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EFL ChampionshipFT

Bolton vs Middlesbrough result, stats & H2H

Bolton

1–5
FT

Middlesbrough

23/10/2026 22:00 · Toughsheet Community Stadium

Key events

Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

Key events

1st half1 - 3
13′0-1A. Morris
31′0-2W. Lankshear
39′0-3L. Brunt(OG)
1-3T. Bair45′
2nd half0 - 2
M. Conway46′
A. Ito46′
S. Dalby55′
R. Hardie55′
J. Sheehan63′
69′M. Arfsten
73′1-4A. Cozier-Duberry
X. Simons74′
78′1-5W. Lankshear
79′L. Castledine
79′J. Sarmiento
79′K. Joseph
86′M. Peart-Harris

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Middlesbrough
1.61Won

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Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
EFL Championship
Kick-off
Stadium
Toughsheet Community Stadium
Capacity
28,723
City
Bolton

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Middlesbrough65%Confidence1.61won

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.61 means bookmakers give it 62%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+3 pts)

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)MiddlesbroughHigh confidence
Confidence65%
Price1.61Won

We rate Middlesbrough to win at 65% — the price of 1.61 implies only 62%.

Asian handicap +0.5Middlesbrough -0.5
Confidence63%
Price1.58Won

Asian handicap: Middlesbrough -0.5: our confidence is 63% at a best price of 1.58.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

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About this match

Bolton vs Middlesbrough preview

Bolton and Middlesbrough met in the EFL Championship on Fri, 23 Oct 2026, and the match finished 1–5.