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Caracas vs Monagas prediction & odds

Caracas

01:30

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 01:30

Monagas

Odds 1X2

1Caracas2.17XDraw3.352Monagas3.15

Estadio Olímpico de la UCV

CaracasvsMonagas

Nito’s pick1.63

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Monagas

1.63

65%Confidence

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Primera Division
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 01:30 EET
Stadium: Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
Capacity: 23,940
City: Caracas

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Monagas65%Confidence1.63Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.63 means bookmakers give it 61%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+4 pts)
Monagas won 1 of their last 5 (goals 7–9); Caracas won 2 (goals 6–7)
In the table Monagas are 10th with 29 pts, Caracas 9th with 32 pts
In 50 meetings Monagas won 9, Caracas won 28, 13 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or MonagasHigh confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.63

Double chance: Draw or Monagas: our confidence is 65%, 4 points above the 61% the best price of 1.63 implies.

Asian handicap -0.25Monagas +0.25

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.91

Asian handicap: Monagas +0.25: our confidence is 60%, 8 points above the 52% the best price of 1.91 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Caracas43%2.17

Draw28%3.35

Monagas29%3.15

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 7.7%

Caracas2.1743%Draw3.3528%Monagas3.1529%

Total goals 2.5margin 6.4%

Over 2.51.7853%Under 2.51.9947%

Asian handicapmargin 5.5%

Caracas -0.251.8850%Monagas +0.251.9150%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

28Caracas wins

13Draws

9Monagas wins

Last matches: Caracas

27.10.26Primera DivisionPuerto CabelloCaracas01W
24.10.26Primera DivisionCaracasDep. Tachira12L
21.10.26Venezuela CupEstudiantes MeridaCaracas11D
18.10.26Primera DivisionRayo ZulianoCaracas12W
14.10.26Venezuela CupAraguaCaracas31L

Last matches: Monagas

27.10.26Primera DivisionDep. TachiraMonagas20L
24.10.26Primera DivisionMonagasPuerto Cabello12L
21.10.26Venezuela CupDep. TachiraMonagas11D
18.10.26Primera DivisionPuerto CabelloMonagas33D
14.10.26Venezuela CupMonagasDynamo Puerto21W

Head-to-head matches

13.09.26Primera DivisionCaracasMonagas01L
22.03.26Primera DivisionMonagasCaracas11D
28.09.25Primera DivisionMonagasCaracas22D
18.04.25Primera DivisionCaracasMonagas14L
20.09.24Primera DivisionCaracasMonagas12L
24.03.24Primera DivisionMonagasCaracas11D

2.54Avg goals48%Both scored44%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Caracas vs Monagas: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 2005: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

28Caracas wins

13Draws

9Monagas wins

82:45Goals (Caracas : Monagas)

2.54Goals per match

48%BTTS

78%Over 1.5

44%Over 2.5

22%Over 3.5

Caracas at home: 17-3-545:23 goals in 25 games
Monagas at home: 4-10-1122:37 goals in 25 games
Caracas's biggest win: 0–4Monagas 0–4 Caracas, 13 Mar 2016
Monagas's biggest win: 1–4Caracas 1–4 Monagas, 18 Apr 2025

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
13 Sept 2026	Primera Division	Caracas	0–1	Monagas
22 Mar 2026	Primera Division	Monagas	1–1	Caracas
28 Sept 2025	Primera Division	Monagas	2–2	Caracas
18 Apr 2025	Primera Division	Caracas	1–4	Monagas
20 Sept 2024	Primera Division	Caracas	1–2	Monagas
24 Mar 2024	Primera Division	Monagas	1–1	Caracas
24 Jun 2023	Primera Division	Caracas	2–0	Monagas
20 May 2023	Primera Division	Monagas	0–2	Caracas
22 Jul 2022	Primera Division	Monagas	0–0	Caracas
30 Apr 2022	Primera Division	Caracas	2–2	Monagas
1 Dec 2021	Primera Division	Caracas	2–0	Monagas
10 Nov 2021	Primera Division	Monagas	1–0	Caracas
9 Oct 2021	Primera Division	Monagas	1–3	Caracas
22 Aug 2021	Primera Division	Caracas	4–2	Monagas
5 Jul 2021	Primera Division	Monagas	2–2	Caracas
14 May 2021	Primera Division	Caracas	2–0	Monagas
27 Nov 2020	Primera Division	Monagas	0–2	Caracas
2 Nov 2020	Primera Division	Caracas	1–0	Monagas
15 Sept 2019	Primera Division	Caracas	1–0	Monagas
24 Mar 2019	Primera Division	Monagas	1–1	Caracas

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Caracas2W 1D 2L · goals 6–7

W27.10Primera DivisionAPuerto Cabello1–0
L24.10Primera DivisionHDep. Tachira1–2
D21.10Venezuela CupAEstudiantes Merida1–1
W18.10Primera DivisionARayo Zuliano2–1
L14.10Venezuela CupAAragua1–3

Monagas1W 2D 2L · goals 7–9

L27.10Primera DivisionADep. Tachira0–2
L24.10Primera DivisionHPuerto Cabello1–2
D21.10Venezuela CupADep. Tachira1–1
D18.10Primera DivisionAPuerto Cabello3–3
W14.10Venezuela CupHDynamo Puerto2–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

CaracasMonagas

1.2Goals scored per game1.2

1.3Goals conceded per game1.2

60%Both teams scored60%

50%Over 2.5 goals40%

2Clean sheets2

20%Failed to score20%

2-0-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-3-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

CaracasMonagas

Copa Sudamericana 2025 · 7 gamesCopa Libertadores 2025 · 4 games

1.6Goals scored1.3

1.6Goals conceded1.8

2.3Corners4.3

8.6Shots10.8

45%Possession38%

2.9Yellow cards2.3

14%Clean sheets50%

0%Failed to score25%

1-2-0Home / away record (W-D-L)1-0-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
8	Estudiantes Merida	26	+2	37	DLDLW
9	Caracas	26	-3	32	WWDLL
10	Monagas	26	-8	29	DWDWW
11	Zamora	26	-15	25	LLLLL

About this match

Caracas vs Monagas preview

Caracas host Monagas in the Primera Division on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 01:30.

Form · last 5 matches

CaracasWLDWL6 scored · 7 conceded

MonagasLLDDW7 scored · 9 conceded

Key facts · last 5

CaracasMonagas

1.2Goals scored per game1.2

1.3Goals conceded per game1.2

60%Both teams scored60%

50%Over 2.5 goals40%

2Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

28Caracas wins

13Draws

9Monagas wins

50 meetings · 2.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 48%

What's at stake

Caracas9th32 pts · 26 played

Monagas10th29 pts · 26 played

Caracas lead by 3 pts

Our pick

Double chanceDraw or Monagas65%Confidence1.63Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Estadio Olímpico de la UCV hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Caracas the favourite at 2.17 (43% implied), with the draw at 3.35 (28%).

The selection we rate highest is Double chance: Draw or Monagas: 65% confidence, priced at 1.63.

We also have Asian handicap: Monagas +0.25 (60%, 1.91).

Caracas come into the game with WLDWL in their last 5 (6 scored, 7 conceded), while Monagas have LLDDW (7 scored, 9 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 50% of Caracas's recent games and 40% of Monagas's, with both teams scoring in 60% and 60%.

Per game, Caracas average 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Monagas 1.2 and 1.2 (clean sheets: 2).

Head-to-head over 50 previous meetings: Caracas 28 wins, Monagas 9 wins, draws 13.

Those 50 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.

The last meeting (2026-09-13) ended Caracas 0–1 Monagas.

In the table, Caracas are 9th (32 pts from 26 games) and Monagas are 10th (29 pts from 26).

Nito explains: Caracas vs Monagas

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Caracas vs Monagas mean?

The best prices are 2.17 for a Caracas win, 3.35 for a draw and 3.15 for a Monagas win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.17 returns 21.70 if Caracas win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 7.7% removed) that is 43% Caracas, 28% draw and 29% Monagas.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Monagas" mean?

It wins if Monagas win or draw; it loses only if Caracas win. At 1.63, the price implies a 61% chance; Nito's data rates it at 65%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Caracas and Monagas matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Caracas's last 10 matches and 60% of Monagas's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 48%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Caracas reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Monagas in 40% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.5 goals (44% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WLDWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Caracas, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (6 scored, 7 conceded). Monagas, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (7 scored, 9 conceded).

Where do Caracas and Monagas stand in the table?

Caracas are 9th with 32 points from 26 games. Monagas are 10th with 29 points from 26 games. The gap between them is 3 points.

Caracas vs Monagas: questions & answers

Who will win Caracas vs Monagas?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Monagas with 65% confidence (best price 1.63). Bookmaker odds imply Caracas 43%, draw 28%, Monagas 29%.

Will both teams score in Caracas vs Monagas?

Both teams scored in 48% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Caracas's matches and 60% of Monagas's.

What are the odds for Caracas vs Monagas?

Odds: Caracas 2.17, draw 3.35, Monagas 3.15. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Monagas is available at 1.63.

When is the Caracas vs Monagas kick-off?

Caracas vs Monagas kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 01:30 (GMT+2) at Estadio Olímpico de la UCV.

What is the head-to-head record between Caracas and Monagas?

50 meetings: Caracas 28 wins, 13 draws, Monagas 9 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.

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Caracas vs Monagas prediction & odds

Caracas

Monagas

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds