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Bahia vs Sao Paulo result, stats & H2H

Bahia

3–2

Sao Paulo

Rodrigo 6′
Erick Pulga 10′
Marcos Victor 81′

Lucas Moura 43′
D. Bobadilla 45′

29/10/2026 02:30 · Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia3–2Sao Paulo

Key events

Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

Key events

1st half2 - 2

1-0

Rodrigo6′

2-0

Erick Pulga10′

43′2-1

Lucas Moura

45′2-2

D. Bobadilla

2nd half1 - 0

Erick56′

Everton Ribeiro56′

Ademir56′

Marcos Victor69′

70′

Sabino

71′

Djhordney

Caio Alexandre74′

3-2

Marcos Victor81′

82′

G. Santana

82′

Victor Sa

82′

Danielzinho

82′

Cauly

Michel Araujo88′

90′

G. Santana

90′

Lucas Moura

90′Dorival Junior

David Duarte90′

Key stats

The main team numbers from the match feed; all of them are in the Stats tab

Key stats

BahiaSao Paulo

4Shots on target6

12Fouls13

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

All stats (8)

Top-rated players

Highest player ratings from the official match data feed

Top 5

Bahia

Sao Paulo

Marcos VictorDF · 90′Player of the match9.3
Damián BobadillaMF · 82′7.9
Rodrigo NestorMF · 74′7.6
Everton RibeiroMF · 34′7.3
ErickMF · 34′7.3

Marcos VictorDF · 90′Player of the match9.3
Rodrigo NestorMF · 74′7.6
Everton RibeiroMF · 34′7.3

Damián BobadillaMF · 82′7.9
WendellMF · 82′7.3
Pedro LimaMF · 90′7.2

All player stats →

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

2.14Lost

62%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Brasileirão
Kick-off: Thu 29 Oct 02:30 EET
Stadium: Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova
Capacity: 56,500
City: Salvador, Bahia

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.562%Confidence2.14lost

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 2.14 means bookmakers give it 47%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+15 pts)
3+ goals in 60% of Bahia's last 5 and 20% of Sao Paulo's
Goals per game in the last 5: Bahia matches 3.1, Sao Paulo matches 1.9
Their 34 meetings average 2.3 goals; both teams scored in 38%

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreYes

Confidence60%

Price1.85Won

We rate Both teams to score: Yes at 60% — the price of 1.85 implies only 54%.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence62%

Price2.14Lost

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 62% — the price of 2.14 implies only 47%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Closing odds

	Bahia	Draw	Sao Paulo
1X2	1.91 2.01	3.73 3.53	4.00 3.82

Last pre-match price before kick-off (bold) and the opening price (grey), recorded by Tipnito.

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

12Bahia wins

8Draws

14Sao Paulo wins

Last matches: Bahia

25.10.26BrasileirãoSantosBahia11D
18.10.26BrasileirãoBahiaFlamengo03L
11.10.26BrasileirãoBahiaMirassol10W
09.10.26BrasileirãoPalmeirasBahia10L
20.09.26BrasileirãoAthletico-PRBahia21L

Last matches: Sao Paulo

24.10.26BrasileirãoMirassolSao Paulo11D
18.10.26BrasileirãoSao PauloVasco10W
11.10.26BrasileirãoSao PauloVitoria21W
08.10.26BrasileirãoCruzeiroSao Paulo20L
02.10.26BrasileirãoSao PauloSantos12L

Head-to-head matches

29.10.26BrasileirãoBahiaSao Paulo32W
03.05.26BrasileirãoSao PauloBahia22D
26.10.25Serie ASao PauloBahia20L
31.05.25Serie ABahiaSao Paulo21W
06.11.24Serie ABahiaSao Paulo03L
30.06.24Serie ASao PauloBahia31L

2.26Avg goals38%Both scored41%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Bahia vs Sao Paulo: head-to-head record

34 meetings since 2000: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

12Bahia wins

8Draws

14Sao Paulo wins

34:43Goals (Bahia : Sao Paulo)

2.26Goals per match

38%BTTS

62%Over 1.5

41%Over 2.5

21%Over 3.5

Bahia at home: 9-2-622:21 goals in 17 games
Sao Paulo at home: 8-6-322:12 goals in 17 games
Bahia's biggest win: 3–0Bahia 3–0 Sao Paulo, 7 Oct 2003
Sao Paulo's biggest win: 0–3Bahia 0–3 Sao Paulo, 6 Nov 2024

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
29 Oct 2026	Brasileirão	Bahia	3–2	Sao Paulo
3 May 2026	Brasileirão	Sao Paulo	2–2	Bahia
26 Oct 2025	Serie A	Sao Paulo	2–0	Bahia
31 May 2025	Serie A	Bahia	2–1	Sao Paulo
6 Nov 2024	Serie A	Bahia	0–3	Sao Paulo
30 Jun 2024	Serie A	Sao Paulo	3–1	Bahia
29 Nov 2023	Serie A	Bahia	0–1	Sao Paulo
30 Jul 2023	Serie A	Sao Paulo	0–0	Bahia
7 Nov 2021	Serie A	Bahia	1–0	Sao Paulo
10 Jul 2021	Serie A	Sao Paulo	1–0	Bahia
28 Nov 2020	Serie A	Bahia	1–3	Sao Paulo
20 Aug 2020	Serie A	Sao Paulo	1–1	Bahia
10 Oct 2019	Serie A	Bahia	0–0	Sao Paulo
30 May 2019	Cup	Bahia	1–0	Sao Paulo
23 May 2019	Cup	Sao Paulo	0–1	Bahia
19 May 2019	Serie A	Sao Paulo	0–0	Bahia
8 Sept 2018	Serie A	Sao Paulo	1–0	Bahia
13 May 2018	Serie A	Bahia	2–2	Sao Paulo
6 Aug 2017	Serie A	Bahia	2–1	Sao Paulo
18 Oct 2014	Serie A	Sao Paulo	2–1	Bahia

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Bahia1W 1D 3L · goals 3–7

D25.10BrasileirãoASantos1–1
L18.10BrasileirãoHFlamengo0–3
W11.10BrasileirãoHMirassol1–0
L09.10BrasileirãoAPalmeiras0–1
L20.09BrasileirãoAAthletico-PR1–2

Sao Paulo2W 1D 2L · goals 5–6

D24.10BrasileirãoAMirassol1–1
W18.10BrasileirãoHVasco1–0
W11.10BrasileirãoHVitoria2–1
L08.10BrasileirãoACruzeiro0–2
L02.10BrasileirãoHSantos1–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

BahiaSao Paulo

1.6Goals scored per game0.9

1.5Goals conceded per game1.0

60%Both teams scored40%

60%Over 2.5 goals20%

2Clean sheets3

20%Failed to score30%

3-0-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-1-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

BahiaSao Paulo

Serie A 2026 · 27 gamesSerie A 2026 · 23 games

1.5Goals scored1.2

1.3Goals conceded1.2

5.7Corners6.2

14.9Shots13.0

54%Possession53%

2.3Yellow cards2.3

26%Clean sheets17%

11%Failed to score22%

5-6-2Home / away record (W-D-L)2-2-8

Match stats

Team and player statistics from the match feed

Match statistics

BahiaSao Paulo

Top stats

4Shots on target6

Passes

430Passes496

347Accurate passes425

81%Pass accuracy86%

Defence

12Fouls13

4Goalkeeper saves1

Discipline

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Player statistics

Top-rated players

9.3Marcos VictorBahia
7.9Damián BobadillaSao Paulo
7.6Rodrigo NestorBahia
7.3Everton RibeiroBahia
7.3ErickBahia

Bahia (16)

Sao Paulo (16)

Ratings and per-player numbers come from the official match data feed. Hover or long-press a column header for its full name.

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Serie A

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
5	Fluminense	33	+10	54	WLLLW
6	Bahia	33	+6	53	WDLWL
7	Atletico-MG	33	+5	50	LLWWD
9	Bragantino	33	+4	44	WLDWD
10	Sao Paulo	33	0	43	LDWWL
11	Botafogo RJ	33	-8	39	LLWDL

Line-ups

Starting XI and formations, with ratings, goals, cards and substitutions when the feed has them

Line-ups

BahiaFormationSao Paulo

Bahia

Sao Paulo

Goal
Yellow card
Substituted off
Came on
Captain
Player rating (match feed)

Substitutes

Coaches

Ceni RogerioJunior Dorival

Comments

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About this match

Bahia vs Sao Paulo preview

Bahia and Sao Paulo met in the Brasileirão on Thu, 29 Oct 2026, and the match finished 3–2.

Form · last 5 matches

BahiaDLWLL3 scored · 7 conceded

Sao PauloDWWLL5 scored · 6 conceded

Key facts · last 5

BahiaSao Paulo

1.6Goals scored per game0.9

1.5Goals conceded per game1.0

60%Both teams scored40%

60%Over 2.5 goals20%

2Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

12Bahia wins

8Draws

14Sao Paulo wins

34 meetings · 2.3 goals per game · both teams scored in 38%

League table

Bahia6th53 pts · 33 played

Sao Paulo10th43 pts · 33 played

Bahia lead by 10 pts

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.562%Confidence2.14lost

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Our top pick, Under 2.5 goals at 2.14 (62% confidence), lost.

Our other picks were Both teams to score: Yes (60%, 1.85).

Recent form over the last 5: Bahia DLWLL (goals 3–7), Sao Paulo DWWLL (goals 5–6).

Both teams scored in 60% of Bahia's recent games and 40% of Sao Paulo's; over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 20% respectively.

Per game, Bahia average 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Sao Paulo 0.9 and 1.0 (clean sheets: 3).

Across 34 head-to-head games the record reads 12–8–14 (wins–draws–losses) from Bahia's side.

Those 34 games averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% of them.

Bahia sit 6th on 53 pts after 33 games, Sao Paulo 10th on 43 pts.

Nito explains: Bahia vs Sao Paulo

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

How often do Bahia and Sao Paulo matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Bahia's last 10 matches and 40% of Sao Paulo's last 10. In their 34 recorded meetings it was 38%. In this match it landed (Bahia 3-2 Sao Paulo).

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Bahia reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Sao Paulo in 20% of their last 10. Their 34 meetings averaged 2.3 goals (41% over 2.5). This match had 5 goals: over.

What does the form guide DLWLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Bahia, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (3 scored, 7 conceded). Sao Paulo, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (5 scored, 6 conceded).

Where do Bahia and Sao Paulo stand in the table?

Bahia are 6th with 53 points from 33 games. Sao Paulo are 10th with 43 points from 33 games. The gap between them is 10 points.

Bahia vs Sao Paulo: questions & answers

Who won Bahia vs Sao Paulo?

Bahia won 3–2.

Did both teams score in Bahia vs Sao Paulo?

Yes, the match finished 3–2.

When was Bahia vs Sao Paulo played?

Bahia vs Sao Paulo was played on Thu, 29 Oct 2026 at 02:30 (GMT+2) at Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova.

What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Sao Paulo?

34 meetings: Bahia 12 wins, 8 draws, Sao Paulo 14 wins. Those 34 games averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% of them.

Other Brasileirão matches on 29 Oct

All Brasileirão fixtures

Bahia vs Sao Paulo result, stats & H2H

Bahia

Sao Paulo

Key events

Key events

Key stats

Key stats

Top-rated players

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Closing odds

Head-to-head

Head-to-head

Last matches: Bahia

Last matches: Sao Paulo

Head-to-head matches

Meetings (20 most recent)

Form, last 5 matches

Goals and trends · last 10

Season stats

Match stats

Match statistics

Top stats

Passes

Defence

Discipline

Player statistics

Top-rated players

Standings

Table · Serie A

Line-ups

Line-ups

Substitutes

Coaches

Comments

Bahia vs Sao Paulo preview

Form · last 5 matches

Key facts · last 5

Head-to-head in numbers

League table

Our pick

Nito explains: Bahia vs Sao Paulo

How often do Bahia and Sao Paulo matches see both teams score?

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

What does the form guide DLWLL mean?

Where do Bahia and Sao Paulo stand in the table?

Bahia vs Sao Paulo: questions & answers

Other Brasileirão matches on 29 Oct

More on this match

Key facts

Key stats

Key stats

Top-rated players

Closing odds

Head-to-head

Head-to-head

Last matches: Bahia

Last matches: Sao Paulo

Head-to-head matches

Meetings (20 most recent)

Form, last 5 matches

Goals and trends · last 10

Season stats

Match stats

Match statistics

Top stats

Passes

Defence

Discipline

Player statistics

Top-rated players

Standings

Table · Serie A

Form · last 5 matches

Key facts · last 5

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.