Home / Brazil: Brasileirão / Chapecoense vs Fluminense
BrasileirãoFT

Chapecoense vs Fluminense result, stats & H2H

Chapecoense

2–1
FT

Fluminense

25/10/2026 01:30

Key events

Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Fluminense
1.92Lost

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Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Brasileirão
Kick-off

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Fluminense62%Confidence1.92lost

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.92 means bookmakers give it 52%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+10 pts)
  • Fluminense won 2 of their last 5 (goals 7–6); Chapecoense won 0 (goals 3–10)
  • In the table Fluminense are 4th with 54 pts, Chapecoense 20th with 21 pts
  • In 15 meetings Fluminense won 5, Chapecoense won 6, 4 were drawn

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Fluminense
Confidence62%
Price1.92Lost

We rate Fluminense to win at 62% — the price of 1.92 implies only 52%.

Total goals 1.5Under 1.5
Confidence62%
Price3.85Lost

Under 1.5 goals: our confidence is 62%, 36 points above the 26% the best price of 3.85 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

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About this match

Chapecoense vs Fluminense preview

Chapecoense and Fluminense met in the Brasileirão on Sun, 25 Oct 2026, and the match finished 2–1.