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Cruzeiro vs Bahia prediction & odds

Cruzeiro

23:00

Kick-off Wed 4 Nov, 23:00

Bahia

Odds 1X2

1Cruzeiro1.76XDraw4.192Bahia4.40

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

CruzeirovsBahia

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Brasileirão
Kick-off: Wed 4 Nov 23:00 EET
Stadium: Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Capacity: 62,170
City: Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Cruzeiro55%1.76

Draw23%4.19

Bahia22%4.40

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.4%

Cruzeiro1.7655%Draw4.1923%Bahia4.4022%

1st-half resultmargin 5.4%

Cruzeiro2.2143%Draw2.5837%Bahia4.6820%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

16Cruzeiro wins

8Draws

4Bahia wins

Last matches: Cruzeiro

Primeira LigaJoinvilleCruzeiro00D
Primeira LigaCruzeiroAtlético Mineiro10W
29.10.26BrasileirãoAtlético MineiroCruzeiro01W
23.10.26BrasileirãoCruzeiroRemo10W
18.10.26BrasileirãoGrêmioCruzeiro24W

Last matches: Bahia

29.10.26BrasileirãoBahiaSao Paulo32W
25.10.26BrasileirãoSantosBahia11D
18.10.26BrasileirãoBahiaFlamengo03L
11.10.26BrasileirãoBahiaMirassol10W
09.10.26BrasileirãoPalmeirasBahia10L

Head-to-head matches

10.05.26BrasileirãoBahiaCruzeiro12W
15.09.25Serie ABahiaCruzeiro12W
18.04.25Serie ACruzeiroBahia30W
19.10.24Serie ACruzeiroBahia11D
23.06.24Serie ABahiaCruzeiro41L
25.10.23Serie ACruzeiroBahia30W

2.71Avg goals61%Both scored57%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Cruzeiro vs Bahia: head-to-head record

28 meetings since 2000: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

16Cruzeiro wins

8Draws

4Bahia wins

50:26Goals (Cruzeiro : Bahia)

2.71Goals per match

61%BTTS

75%Over 1.5

57%Over 2.5

25%Over 3.5

Cruzeiro at home: 9-4-127:12 goals in 14 games
Bahia at home: 3-4-714:23 goals in 14 games
Cruzeiro's biggest win: 0–7Bahia 0–7 Cruzeiro, 13 Dec 2003
Bahia's biggest win: 4–1Bahia 4–1 Cruzeiro, 23 Jun 2024

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Brasileirão	Bahia	1–2	Cruzeiro
15 Sept 2025	Serie A	Bahia	1–2	Cruzeiro
18 Apr 2025	Serie A	Cruzeiro	3–0	Bahia
19 Oct 2024	Serie A	Cruzeiro	1–1	Bahia
23 Jun 2024	Serie A	Bahia	4–1	Cruzeiro
25 Oct 2023	Serie A	Cruzeiro	3–0	Bahia
10 Jun 2023	Serie A	Bahia	2–2	Cruzeiro
23 Jul 2022	Serie B	Cruzeiro	1–0	Bahia
9 Apr 2022	Serie B	Bahia	2–0	Cruzeiro
3 Nov 2019	Serie A	Cruzeiro	1–1	Bahia
20 Jul 2019	Serie A	Bahia	0–0	Cruzeiro
2 Dec 2018	Serie A	Bahia	0–0	Cruzeiro
19 Aug 2018	Serie A	Cruzeiro	1–1	Bahia
17 Sept 2017	Serie A	Cruzeiro	1–0	Bahia
9 Jun 2017	Serie A	Bahia	1–0	Cruzeiro
11 Sept 2014	Serie A	Cruzeiro	2–1	Bahia
20 Apr 2014	Serie A	Bahia	1–2	Cruzeiro
1 Dec 2013	Serie A	Cruzeiro	1–2	Bahia
5 Sept 2013	Serie A	Bahia	1–3	Cruzeiro
11 Nov 2012	Serie A	Cruzeiro	3–1	Bahia

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Cruzeiro4W 1D 0L · goals 7–2

D01.01Primeira LigaAJoinville0–0
W01.01Primeira LigaHAtlético Mineiro1–0
W29.10BrasileirãoAAtlético Mineiro1–0
W23.10BrasileirãoHRemo1–0
W18.10BrasileirãoAGrêmio4–2

Bahia2W 1D 2L · goals 5–7

W29.10BrasileirãoHSao Paulo3–2
D25.10BrasileirãoASantos1–1
L18.10BrasileirãoHFlamengo0–3
W11.10BrasileirãoHMirassol1–0
L09.10BrasileirãoAPalmeiras0–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

CruzeiroBahia

1.8Goals scored per game1.6

1.0Goals conceded per game1.4

50%Both teams scored60%

50%Over 2.5 goals60%

5Clean sheets2

10%Failed to score20%

4-0-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-1-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

CruzeiroBahia

Serie A 2025 · 38 gamesSerie A 2026 · 27 games

1.4Goals scored1.5

0.8Goals conceded1.3

5.8Corners5.7

13.5Shots14.9

47%Possession54%

2.8Yellow cards2.3

45%Clean sheets26%

26%Failed to score11%

13-4-2Home / away record (W-D-L)6-4-4

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Serie A

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Palmeiras	33	+34	70	DWWWW
3	Cruzeiro	33	+6	57	WWWLW
4	Athletico-PR	32	+12	54	DLWDW
5	Fluminense	33	+10	54	WLLLW
6	Bahia	33	+6	53	WDLWL
7	Atletico-MG	33	+5	50	LLWWD

Comments

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About this match

Cruzeiro vs Bahia preview

Cruzeiro host Bahia in the Brasileirão on Wed, 4 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 23:00.

Form · last 5 matches

CruzeiroDWWWW7 scored · 2 conceded

BahiaWDLWL5 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

CruzeiroBahia

1.8Goals scored per game1.6

1.0Goals conceded per game1.4

50%Both teams scored60%

50%Over 2.5 goals60%

5Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

16Cruzeiro wins

8Draws

4Bahia wins

28 meetings · 2.7 goals per game · both teams scored in 61%

What's at stake

Cruzeiro3rd57 pts · 33 played

Bahia6th53 pts · 33 played

Cruzeiro lead by 4 pts

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto.

The best available prices are 1.76 on Cruzeiro, 4.19 on the draw and 4.40 on Bahia, which is roughly 55%, 23% and 22% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Recent form over the last 5: Cruzeiro DWWWW (goals 7–2), Bahia WDLWL (goals 5–7).

Both teams scored in 50% of Cruzeiro's recent games and 60% of Bahia's; over 2.5 goals landed in 50% and 60% respectively.

Per game, Cruzeiro average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (clean sheets: 5), Bahia 1.6 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 2).

Across 28 head-to-head games the record reads 16–8–4 (wins–draws–losses) from Cruzeiro's side.

Those 28 games averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.

The last meeting (2026-05-10) ended Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro.

Cruzeiro sit 3rd on 57 pts after 33 games, Bahia 6th on 53 pts.

Nito explains: Cruzeiro vs Bahia

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Cruzeiro vs Bahia mean?

The best prices are 1.76 for a Cruzeiro win, 4.19 for a draw and 4.40 for a Bahia win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.76 returns 17.60 if Cruzeiro win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.4% removed) that is 55% Cruzeiro, 23% draw and 22% Bahia.

How often do Cruzeiro and Bahia matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Cruzeiro's last 10 matches and 60% of Bahia's last 10. In their 28 recorded meetings it was 61%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Cruzeiro reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Bahia in 60% of their last 10. Their 28 meetings averaged 2.7 goals (57% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DWWWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Cruzeiro, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (7 scored, 2 conceded). Bahia, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (5 scored, 7 conceded).

Where do Cruzeiro and Bahia stand in the table?

Cruzeiro are 3rd with 57 points from 33 games. Bahia are 6th with 53 points from 33 games. The gap between them is 4 points.

Cruzeiro vs Bahia: questions & answers

Who will win Cruzeiro vs Bahia?

Bookmaker odds imply Cruzeiro 55%, draw 23%, Bahia 22%.

Will both teams score in Cruzeiro vs Bahia?

Both teams scored in 61% of their 28 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Cruzeiro's matches and 60% of Bahia's.

What are the odds for Cruzeiro vs Bahia?

Odds: Cruzeiro 1.76, draw 4.19, Bahia 4.40.

When is the Cruzeiro vs Bahia kick-off?

Cruzeiro vs Bahia kicks off on Wed, 4 Nov 2026 at 23:00 (GMT+2) at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto.

What is the head-to-head record between Cruzeiro and Bahia?

28 meetings: Cruzeiro 16 wins, 8 draws, Bahia 4 wins. Those 28 games averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.

Other Brasileirão matches on 4 Nov

All Brasileirão fixtures

Cruzeiro vs Bahia prediction & odds

Cruzeiro

Bahia

Match information

Match information

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

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