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Chapecoense vs Fluminense result, stats & H2H

Chapecoense

2–1
FT

Fluminense

25/10/2026 01:30 · Arena Condá

Key events

Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

Key events

1st half1 - 1
1-0Y. Bolasie9′
30′1-1Guga
Camilo Reijers37′
2nd half1 - 0
Tulio46′
2-1Giovanni Augusto56′
Yago Felipe57′
65′Riquelme Felipe
65′L. Acosta
K. Ramirez70′
Bruno Matias70′
Rafael Thyere73′
79′R. Castillo
Fernando83′
85′G. Cano
85′Rene
90′Guilherme Arana

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Fluminense
1.92Lost

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Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Brasileirão
Kick-off
Stadium
Arena Condá
Capacity
22,600
City
Chapecó, Santa Catarina

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Fluminense62%Confidence1.92lost

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.92 means bookmakers give it 52%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+10 pts)
  • Fluminense won 2 of their last 5 (goals 7–6); Chapecoense won 0 (goals 3–10)
  • In the table Fluminense are 5th with 54 pts, Chapecoense 20th with 21 pts
  • In 15 meetings Fluminense won 5, Chapecoense won 6, 4 were drawn

All our picks for this match

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Fluminense
Confidence62%
Price1.92Lost

We rate Fluminense to win at 62% — the price of 1.92 implies only 52%.

Total goals 1.5Under 1.5
Confidence62%
Price3.85Lost

Under 1.5 goals: our confidence is 62%, 36 points above the 26% the best price of 3.85 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Comments

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About this match

Chapecoense vs Fluminense preview

Chapecoense and Fluminense met in the Brasileirão on Sun, 25 Oct 2026, and the match finished 2–1.