Chapecoense vs Fluminense result, stats & H2H

Chapecoense

Fluminense
Key events
Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute
Key events
Nito’s pick
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Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price
Match information
Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee
Match information
- Competition
Brasileirão- Kick-off
- Stadium
- Arena Condá
- Capacity
- 22,600
- City
- Chapecó, Santa Catarina
Our pick: why Nito chose it
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Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.The pick, the price and the numbers behind it
Why?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.
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Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.- Best price 1.92 means bookmakers give it 52%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+10 pts)
- Fluminense won 2 of their last 5 (goals 7–6); Chapecoense won 0 (goals 3–10)
- In the table Fluminense are 5th with 54 pts, Chapecoense 20th with 21 pts
- In 15 meetings Fluminense won 5, Chapecoense won 6, 4 were drawn
All our picks for this match
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Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.Every market where our confidence is at least 60%
Our picks for this match
We rate Fluminense to win at 62% — the price of 1.92 implies only 52%.
Under 1.5 goals: our confidence is 62%, 36 points above the 26% the best price of 3.85 implies.
Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+
Chapecoense vs Fluminense preview
Chapecoense and Fluminense met in the Brasileirão on Sun, 25 Oct 2026, and the match finished 2–1.

Comments
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