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Guabira vs Bolivar prediction & odds

Guabira

23:15

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 23:15

Bolivar

Odds 1X2

1Guabira3.00XDraw4.002Bolivar2.01Nito’s pick

Estadio Gilberto Parada

GuabiravsBolivar

Nito’s pick2.01

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Bolivar

2.01

63%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 63% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Primera Division
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 23:15 EET
Stadium: Estadio Gilberto Parada
Capacity: 18,000
City: Montero

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Bolivar63%Confidence2.01Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 2.01 means bookmakers give it 50%; Nito's confidence is 63% (+13 pts)
Bolivar won 3 of their last 5 (goals 6–5); Guabira won 2 (goals 6–10)
In the table Bolivar are 1st with 54 pts, Guabira 8th with 30 pts
In 32 meetings Bolivar won 22, Guabira won 8, 2 were drawn

Nito’s note: Close call. 63% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Bolivar

Confidence63%

Indicative price2.01

We rate Bolivar to win at 63% — the price of 2.01 implies only 50%.

Asian handicap +0.75Bolivar -0.75

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.91

We rate Asian handicap: Bolivar -0.75 at 60% — the price of 1.91 implies only 52%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Guabira31%3.00

Draw23%4.00

Bolivar46%2.01

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 8.1%

Guabira3.0031%Draw4.0023%Bolivar2.0146%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

8Guabira wins

2Draws

22Bolivar wins

Last matches: Guabira

26.10.26Primera DivisionNacional PotosiGuabira30L
18.10.26Primera DivisionGuabiraOriente Petrolero11D
12.10.26Primera DivisionGV San JoseGuabira41L
08.10.26League CupGuabiraThe Strongest21W
04.10.26League CupGuabiraOriente Petrolero21W

Last matches: Bolivar

27.10.26Primera DivisionBolivarUniversitario de Vinto21W
21.10.26League CupReal PotosiBolivar31L
18.10.26Primera DivisionNacional PotosiBolivar01W
11.10.26Primera DivisionBolivarBlooming10W
09.10.26League CupBloomingBolivar11D

Head-to-head matches

18.07.26Primera DivisionBolivarGuabira40L
13.09.25Primera DivisionBolivarGuabira40L
20.04.25Primera DivisionGuabiraBolivar24L
20.12.24Primera DivisionBolivarGuabira32L
22.09.24Primera DivisionGuabiraBolivar03L
08.07.23Primera DivisionBolivarGuabira31L

3.69Avg goals47%Both scored78%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Guabira vs Bolivar: head-to-head record

32 meetings since 2012: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

8Guabira wins

2Draws

22Bolivar wins

32:86Goals (Guabira : Bolivar)

3.69Goals per match

47%BTTS

94%Over 1.5

78%Over 2.5

44%Over 3.5

Guabira at home: 8-1-726:27 goals in 16 games
Bolivar at home: 15-1-059:6 goals in 16 games
Guabira's biggest win: 4–1Guabira 4–1 Bolivar, 21 Apr 2018
Bolivar's biggest win: 6–0Bolivar 6–0 Guabira, 22 Aug 2021

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
18 Jul 2026	Primera Division	Bolivar	4–0	Guabira
13 Sept 2025	Primera Division	Bolivar	4–0	Guabira
20 Apr 2025	Primera Division	Guabira	2–4	Bolivar
20 Dec 2024	Primera Division	Bolivar	3–2	Guabira
22 Sept 2024	Primera Division	Guabira	0–3	Bolivar
8 Jul 2023	Primera Division	Bolivar	3–1	Guabira
5 Feb 2023	Primera Division	Guabira	1–2	Bolivar
20 Oct 2022	Primera Division	Guabira	2–1	Bolivar
11 Aug 2022	Primera Division	Bolivar	3–0	Guabira
22 Aug 2021	Primera Division	Bolivar	6–0	Guabira
13 Mar 2021	Primera Division	Guabira	3–1	Bolivar
11 Dec 2020	Primera Division	Bolivar	5–0	Guabira
9 Feb 2020	Primera Division	Guabira	2–1	Bolivar
18 Oct 2019	Primera Division	Bolivar	7–2	Guabira
14 Aug 2019	Primera Division	Guabira	0–5	Bolivar
21 Apr 2019	Primera Division	Bolivar	3–0	Guabira
9 Feb 2019	Primera Division	Guabira	0–1	Bolivar
16 Nov 2018	Primera Division	Bolivar	3–0	Guabira
20 Sept 2018	Primera Division	Guabira	2–0	Bolivar
21 Apr 2018	Primera Division	Guabira	4–1	Bolivar

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Guabira2W 1D 2L · goals 6–10

L26.10Primera DivisionANacional Potosi0–3
D18.10Primera DivisionHOriente Petrolero1–1
L12.10Primera DivisionAGV San Jose1–4
W08.10League CupHThe Strongest2–1
W04.10League CupHOriente Petrolero2–1

Bolivar3W 1D 1L · goals 6–5

W27.10Primera DivisionHUniversitario de Vinto2–1
L21.10League CupAReal Potosi1–3
W18.10Primera DivisionANacional Potosi1–0
W11.10Primera DivisionHBlooming1–0
D09.10League CupABlooming1–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

GuabiraBolivar

1.3Goals scored per game2.0

2.3Goals conceded per game1.0

80%Both teams scored60%

90%Over 2.5 goals60%

0Clean sheets4

20%Failed to score0%

4-1-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-2-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

GuabiraBolivar

LFPB 2025 · 14 gamesLFPB 2025 · 15 games

2.1Goals scored2.7

1.9Goals conceded1.1

4.1Corners6.8

12.8Shots18.7

46%Possession65%

2.6Yellow cards2.7

29%Clean sheets33%

14%Failed to score0%

6-0-1Home / away record (W-D-L)4-1-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera Division

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bolivar	23	+35	54	WWWWW
2	Always Ready	23	+39	51	WLWWW
7	Nacional Potosi	23	+4	31	WLDLW
8	Guabira	23	-13	30	LDLWL
9	Independiente	23	-8	29	WDLLL

Comments

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About this match

Guabira vs Bolivar preview

Guabira host Bolivar in the Primera Division on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 23:15.

Form · last 5 matches

GuabiraLDLWW6 scored · 10 conceded

BolivarWLWWD6 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

GuabiraBolivar

1.3Goals scored per game2.0

2.3Goals conceded per game1.0

80%Both teams scored60%

90%Over 2.5 goals60%

0Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

8Guabira wins

2Draws

22Bolivar wins

32 meetings · 3.7 goals per game · both teams scored in 47%

What's at stake

Guabira8th30 pts · 23 played

Bolivar1st54 pts · 23 played

Bolivar lead by 24 pts

Our pick

Bolivar to winBolivar63%Confidence2.01Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Estadio Gilberto Parada.

The best available prices are 3.00 on Guabira, 4.00 on the draw and 2.01 on Bolivar, which is roughly 31%, 23% and 46% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Bolivar to win is our top pick for this game (63% confidence, best price 2.01).

We also have Asian handicap: Bolivar -0.75 (60%, 1.91).

Recent form over the last 5: Guabira LDLWW (goals 6–10), Bolivar WLWWD (goals 6–5).

Both teams scored in 80% of Guabira's recent games and 60% of Bolivar's; over 2.5 goals landed in 90% and 60% respectively.

Per game, Guabira average 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded (clean sheets: 0), Bolivar 2.0 and 1.0 (clean sheets: 4).

Across 32 head-to-head games the record reads 8–2–22 (wins–draws–losses) from Guabira's side.

Those 32 games averaged 3.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.

The last meeting (2026-07-18) ended Bolivar 4–0 Guabira.

Guabira sit 8th on 30 pts after 23 games, Bolivar 1st on 54 pts.

Nito explains: Guabira vs Bolivar

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Guabira vs Bolivar mean?

The best prices are 3.00 for a Guabira win, 4.00 for a draw and 2.01 for a Bolivar win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.00 returns 30.00 if Guabira win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 8.1% removed) that is 31% Guabira, 23% draw and 46% Bolivar.

What does Nito's pick "Bolivar to win" mean?

It wins only if Bolivar win; a draw or a Guabira win loses. At 2.01, the price implies a 50% chance; Nito's data rates it at 63%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Guabira and Bolivar matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 80% of Guabira's last 10 matches and 60% of Bolivar's last 10. In their 32 recorded meetings it was 47%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Guabira reached that in 90% of their last 10 matches, Bolivar in 60% of their last 10. Their 32 meetings averaged 3.7 goals (78% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LDLWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Guabira, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (6 scored, 10 conceded). Bolivar, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (6 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do Guabira and Bolivar stand in the table?

Guabira are 8th with 30 points from 23 games. Bolivar are 1st with 54 points from 23 games. The gap between them is 24 points.

Guabira vs Bolivar: questions & answers

Who will win Guabira vs Bolivar?

Our pick is Bolivar to win with 63% confidence (best price 2.01). Bookmaker odds imply Guabira 31%, draw 23%, Bolivar 46%.

Will both teams score in Guabira vs Bolivar?

Both teams scored in 47% of their 32 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 80% of Guabira's matches and 60% of Bolivar's.

What are the odds for Guabira vs Bolivar?

Odds: Guabira 3.00, draw 4.00, Bolivar 2.01. Our pick Bolivar to win is available at 2.01.

When is the Guabira vs Bolivar kick-off?

Guabira vs Bolivar kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 23:15 (GMT+2) at Estadio Gilberto Parada.

What is the head-to-head record between Guabira and Bolivar?

32 meetings: Guabira 8 wins, 2 draws, Bolivar 22 wins. Those 32 games averaged 3.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.

Other Primera Division matches on 1 Nov

21:00The StrongestGV San Jose

All Primera Division fixtures

Guabira vs Bolivar prediction & odds

Guabira

Bolivar

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds