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Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction & odds

Rayo Vallecano

17:15

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 17:15

Celta Vigo

Odds 1X2

1Rayo Vallecano2.36XDraw2.962Celta Vigo2.70

Rayo VallecanovsCelta Vigo

Nito’s pick1.56

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Celta Vigo

1.56

65%Confidence

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Laliga
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 17:15 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Celta Vigo65%Confidence1.56Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.56 means bookmakers give it 64%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+1 pts)
Celta Vigo won 2 of their last 5 (goals 5–4); Rayo Vallecano won 2 (goals 7–8)
In the table Celta Vigo are 9th with 12 pts, Rayo Vallecano 16th with 9 pts
In 40 meetings Celta Vigo won 10, Rayo Vallecano won 17, 13 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or Celta VigoHigh confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.56

Double chance: Draw or Celta Vigo: our confidence is 65% at a best price of 1.56.

Both teams to scoreYes

Confidence62%

Indicative price1.80

Both teams to score: Yes: our confidence is 62%, 6 points above the 56% the best price of 1.80 implies.

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.11

Over 2.5 goals: our confidence is 60%, 13 points above the 47% the best price of 2.11 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Rayo Vallecano37%2.36

Draw30%2.96

Celta Vigo33%2.70

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 13.2%

Rayo Vallecano2.3637%Draw2.9630%Celta Vigo2.7033%

Double chance

Rayo Vallecano or Draw1.34Rayo Vallecano or Celta Vigo1.28Draw or Celta Vigo1.56

1st-half resultmargin 15.0%

Rayo Vallecano2.7731%Draw2.0243%Celta Vigo3.4026%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Rayo Vallecano1.9749%Celta Vigo1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

17Rayo Vallecano wins

13Draws

10Celta Vigo wins

Last matches: Rayo Vallecano

27.10.26Spanish CupRecreativo HuelvaRayo Vallecano23W
24.10.26La LigaRayo VallecanoElche03L
19.10.26La LigaGetafeRayo Vallecano11D
19.09.26La LigaOsasunaRayo Vallecano11D
15.09.26La LigaRayo VallecanoEspanyol21W

Last matches: Celta Vigo

25.10.26La LigaCelta VigoBetis00D
22.10.26Europa LeagueCelticCelta Vigo12W
18.10.26La LigaCelta VigoAlaves21W
15.10.26Europa LeagueCelta VigoJuventus12L
11.10.26La LigaElcheCelta Vigo00D

Head-to-head matches

18.01.26La LigaCelta VigoRayo Vallecano30L
21.09.25La LigaRayo VallecanoCelta Vigo11D
18.05.25PrimeraCelta VigoRayo Vallecano12W
10.01.25PrimeraRayo VallecanoCelta Vigo21W
31.03.24PrimeraCelta VigoRayo Vallecano00D
11.12.23PrimeraRayo VallecanoCelta Vigo00D

2.28Avg goals35%Both scored45%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: head-to-head record

40 meetings since 1993: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

17Rayo Vallecano wins

13Draws

10Celta Vigo wins

48:43Goals (Rayo Vallecano : Celta Vigo)

2.28Goals per match

35%BTTS

65%Over 1.5

45%Over 2.5

20%Over 3.5

Rayo Vallecano at home: 12-5-334:16 goals in 20 games
Celta Vigo at home: 7-8-527:14 goals in 20 games
Rayo Vallecano's biggest win: 3–0Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Celta Vigo, 23 Jan 2016
Celta Vigo's biggest win: 6–1Celta Vigo 6–1 Rayo Vallecano, 11 Apr 2015

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
18 Jan 2026	La Liga	Celta Vigo	3–0	Rayo Vallecano
21 Sept 2025	La Liga	Rayo Vallecano	1–1	Celta Vigo
18 May 2025	Primera	Celta Vigo	1–2	Rayo Vallecano
10 Jan 2025	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	2–1	Celta Vigo
31 Mar 2024	Primera	Celta Vigo	0–0	Rayo Vallecano
11 Dec 2023	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	0–0	Celta Vigo
11 Mar 2023	Primera	Celta Vigo	3–0	Rayo Vallecano
10 Nov 2022	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	0–0	Celta Vigo
5 Feb 2022	Primera	Celta Vigo	2–0	Rayo Vallecano
1 Nov 2021	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	0–0	Celta Vigo
18 May 2019	Primera	Celta Vigo	2–2	Rayo Vallecano
11 Jan 2019	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	4–2	Celta Vigo
23 Jan 2016	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	3–0	Celta Vigo
29 Aug 2015	Primera	Celta Vigo	3–0	Rayo Vallecano
11 Apr 2015	Primera	Celta Vigo	6–1	Rayo Vallecano
23 Nov 2014	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	1–0	Celta Vigo
5 Apr 2014	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	3–0	Celta Vigo
9 Nov 2013	Primera	Celta Vigo	0–2	Rayo Vallecano
7 Apr 2013	Primera	Celta Vigo	0–2	Rayo Vallecano
10 Nov 2012	Primera	Rayo Vallecano	3–2	Celta Vigo

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Rayo Vallecano2W 2D 1L · goals 7–8

W27.10Spanish CupARecreativo Huelva3–2
L24.10La LigaHElche0–3
D19.10La LigaAGetafe1–1
D19.09La LigaAOsasuna1–1
W15.09La LigaHEspanyol2–1

