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Newport vs Chesterfield prediction & odds

Newport

21:45

Kick-off Fri 30 Oct, 21:45

Chesterfield

NewportvsChesterfield

Nito’s pick1.75

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceNewport or Draw

1.75

62%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: League Two
Kick-off: Fri 30 Oct 21:45 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceNewport or Draw62%Confidence1.75Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.75 means bookmakers give it 57%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+5 pts)
Newport won 1 of their last 5 (goals 6–6); Chesterfield won 2 (goals 12–7)
In the table Newport are 16th with 15 pts, Chesterfield 7th with 19 pts
In 8 meetings Newport won 3, Chesterfield won 4, 1 were drawn

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceNewport or Draw

Confidence62%

Indicative price1.75

We rate Double chance: Newport or Draw at 62% — the price of 1.75 implies only 57%.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.02

We rate Under 2.5 goals at 60% — the price of 2.02 implies only 50%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Double chance

Newport or Draw1.75Newport or Chesterfield1.20Draw or Chesterfield1.20

1st-half resultmargin 5.3%

Newport4.4621%Draw2.3341%Chesterfield2.5038%

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%

Newport1.9449%Chesterfield1.9051%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

3Newport wins

1Draws

4Chesterfield wins

Last matches: Newport

24.10.26League TwoCheltenhamNewport10L
20.10.26League TwoRotherhamNewport22D
17.10.26League TwoNewportYork City11D
10.10.26League TwoNewportColchester10W
06.10.26EFL TrophyNewportPlymouth22D

Last matches: Chesterfield

24.10.26League TwoChesterfieldCrewe51W
20.10.26League TwoChesterfieldColchester11D
17.10.26League TwoPort ValeChesterfield10L
10.10.26League TwoCrawleyChesterfield22D
03.10.26League TwoChesterfieldTranmere42W

Head-to-head matches

24.01.26League TwoNewportChesterfield21W
27.09.25League TwoChesterfieldNewport41L
08.03.25League TwoChesterfieldNewport21L
18.10.24League TwoNewportChesterfield03L
01.05.18League TwoChesterfieldNewport10L
26.08.17League TwoNewportChesterfield41W

3.38Avg goals75%Both scored75%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Newport vs Chesterfield: head-to-head record

8 meetings since 2013: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

3Newport wins

1Draws

4Chesterfield wins

12:15Goals (Newport : Chesterfield)

3.38Goals per match

75%BTTS

88%Over 1.5

75%Over 2.5

38%Over 3.5

Newport at home: 3-0-19:7 goals in 4 games
Chesterfield at home: 3-1-08:3 goals in 4 games
Newport's biggest win: 4–1Newport 4–1 Chesterfield, 26 Aug 2017
Chesterfield's biggest win: 4–1Chesterfield 4–1 Newport, 27 Sept 2025

Meetings (8 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
24 Jan 2026	League Two	Newport	2–1	Chesterfield
27 Sept 2025	League Two	Chesterfield	4–1	Newport
8 Mar 2025	League Two	Chesterfield	2–1	Newport
18 Oct 2024	League Two	Newport	0–3	Chesterfield
1 May 2018	League Two	Chesterfield	1–0	Newport
26 Aug 2017	League Two	Newport	4–1	Chesterfield
5 Apr 2014	League Two	Chesterfield	1–1	Newport
1 Dec 2013	League Two	Newport	3–2	Chesterfield

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Newport1W 3D 1L · goals 6–6

L24.10League TwoACheltenham0–1
D20.10League TwoARotherham2–2
D17.10League TwoHYork City1–1
W10.10League TwoHColchester1–0
D06.10EFL TrophyHPlymouth2–2

Chesterfield2W 2D 1L · goals 12–7

W24.10League TwoHCrewe5–1
D20.10League TwoHColchester1–1
L17.10League TwoAPort Vale0–1
D10.10League TwoACrawley2–2
W03.10League TwoHTranmere4–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

