigaAChapecoense2–2
W01.01Primeira LigaHJoinville2–0
L01.01Primeira LigaACruzeiro0–1
L29.10BrasileirãoHCruzeiro0–1
L26.10BrasileirãoAFlamengo2–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

GrêmioAtlético Mineiro

1.1Goals scored per game1.4

1.2Goals conceded per game1.2

50%Both teams scored40%

20%Over 2.5 goals50%

4Clean sheets3

20%Failed to score30%

2-3-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-2-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

GrêmioAtlético Mineiro

Serie A 2025 · 37 gamesSerie A 2026 · 27 games

1.2Goals scored1.3

1.3Goals conceded1.2

3.9Corners5.0

12.2Shots13.6

45%Possession49%

2.8Yellow cards1.7

19%Clean sheets22%

30%Failed to score33%

9-4-5Home / away record (W-D-L)4-2-8

About this match

Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro preview

Grêmio host Atlético Mineiro in the Cup on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 23:30.

Form · last 5 matches

GrêmioDWLWW5 scored · 3 conceded

Atlético MineiroDWLLL6 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

GrêmioAtlético Mineiro

1.1Goals scored per game1.4

1.2Goals conceded per game1.2

50%Both teams scored40%

20%Over 2.5 goals50%

4Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

1Grêmio wins

0Draws

1Atlético Mineiro wins

2 meetings · 3.0 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Arena do Grêmio.

The market sees little between the sides: Grêmio 2.72 (36%), draw 3.25 (30%), Atlético Mineiro 2.89 (34%).

Recent form over the last 5: Grêmio DWLWW (goals 5–3), Atlético Mineiro DWLLL (goals 6–7).

Both teams scored in 50% of Grêmio's recent games and 40% of Atlético Mineiro's; over 2.5 goals landed in 20% and 50% respectively.

Per game, Grêmio average 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (clean sheets: 4), Atlético Mineiro 1.4 and 1.2 (clean sheets: 3).

Across 2 head-to-head games the record reads 1–0–1 (wins–draws–losses) from Grêmio's side.

Those 2 games averaged 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

The last meeting (2026-08-16) ended Atlético Mineiro 3–0 Grêmio.

Nito explains: Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro mean?

The best prices are 2.72 for a Grêmio win, 3.25 for a draw and 2.89 for a Atlético Mineiro win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.72 returns 27.20 if Grêmio win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 2.1% removed) that is 36% Grêmio, 30% draw and 34% Atlético Mineiro.

How often do Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Grêmio's last 10 matches and 40% of Atlético Mineiro's last 10. In their 2 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Grêmio reached that in 20% of their last 10 matches, Atlético Mineiro in 50% of their last 10. Their 2 meetings averaged 3.0 goals (100% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DWLWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Grêmio, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (5 scored, 3 conceded). Atlético Mineiro, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (6 scored, 7 conceded).

Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro: questions & answers

Who will win Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro?

Bookmaker odds imply Grêmio 36%, draw 30%, Atlético Mineiro 34%.

Will both teams score in Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro?

Both teams scored in 50% of their 2 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Grêmio's matches and 40% of Atlético Mineiro's.

What are the odds for Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro?

Odds: Grêmio 2.72, draw 3.25, Atlético Mineiro 2.89.

When is the Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro kick-off?

Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 23:30 (GMT+2) at Arena do Grêmio.

What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro?

2 meetings: Grêmio 1 wins, 0 draws, Atlético Mineiro 1 wins. Those 2 games averaged 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

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Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro prediction & odds

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Atlético Mineiro

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