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Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction & odds

Chiba

07:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 07:00

Avispa Fukuoka

Odds 1X2

1Chiba3.15XDraw3.352Avispa Fukuoka2.41

ChibavsAvispa Fukuoka

Nito’s pick1.80

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Both teams to scoreYes

1.80

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: J1 League
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 07:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Both teams to scoreYes60%Confidence1.80Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.80 means bookmakers give it 56%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+4 pts)
Both teams scored in 60% of Chiba's last 5 and 60% of Avispa Fukuoka's
Goals per game in the last 5: Chiba matches 2.7, Avispa Fukuoka matches 2.4
Their 21 meetings average 2.9 goals; both teams scored in 62%

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Chiba30%3.15

Draw29%3.35

Avispa Fukuoka41%2.35

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.1%

Chiba3.1531%Draw3.3529%Avispa Fukuoka2.4140%

Double chance

Chiba or Draw1.52Chiba or Avispa Fukuoka1.29Draw or Avispa Fukuoka1.33

Total goals 2.5margin 4.6%

Over 2.52.1744%Under 2.51.7156%

More markets (2)

1st-half resultmargin 15.1%

Chiba3.3926%Draw1.9944%Avispa Fukuoka2.8331%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.7%

Chiba1.9649%Avispa Fukuoka1.9051%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

6Chiba wins

9Draws

6Avispa Fukuoka wins

Last matches: Chiba

25.10.26J-LeagueCerezoChiba22D
21.10.26J-LeagueUrawaChiba32L
17.10.26J-LeagueChibaYokohama F. Marinos00D
11.10.26J-LeagueChibaV-Varen11D
07.10.26CupOkayamaChiba10L

Last matches: Avispa Fukuoka

24.10.26J-LeagueTokyo VerdyAvispa Fukuoka31L

Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka: head-to-head record

21 meetings since 2006: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

6Chiba wins

9Draws

6Avispa Fukuoka wins

32:28Goals (Chiba : Avispa Fukuoka)

2.86Goals per match

62%BTTS

71%Over 1.5

62%Over 2.5

38%Over 3.5

Chiba at home: 3-7-120:14 goals in 11 games
Avispa Fukuoka at home: 5-2-314:12 goals in 10 games
Chiba's biggest win: 3–0Chiba 3–0 Avispa Fukuoka, 20 Jul 2019
Avispa Fukuoka's biggest win: 3–1Avispa Fukuoka 3–1 Chiba, 22 Apr 2018

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
6 Jun 2026	J-League	Chiba	1–2	Avispa Fukuoka
30 May 2026	J-League	Avispa Fukuoka

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Chiba0W 3D 2L · goals 5–7

D25.10J-LeagueACerezo2–2
L21.10J-LeagueAUrawa2–3
D17.10J-LeagueHYokohama F. Marinos0–0
D11.10J-LeagueHV-Varen1–1
L07.10CupAOkayama0–1

Avispa Fukuoka1W 0D 4L · goals 5–11

L24.10J-LeagueATokyo Verdy1–3
L21.10J-LeagueHGamba1–2
L18.10J-LeagueAMachida0–3
L14.10Nabisco CupASagan1–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

ChibaAvispa Fukuoka

1.3Goals scored per game0.8

1.4Goals conceded per game1.6

60%Both teams scored60%

40%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets0

20%Failed to score40%

1-2-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-0-4

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · J-League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
18	Verdy	12	-12	8	WDLLL
19	Avispa Fukuoka	12	-8	7	LLLWL
20	Chiba	12	-12	7	DLDDL

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About this match

Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka preview

J1 League fixture: Chiba welcome Avispa Fukuoka on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 (07:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

ChibaDLDDL5 scored · 7 conceded

Avispa FukuokaLLLLW5 scored · 11 conceded

Key facts · last 5

ChibaAvispa Fukuoka

1.3Goals scored per game0.8

1.4Goals conceded per game1.6

60%Both teams scored60%

40%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets0

Head-to-head in numbers

6Chiba wins

9Draws

6Avispa Fukuoka wins

21 meetings · 2.9 goals per game · both teams scored in 62%

What's at stake

Chiba20th7 pts · 12 played

Nito explains: Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka mean?

The best prices are 3.15 for a Chiba win, 3.35 for a draw and 2.35 for a Avispa Fukuoka win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.15 returns 31.50 if Chiba win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.1% removed) that is 30% Chiba, 29% draw and 41% Avispa Fukuoka.

What does Nito's pick "Both teams to score: Yes" mean?

It wins if both teams score at least once, whatever the result. At 1.80, the price implies a 56% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Chiba and Avispa Fukuoka matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Chiba's last 10 matches and 60% of Avispa Fukuoka's last 10. In their 21 recorded meetings it was 62%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Chiba reached that in 40% of their last 10 matches, Avispa Fukuoka in 60% of their last 10. Their 21 meetings averaged 2.9 goals (62% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DLDDL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Chiba, last 5: 0 W · 3 D · 2 L (5 scored, 7 conceded). Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: 1 W · 0 D · 4 L (5 scored, 11 conceded).

Where do Chiba and Avispa Fukuoka stand in the table?

Chiba are 20th with 7 points from 12 games. Avispa Fukuoka are 19th with 7 points from 12 games. They are level on points.

Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka: questions & answers

Who will win Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Bookmaker odds imply Chiba 30%, draw 29%, Avispa Fukuoka 41%.

Will both teams score in Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is Yes (60% confidence, 1.80). Both teams scored in 62% of their 21 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Chiba's matches and 60% of Avispa Fukuoka's.

What are the odds for Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Odds: Chiba 3.15, draw 3.35, Avispa Fukuoka 2.35. Our pick Both teams to score: Yes is available at 1.80.

When is the Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka kick-off?

Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 07:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Chiba and Avispa Fukuoka?

21 meetings: Chiba 6 wins, 9 draws, Avispa Fukuoka 6 wins. Those 21 games averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.

Other J1 League matches on 1 Nov

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Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction & odds

Chiba

Avispa Fukuoka

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds