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Covilha vs Caldas prediction & odds

Covilha

17:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 17:00

Caldas

Odds 1X2

1Covilha2.46XDraw3.102Caldas2.97

Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto

CovilhavsCaldas

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Liga 3
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 17:00 EET
Stadium: Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto
Capacity: 3,000
City: Covilhã

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Covilha38%2.46

Draw30%3.10

Caldas32%2.97

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 6.6%

Covilha2.4638%Draw3.1030%Caldas2.9732%

Total goals 2.5margin 6.2%

Over 2.52.2342%Under 2.51.6358%

Asian handicapmargin 4.5%

Covilha -0.252.1145%Caldas +0.251.7555%

More markets (1)

1st-half resultmargin 9.1%

Covilha3.0630%Draw2.0744%Caldas3.5626%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

2Covilha wins

1Draws

1Caldas wins

Last matches: Covilha

25.10.26Liga 3Os BelenensesCovilha11D
10.10.26Liga 3CovilhaOliveirense00D
12.09.26Liga 3Lusitano GCCovilha22D
05.09.26Liga 3MafraCovilha10L
30.08.26Taça de PortugalCovilhaMortagua00D

Last matches: Caldas

24.10.26Liga 3CaldasMafra33D
11.10.26Liga 3Atletico CPCaldas41L
13.09.26Liga 3CaldasVitoria Sernache20W
04.09.26Liga 3SantaremCaldas01W
30.08.26Taça de PortugalCaldasSintrense13L

Head-to-head matches

25.04.26Liga 3CaldasCovilha11D
22.02.26Liga 3CovilhaCaldas10W
09.11.25Liga 3CovilhaCaldas21W
09.08.25Liga 3CaldasCovilha21L

2.25Avg goals75%Both scored50%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Covilha vs Caldas: head-to-head record

4 meetings since 2025: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

2Covilha wins

1Draws

1Caldas wins

5:4Goals (Covilha : Caldas)

2.25Goals per match

75%BTTS

75%Over 1.5

50%Over 2.5

0%Over 3.5

Covilha at home: 2-0-03:1 goals in 2 games
Caldas at home: 1-1-03:2 goals in 2 games
Covilha's biggest win: 1–0Covilha 1–0 Caldas, 22 Feb 2026
Caldas's biggest win: 2–1Caldas 2–1 Covilha, 9 Aug 2025

Meetings (4 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
25 Apr 2026	Liga 3	Caldas	1–1	Covilha
22 Feb 2026	Liga 3	Covilha	1–0	Caldas
9 Nov 2025	Liga 3	Covilha	2–1	Caldas
9 Aug 2025	Liga 3	Caldas	2–1	Covilha

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Covilha0W 4D 1L · goals 3–4

D25.10Liga 3AOs Belenenses1–1
D10.10Liga 3HOliveirense0–0
D12.09Liga 3ALusitano GC2–2
L05.09Liga 3AMafra0–1
D30.08Taça de PortugalHMortagua0–0

Caldas2W 1D 2L · goals 8–10

D24.10Liga 3HMafra3–3
L11.10Liga 3AAtletico CP1–4
W13.09Liga 3HVitoria Sernache2–0
W04.09Liga 3ASantarem1–0
L30.08Taça de PortugalHSintrense1–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

CovilhaCaldas

0.7Goals scored per game1.3

0.9Goals conceded per game1.9

40%Both teams scored60%

20%Over 2.5 goals60%

4Clean sheets3

50%Failed to score20%

1-3-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-0-3

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Liga 3 - Group 2

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	Louletano	7	-1	8	DLLWW
7	Caldas	7	-3	8	DLWWL
8	Covilha	7	-2	7	DDDLL
9	Lusitano GC	7	-4	6	DLDLW

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About this match

Covilha vs Caldas preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 17:00, Covilha take on Caldas in the Liga 3.

Form · last 5 matches

CovilhaDDDLD3 scored · 4 conceded

CaldasDLWWL8 scored · 10 conceded

Key facts · last 5

CovilhaCaldas

0.7Goals scored per game1.3

0.9Goals conceded per game1.9

40%Both teams scored60%

20%Over 2.5 goals60%

4Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

2Covilha wins

1Draws

1Caldas wins

4 meetings · 2.3 goals per game · both teams scored in 75%

What's at stake

Covilha8th7 pts · 7 played

Caldas7th8 pts · 7 played

Caldas lead by 1 pts

Read the full match preview

Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto hosts the match.

The market sees little between the sides: Covilha 2.46 (38%), draw 3.10 (30%), Caldas 2.97 (32%).

Covilha come into the game with DDDLD in their last 5 (3 scored, 4 conceded), while Caldas have DLWWL (8 scored, 10 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 20% of Covilha's recent games and 60% of Caldas's, with both teams scoring in 40% and 60%.

Per game, Covilha average 0.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (clean sheets: 4), Caldas 1.3 and 1.9 (clean sheets: 3).

Head-to-head over 4 previous meetings: Covilha 2 wins, Caldas 1 wins, draws 1.

Those 4 games averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

The last meeting (2026-04-25) ended Caldas 1–1 Covilha.

In the table, Covilha are 8th (7 pts from 7 games) and Caldas are 7th (8 pts from 7).

Nito explains: Covilha vs Caldas

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Covilha vs Caldas mean?

The best prices are 2.46 for a Covilha win, 3.10 for a draw and 2.97 for a Caldas win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.46 returns 24.60 if Covilha win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 6.6% removed) that is 38% Covilha, 30% draw and 32% Caldas.

How often do Covilha and Caldas matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Covilha's last 10 matches and 60% of Caldas's last 10. In their 4 recorded meetings it was 75%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Covilha reached that in 20% of their last 10 matches, Caldas in 60% of their last 10. Their 4 meetings averaged 2.3 goals (50% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DDDLD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Covilha, last 5: 0 W · 4 D · 1 L (3 scored, 4 conceded). Caldas, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (8 scored, 10 conceded).

Where do Covilha and Caldas stand in the table?

Covilha are 8th with 7 points from 7 games. Caldas are 7th with 8 points from 7 games. The gap between them is 1 points.

Covilha vs Caldas: questions & answers

Who will win Covilha vs Caldas?

Bookmaker odds imply Covilha 38%, draw 30%, Caldas 32%.

Will both teams score in Covilha vs Caldas?

Both teams scored in 75% of their 4 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Covilha's matches and 60% of Caldas's.

What are the odds for Covilha vs Caldas?

Odds: Covilha 2.46, draw 3.10, Caldas 2.97.

When is the Covilha vs Caldas kick-off?

Covilha vs Caldas kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2) at Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto.

What is the head-to-head record between Covilha and Caldas?

4 meetings: Covilha 2 wins, 1 draws, Caldas 1 wins. Those 4 games averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

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Covilha vs Caldas prediction & odds

Covilha

Caldas

Match information

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All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

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