Home / Turkey: Turkish Super Lig / Basaksehir vs Samsunspor

Turkish Super LigUpcoming

Basaksehir vs Samsunspor prediction & odds

Basaksehir

15:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 15:00

Samsunspor

Odds 1X2

1Basaksehir1.84Nito’s pickXDraw3.852Samsunspor4.15

Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

BasaksehirvsSamsunspor

Nito’s pick1.84

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Basaksehir

1.84

63%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 63% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Turkish Super Lig
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 15:00 EET
Stadium: Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Capacity: 17,319
City: İstanbul

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Basaksehir63%Confidence1.84Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.84 means bookmakers give it 54%; Nito's confidence is 63% (+9 pts)
Basaksehir won 2 of their last 5 (goals 6–8); Samsunspor won 0 (goals 3–15)
In the table Basaksehir are 12th with 11 pts, Samsunspor 17th with 4 pts
In 14 meetings Basaksehir won 8, Samsunspor won 4, 2 were drawn

Nito’s note: Close call. 63% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Basaksehir50%1.77

Draw25%3.48

Samsunspor24%3.63

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.4%

Basaksehir1.8452%Draw3.8525%Samsunspor4.1523%

Double chance

Basaksehir or Draw1.18Basaksehir or Samsunspor1.19Draw or Samsunspor2.00

Total goals 2.5margin 5.0%

Over 2.51.6956%Under 2.52.1844%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.7%

Basaksehir -0.51.8353%Samsunspor +0.52.0447%

1st-half resultmargin 5.7%

Basaksehir2.3440%Draw2.4439%Samsunspor4.5521%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Basaksehir1.9450%Samsunspor1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

8Basaksehir wins

2Draws

4Samsunspor wins

Last matches: Basaksehir

26.10.26Turkish Super LigBesiktasBasaksehir20L
18.10.26Turkish Super LigBasaksehirGaziantep21W
11.10.26Turkish Super LigKonyasporBasaksehir00D
19.09.26Turkish Super LigBasaksehirGenclerbirligi40W
13.09.26Turkish Super LigAmedsporBasaksehir50L

Last matches: Samsunspor

24.10.26Turkish Super LigSamsunsporAmedspor

Basaksehir vs Samsunspor: head-to-head record

14 meetings since 2005: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

8Basaksehir wins

2Draws

4Samsunspor wins

23:11Goals (Basaksehir : Samsunspor)

2.43Goals per match

21%BTTS

64%Over 1.5

43%Over 2.5

29%Over 3.5

Basaksehir at home: 5-0-114:3 goals in 6 games
Samsunspor at home: 3-2-38:9 goals in 8 games
Basaksehir's biggest win: 4–0Basaksehir 4–0 Samsunspor, 1 Feb 2025
Samsunspor's biggest win: 2–0Samsunspor 2–0 Basaksehir, 18 Sept 2024

Meetings (14 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
9 May 2026	Turkish Super Lig	Basaksehir	3–0	Samsunspor
14 Dec 2025	Turkish Super Lig	Samsunspor

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Basaksehir2W 1D 2L · goals 6–8

L26.10Turkish Super LigABesiktas0–2
W18.10Turkish Super LigHGaziantep2–1
D11.10Turkish Super LigAKonyaspor0–0
W19.09Turkish Super LigHGenclerbirligi4–0
L13.09Turkish Super LigAAmedspor0–5

Samsunspor0W 0D 5L · goals 3–15

L24.10Turkish Super LigHAmedspor1–2
L18.10Turkish Super LigAKasimpasa1–4
L10.10Turkish Super LigHTrabzonspor0–3
L20.09Turkish Super LigAErzurumspor

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

BasaksehirSamsunspor

1.2Goals scored per game0.8

1.6Goals conceded per game2.4

40%Both teams scored40%

50%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets1

40%Failed to score50%

3-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-0-4

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

BasaksehirSamsunspor

SÃ¼per Lig 2026/2027 · 3 gamesSÃ¼per Lig 2026/2027 · 6 games

1.3Goals scored1.0

1.0Goals conceded2.0

4.7Corners3.8

13.7Shots13.2

54%Possession56%

3.0Yellow cards0.7

33%Clean sheets17%

0%Failed to score50%

1-1-0Home / away record (W-D-L)1-0-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Süper Lig

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
11	Alanyaspor	9	-2	12	LLDWD
12	Basaksehir	9	-2	11	LWDWL
13	Rizespor	9	-4	10	LLLDW
16	Genclerbirligi	9	-11	8	LLDLL
17	Samsunspor	9	-13	4	LLLLL
18	Eyupspor	9	-21

Comments

What do you think about this match and Nito's pick? Be kind — no links, no advertising.

18+ · No links or advertising · Comments are moderated.

No comments yet. Start the conversation.

About this match

Basaksehir vs Samsunspor preview

Basaksehir host Samsunspor in the Turkish Super Lig on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 15:00.

Form · last 5 matches

BasaksehirLWDWL6 scored · 8 conceded

SamsunsporLLLLL3 scored · 15 conceded

Key facts · last 5

BasaksehirSamsunspor

1.2Goals scored per game0.8

1.6Goals conceded per game2.4

40%Both teams scored40%

50%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

8Basaksehir wins

2Draws

4Samsunspor wins

14 meetings · 2.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 21%

What's at stake

Basaksehir12th11 pts · 9 played

Nito explains: Basaksehir vs Samsunspor

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Basaksehir vs Samsunspor mean?

The best prices are 1.77 for a Basaksehir win, 3.48 for a draw and 3.63 for a Samsunspor win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.77 returns 17.70 if Basaksehir win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 12.8% removed) that is 50% Basaksehir, 25% draw and 24% Samsunspor.

What does Nito's pick "Basaksehir to win" mean?

It wins only if Basaksehir win; a draw or a Samsunspor win loses. At 1.84, the price implies a 54% chance; Nito's data rates it at 63%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Basaksehir and Samsunspor matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Basaksehir's last 10 matches and 40% of Samsunspor's last 10. In their 14 recorded meetings it was 21%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Basaksehir reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Samsunspor in 60% of their last 10. Their 14 meetings averaged 2.4 goals (43% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LWDWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Basaksehir, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (6 scored, 8 conceded). Samsunspor, last 5: 0 W · 0 D · 5 L (3 scored, 15 conceded).

Where do Basaksehir and Samsunspor stand in the table?

Basaksehir are 12th with 11 points from 9 games. Samsunspor are 17th with 4 points from 9 games. The gap between them is 7 points.

Basaksehir vs Samsunspor: questions & answers

Who will win Basaksehir vs Samsunspor?

Our pick is Basaksehir to win with 63% confidence (best price 1.84). Bookmaker odds imply Basaksehir 50%, draw 25%, Samsunspor 24%.

Will both teams score in Basaksehir vs Samsunspor?

Both teams scored in 21% of their 14 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Basaksehir's matches and 40% of Samsunspor's.

What are the odds for Basaksehir vs Samsunspor?

Odds: Basaksehir 1.77, draw 3.48, Samsunspor 3.63. Our pick Basaksehir to win is available at 1.84.

When is the Basaksehir vs Samsunspor kick-off?

Basaksehir vs Samsunspor kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (GMT+2) at Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu.

What is the head-to-head record between Basaksehir and Samsunspor?

14 meetings: Basaksehir 8 wins, 2 draws, Samsunspor 4 wins. Those 14 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 21% of them.

Other Turkish Super Lig matches on 1 Nov

All Turkish Super Lig fixtures

Basaksehir vs Samsunspor prediction & odds

Basaksehir

Samsunspor

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds