Home / Spain: Spanish Second Division / Ceuta vs Gijon

Spanish Second DivisionUpcoming

Ceuta vs Gijon prediction & odds

Ceuta

17:15

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 17:15

Gijon

Odds 1X2

1Ceuta2.57XDraw3.632Gijon2.70

Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

CeutavsGijon

Nito’s pick1.44

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Gijon

1.44

72%Confidence

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 72% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Spanish Second Division
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 17:15 EET
Stadium: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Capacity: 7,000
City: Ceuta

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Gijon72%Confidence1.44Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.44 means bookmakers give it 69%; Nito's confidence is 72% (+3 pts)
Gijon won 4 of their last 5 (goals 9–8); Ceuta won 1 (goals 6–9)
In the table Gijon are 8th with 19 pts, Ceuta 21st with 5 pts
In 2 meetings Gijon won 1, Ceuta won 1, 0 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 72% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or GijonHigh confidence

Confidence72%

Indicative price1.44

Double chance: Draw or Gijon: our confidence is 72%, 3 points above the 69% the best price of 1.44 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence63%

Indicative price2.00

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 63%, 13 points above the 50% the best price of 2.00 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Ceuta38%2.57

Draw27%3.63

Gijon36%2.70

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.5%

Ceuta2.5738%Draw3.6327%Gijon2.7036%

Double chance

Ceuta or Draw1.41Ceuta or Gijon1.27Draw or Gijon1.44

1st-half resultmargin 16.9%

Ceuta2.8830%Draw2.0841%Gijon2.9329%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.7%

Ceuta1.9649%Gijon1.9051%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

1Ceuta wins

0Draws

1Gijon wins

Last matches: Ceuta

29.10.26Spanish CupPoblenseCeuta12W
25.10.26Spanish Second DivisionCadiz CFCeuta31L
18.10.26Spanish Second DivisionCeutaOviedo12L
10.10.26Spanish Second DivisionCeutaSabadell12L
04.10.26Spanish Second DivisionCastellonCeuta11D

Last matches: Gijon

29.10.26Spanish CupGuijueloGijon13W
25.10.26Spanish Second DivisionCastellonGijon40L
17.10.26Spanish Second DivisionGijonAlbacete21W
11.10.26Spanish Second DivisionCadiz CFGijon01W
04.10.26Spanish Second DivisionGijonCelta Vigo B32W

Head-to-head matches

03.05.26Spanish Second DivisionGijonCeuta12W
23.08.25Spanish Second DivisionCeutaGijon01L

2.00Avg goals50%Both scored50%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Ceuta vs Gijon: head-to-head record

2 meetings since 2025: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

1Ceuta wins

0Draws

1Gijon wins

2:2Goals (Ceuta : Gijon)

2.00Goals per match

50%BTTS

50%Over 1.5

50%Over 2.5

0%Over 3.5

Ceuta at home: 0-0-10:1 goals in 1 games
Gijon at home: 0-0-11:2 goals in 1 games
Ceuta's biggest win: 1–2Gijon 1–2 Ceuta, 3 May 2026
Gijon's biggest win: 0–1Ceuta 0–1 Gijon, 23 Aug 2025

Meetings (2 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
3 May 2026	Spanish Second Division	Gijon	1–2	Ceuta
23 Aug 2025	Spanish Second Division	Ceuta	0–1	Gijon

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Ceuta1W 1D 3L · goals 6–9

W29.10Spanish CupAPoblense2–1
L25.10Spanish Second DivisionACadiz CF1–3
L18.10Spanish Second DivisionHOviedo1–2
L10.10Spanish Second DivisionHSabadell1–2
D04.10Spanish Second DivisionACastellon1–1

Gijon4W 0D 1L · goals 9–8

W29.10Spanish CupAGuijuelo3–1
L25.10Spanish Second DivisionACastellon0–4
W17.10Spanish Second DivisionHAlbacete2–1
W11.10Spanish Second DivisionACadiz CF1–0
W04.10Spanish Second DivisionHCelta Vigo B3–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

CeutaGijon

1.1Goals scored per game1.3

1.9Goals conceded per game1.4

80%Both teams scored40%

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

0Clean sheets2

20%Failed to score40%

1-1-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)4-0-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

CeutaGijon

Segunda DivisiÃ³n 2026/2027 · 8 gamesSegunda DivisiÃ³n 2025/2026 · 41 games

0.9Goals scored1.4

2.3Goals conceded1.2

5.6Corners4.5

13.6Shots11.3

47%Possession45%

2.3Yellow cards2.4

0%Clean sheets27%

38%Failed to score20%

1-1-2Home / away record (W-D-L)7-1-12

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Segunda

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
7	Mallorca	11	+7	19	DDWDL
8	Gijon	11	-2	19	LWWWL
9	Oviedo	11	+3	18	DWWLW
20	Real Sociedad B	11	-8	8	LLLLL
21	Ceuta	11	-15	5	LLLDW
22	Albacete	11	-14	4	WLLLL

About this match

Ceuta vs Gijon preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 17:15, Ceuta take on Gijon in the Spanish Second Division.

Form · last 5 matches

CeutaWLLLD6 scored · 9 conceded

GijonWLWWW9 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

CeutaGijon

1.1Goals scored per game1.3

1.9Goals conceded per game1.4

80%Both teams scored40%

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

0Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

1Ceuta wins

0Draws

1Gijon wins

2 meetings · 2.0 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

What's at stake

Ceuta21st5 pts · 11 played

Gijon8th19 pts · 11 played

Gijon lead by 14 pts

Our pick

Double chanceDraw or Gijon72%Confidence1.44Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube hosts the match.

The market sees little between the sides: Ceuta 2.57 (38%), draw 3.63 (27%), Gijon 2.70 (36%).

Double chance: Draw or Gijon is our top pick for this game (72% confidence, best price 1.44).

We also have Under 2.5 goals (63%, 2.00).

Ceuta come into the game with WLLLD in their last 5 (6 scored, 9 conceded), while Gijon have WLWWW (9 scored, 8 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 70% of Ceuta's recent games and 50% of Gijon's, with both teams scoring in 80% and 40%.

Per game, Ceuta average 1.1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (clean sheets: 0), Gijon 1.3 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 2).

Head-to-head over 2 previous meetings: Ceuta 1 wins, Gijon 1 wins, draws 0.

Those 2 games averaged 2.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

The last meeting (2026-05-03) ended Gijon 1–2 Ceuta.

In the table, Ceuta are 21st (5 pts from 11 games) and Gijon are 8th (19 pts from 11).

Nito explains: Ceuta vs Gijon

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Ceuta vs Gijon mean?

The best prices are 2.57 for a Ceuta win, 3.63 for a draw and 2.70 for a Gijon win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.57 returns 25.70 if Ceuta win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.5% removed) that is 38% Ceuta, 27% draw and 36% Gijon.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Gijon" mean?

It wins if Gijon win or draw; it loses only if Ceuta win. At 1.44, the price implies a 69% chance; Nito's data rates it at 72%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Ceuta and Gijon matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 80% of Ceuta's last 10 matches and 40% of Gijon's last 10. In their 2 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Ceuta reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Gijon in 50% of their last 10. Their 2 meetings averaged 2.0 goals (50% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WLLLD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Ceuta, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (6 scored, 9 conceded). Gijon, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (9 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do Ceuta and Gijon stand in the table?

Ceuta are 21st with 5 points from 11 games. Gijon are 8th with 19 points from 11 games. The gap between them is 14 points.

Ceuta vs Gijon: questions & answers

Who will win Ceuta vs Gijon?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Gijon with 72% confidence (best price 1.44). Bookmaker odds imply Ceuta 38%, draw 27%, Gijon 36%.

Will both teams score in Ceuta vs Gijon?

Both teams scored in 50% of their 2 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 80% of Ceuta's matches and 40% of Gijon's.

What are the odds for Ceuta vs Gijon?

Odds: Ceuta 2.57, draw 3.63, Gijon 2.70. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Gijon is available at 1.44.

When is the Ceuta vs Gijon kick-off?

Ceuta vs Gijon kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 17:15 (GMT+2) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.

What is the head-to-head record between Ceuta and Gijon?

2 meetings: Ceuta 1 wins, 0 draws, Gijon 1 wins. Those 2 games averaged 2.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Other Spanish Second Division matches on 1 Nov

All Spanish Second Division fixtures

Ceuta vs Gijon prediction & odds

Ceuta

Gijon

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds