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Cardiff vs Derby prediction & odds

Cardiff

21:45

Kick-off Tue 2 Mar, 21:45

Derby

Cardiff City Stadium

CardiffvsDerby

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: EFL Championship
Kick-off: Tue 2 Mar 21:45 EET
Stadium: Cardiff City Stadium
Capacity: 33,280
City: Cardiff (Caerdydd)

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

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Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

No odds published yet — prices appear closer to kick-off

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

0Cardiff wins

1Draws

0Derby wins

Last matches: Cardiff

24.10.26EFL ChampionshipCardiffBirmingham10W
17.10.26EFL ChampionshipMiddlesbroughCardiff22D
13.10.26EFL ChampionshipCardiffWatford51W
10.10.26EFL ChampionshipBlackburnCardiff21L
19.09.26EFL ChampionshipCardiffCharlton31W

Last matches: Derby

24.10.26EFL ChampionshipSheffield UtdDerby11D
17.10.26EFL ChampionshipDerbyStoke01L
14.10.26EFL ChampionshipQPRDerby41L
10.10.26EFL ChampionshipDerbyWrexham11D
19.09.26EFL ChampionshipBurnleyDerby11D

Head-to-head matches

22.08.26EFL ChampionshipDerbyCardiff22D

4.00Avg goals100%Both scored100%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Cardiff vs Derby: head-to-head record

1 meetings since 2026: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

0Cardiff wins

1Draws

0Derby wins

2:2Goals (Cardiff : Derby)

4.00Goals per match

100%BTTS

100%Over 1.5

100%Over 2.5

100%Over 3.5

Derby at home: 0-1-02:2 goals in 1 games

Meetings (1 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
22 Aug 2026	EFL Championship	Derby	2–2	Cardiff

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Cardiff3W 1D 1L · goals 12–6

W24.10EFL ChampionshipHBirmingham1–0
D17.10EFL ChampionshipAMiddlesbrough2–2
W13.10EFL ChampionshipHWatford5–1
L10.10EFL ChampionshipABlackburn1–2
W19.09EFL ChampionshipHCharlton3–1

Derby0W 3D 2L · goals 4–8

D24.10EFL ChampionshipASheffield Utd1–1
L17.10EFL ChampionshipHStoke0–1
L14.10EFL ChampionshipAQPR1–4
D10.10EFL ChampionshipHWrexham1–1
D19.09EFL ChampionshipABurnley1–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

CardiffDerby

1.6Goals scored per game0.7

1.4Goals conceded per game1.7

70%Both teams scored50%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

1Clean sheets1

20%Failed to score40%

3-2-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-2-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Championship

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
15	Lincoln	12	-7	15	WDLLL
16	Cardiff	12	+2	14	WDWLW
17	Wrexham	12	-3	14	LWLDW
22	Burnley	12	-8	8	LLDWD
23	Derby	12	-11	7	DLLDD
24	Preston	12	-15	5	DLLLD

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About this match

Cardiff vs Derby preview

On Tue, 2 Mar 2027 at 21:45, Cardiff take on Derby in the EFL Championship.

Form · last 5 matches

CardiffWDWLW12 scored · 6 conceded

DerbyDLLDD4 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

CardiffDerby

1.6Goals scored per game0.7

1.4Goals conceded per game1.7

70%Both teams scored50%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

1Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

0Cardiff wins

1Draws

0Derby wins

1 meetings

What's at stake

Cardiff16th14 pts · 12 played

Derby23rd7 pts · 12 played

Cardiff lead by 7 pts

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Cardiff City Stadium.

Recent form over the last 5: Cardiff WDWLW (goals 12–6), Derby DLLDD (goals 4–8).

Both teams scored in 70% of Cardiff's recent games and 50% of Derby's; over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 40% respectively.

Per game, Cardiff average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Derby 0.7 and 1.7 (clean sheets: 1).

Across 1 head-to-head games the record reads 0–1–0 (wins–draws–losses) from Cardiff's side.

The last meeting (2026-08-22) ended Derby 2–2 Cardiff.

Cardiff sit 16th on 14 pts after 12 games, Derby 23rd on 7 pts.

Nito explains: Cardiff vs Derby

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

How often do Cardiff and Derby matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Cardiff's last 10 matches and 50% of Derby's last 10.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Cardiff reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Derby in 40% of their last 10.

What does the form guide WDWLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Cardiff, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (12 scored, 6 conceded). Derby, last 5: 0 W · 3 D · 2 L (4 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do Cardiff and Derby stand in the table?

Cardiff are 16th with 14 points from 12 games. Derby are 23rd with 7 points from 12 games. The gap between them is 7 points.

Cardiff vs Derby: questions & answers

Will both teams score in Cardiff vs Derby?

In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Cardiff's matches and 50% of Derby's.

When is the Cardiff vs Derby kick-off?

Cardiff vs Derby kicks off on Tue, 2 Mar 2027 at 21:45 (GMT+2) at Cardiff City Stadium.

What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Derby?

1 meetings: Cardiff 0 wins, 1 draws, Derby 0 wins.

Cardiff vs Derby prediction & odds

Cardiff

Derby

Match information

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