NewportChesterfield

1.1Goals scored per game2.3

0.8Goals conceded per game1.4

50%Both teams scored80%

30%Over 2.5 goals60%

4Clean sheets1

30%Failed to score10%

2-3-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

NewportChesterfield

League Two 2026/2027 · 8 gamesLeague Two 2026/2027 · 8 games

1.3Goals scored1.8

1.4Goals conceded1.3

3.8Corners5.1

10.5Shots17.5

38%Possession57%

1.8Yellow cards2.0

38%Clean sheets25%

38%Failed to score13%

1-2-0Home / away record (W-D-L)2-0-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · League Two

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	Walsall	12	+7	19	LWDDD
7	Chesterfield	13	+6	19	WDLDW
8	Exeter	13	+3	19	WWDWW
15	Bristol Rovers	13	-4	16	DLLLL
16	Newport	13	0	15	LDDWD
17	Rochdale	13	-7	15	LDLDW

Comments

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About this match

Newport vs Chesterfield preview

Newport host Chesterfield in the League Two on Fri, 30 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 21:45.

Form · last 5 matches

NewportLDDWD6 scored · 6 conceded

ChesterfieldWDLDW12 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

NewportChesterfield

1.1Goals scored per game2.3

0.8Goals conceded per game1.4

50%Both teams scored80%

30%Over 2.5 goals60%

4Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

3Newport wins

1Draws

4Chesterfield wins

8 meetings · 3.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 75%

What's at stake

Newport16th15 pts · 13 played

Chesterfield7th19 pts · 13 played

Chesterfield lead by 4 pts

Our pick

Double chanceNewport or Draw62%Confidence1.75Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The selection we rate highest is Double chance: Newport or Draw: 62% confidence, priced at 1.75.

We also have Under 2.5 goals (60%, 2.02).

Recent form over the last 5: Newport LDDWD (goals 6–6), Chesterfield WDLDW (goals 12–7).

Both teams scored in 50% of Newport's recent games and 80% of Chesterfield's; over 2.5 goals landed in 30% and 60% respectively.

Per game, Newport average 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (clean sheets: 4), Chesterfield 2.3 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 1).

Across 8 head-to-head games the record reads 3–1–4 (wins–draws–losses) from Newport's side.

Those 8 games averaged 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

The last meeting (2026-01-24) ended Newport 2–1 Chesterfield.

Newport sit 16th on 15 pts after 13 games, Chesterfield 7th on 19 pts.

Nito explains: Newport vs Chesterfield

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Newport or Draw" mean?

It wins if Newport win or draw; it loses only if Chesterfield win. At 1.75, the price implies a 57% chance; Nito's data rates it at 62%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Newport and Chesterfield matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Newport's last 10 matches and 80% of Chesterfield's last 10. In their 8 recorded meetings it was 75%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Newport reached that in 30% of their last 10 matches, Chesterfield in 60% of their last 10. Their 8 meetings averaged 3.4 goals (75% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LDDWD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Newport, last 5: 1 W · 3 D · 1 L (6 scored, 6 conceded). Chesterfield, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (12 scored, 7 conceded).

Where do Newport and Chesterfield stand in the table?

Newport are 16th with 15 points from 13 games. Chesterfield are 7th with 19 points from 13 games. The gap between them is 4 points.

Newport vs Chesterfield: questions & answers

Who will win Newport vs Chesterfield?

Our pick is Double chance: Newport or Draw with 62% confidence (best price 1.75).

Will both teams score in Newport vs Chesterfield?

Both teams scored in 75% of their 8 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Newport's matches and 80% of Chesterfield's.

When is the Newport vs Chesterfield kick-off?

Newport vs Chesterfield kicks off on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 at 21:45 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Newport and Chesterfield?

8 meetings: Newport 3 wins, 1 draws, Chesterfield 4 wins. Those 8 games averaged 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

Newport vs Chesterfield prediction & odds

Newport

Chesterfield

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Odds comparison

Odds