Celta Vigo2W 2D 1L · goals 5–4

D25.10La LigaHBetis0–0
W22.10Europa LeagueACeltic2–1
W18.10La LigaHAlaves2–1
L15.10Europa LeagueHJuventus1–2
D11.10La LigaAElche0–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo

1.5Goals scored per game1.2

2.2Goals conceded per game0.7

90%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

0Clean sheets4

10%Failed to score40%

2-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-3-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo

La Liga 2026/2027 · 7 gamesLa Liga 2026/2027 · 5 games

1.6Goals scored0.4

2.3Goals conceded1.0

5.3Corners3.8

13.4Shots8.4

48%Possession56%

2.4Yellow cards1.6

0%Clean sheets40%

0%Failed to score60%

2-1-0Home / away record (W-D-L)0-3-0

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera División

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
8	Ath Bilbao	9	+3	12	WLDD
9	Celta Vigo	10	+3	12	DWDWD
10	Villarreal	10	+1	12	WDLWW
15	Elche	10	-3	10	WDDWL
16	Rayo Vallecano	9	-8	9	LDDW
17	Getafe	10	-10	9	LDLWL

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Rayo Vallecano

✕A. BatallaBroken calfbone
✕P. CissYellow Cards
✕Luiz FelipeKnee Injury
?A. RatiuMuscle Injury

Celta Vigo

✕J. El AbdellaouiKnee Injury
✕B. IglesiasCalf Injury
✕A. NunezGroin Injury
✕M. RomanKnee Injury
✕C. StarfeltMuscle Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

About this match

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:15, Rayo Vallecano take on Celta Vigo in the Laliga.

Form · last 5 matches

Rayo VallecanoWLDDW7 scored · 8 conceded

Celta VigoDWWLD5 scored · 4 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo

1.5Goals scored per game1.2

2.2Goals conceded per game0.7

90%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

0Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

17Rayo Vallecano wins

13Draws

10Celta Vigo wins

40 meetings · 2.3 goals per game · both teams scored in 35%

What's at stake

Rayo Vallecano16th9 pts · 9 played

Celta Vigo9th12 pts · 10 played

Celta Vigo lead by 3 pts

Our pick

Double chanceDraw or Celta Vigo65%Confidence1.56Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The market sees little between the sides: Rayo Vallecano 2.36 (37%), draw 2.96 (30%), Celta Vigo 2.70 (33%).

Double chance: Draw or Celta Vigo is our top pick for this game (65% confidence, best price 1.56).

We also have Both teams to score: Yes (62%, 1.80) and Over 2.5 goals (60%, 2.11).

Rayo Vallecano come into the game with WLDDW in their last 5 (7 scored, 8 conceded), while Celta Vigo have DWWLD (5 scored, 4 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 70% of Rayo Vallecano's recent games and 40% of Celta Vigo's, with both teams scoring in 90% and 50%.

Per game, Rayo Vallecano average 1.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded (clean sheets: 0), Celta Vigo 1.2 and 0.7 (clean sheets: 4).

Head-to-head over 40 previous meetings: Rayo Vallecano 17 wins, Celta Vigo 10 wins, draws 13.

Those 40 games averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 35% of them.

The last meeting (2026-01-18) ended Celta Vigo 3–0 Rayo Vallecano.

In the table, Rayo Vallecano are 16th (9 pts from 9 games) and Celta Vigo are 9th (12 pts from 10).

Nito explains: Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo mean?

The best prices are 2.36 for a Rayo Vallecano win, 2.96 for a draw and 2.70 for a Celta Vigo win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.36 returns 23.60 if Rayo Vallecano win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 13.2% removed) that is 37% Rayo Vallecano, 30% draw and 33% Celta Vigo.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Celta Vigo" mean?

It wins if Celta Vigo win or draw; it loses only if Rayo Vallecano win. At 1.56, the price implies a 64% chance; Nito's data rates it at 65%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 90% of Rayo Vallecano's last 10 matches and 50% of Celta Vigo's last 10. In their 40 recorded meetings it was 35%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Rayo Vallecano reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Celta Vigo in 40% of their last 10. Their 40 meetings averaged 2.3 goals (45% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WLDDW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Rayo Vallecano, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (7 scored, 8 conceded). Celta Vigo, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (5 scored, 4 conceded).

Where do Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo stand in the table?

Rayo Vallecano are 16th with 9 points from 9 games. Celta Vigo are 9th with 12 points from 10 games. The gap between them is 3 points.

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: questions & answers

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Celta Vigo with 65% confidence (best price 1.56). Bookmaker odds imply Rayo Vallecano 37%, draw 30%, Celta Vigo 33%.

Will both teams score in Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is Yes (62% confidence, 1.80). Both teams scored in 35% of their 40 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 90% of Rayo Vallecano's matches and 50% of Celta Vigo's.

What are the odds for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?

Odds: Rayo Vallecano 2.36, draw 2.96, Celta Vigo 2.70. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Celta Vigo is available at 1.56.

When is the Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo kick-off?

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:15 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo?

40 meetings: Rayo Vallecano 17 wins, 13 draws, Celta Vigo 10 wins. Those 40 games averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 35% of them.

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Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction & odds

Rayo Vallecano

Celta Vigo

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds