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Spennymoor vs Chorley prediction & odds

Spennymoor

17:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 17:00

Chorley

Odds 1X2

1Spennymoor2.55XDraw3.652Chorley2.50

SpennymoorvsChorley

Nito’s pick1.53

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Chorley

1.53

69%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 69% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: National League North
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Chorley69%Confidence1.53Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.53 means bookmakers give it 65%; Nito's confidence is 69% (+4 pts)
Chorley won 2 of their last 5 (goals 8–6); Spennymoor won 1 (goals 6–10)
In the table Chorley are 11th with 20 pts, Spennymoor 24th with 7 pts
In 19 meetings Chorley won 7, Spennymoor won 9, 3 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 69% by our numbers.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Spennymoor37%2.55

Draw26%3.65

Chorley38%2.50

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 6.6%

Spennymoor2.5537%Draw3.6526%Chorley2.5038%

Double chance

Spennymoor or Draw1.41Spennymoor or Chorley1.23Draw or Chorley1.39

Total goals 2.5margin 6.0%

Over 2.51.7055%Under 2.52.1245%

More markets (5)

Asian handicapmargin 5.0%

Spennymoor 01.9349%Chorley 01.8851%

1st-half resultmargin 9.1%

Spennymoor3.0730%Draw2.3140%Chorley3.0130%

Draw no betmargin 5.3%

Spennymoor1.9249%Chorley1.8851%

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%

Spennymoor1.9549%Chorley1.8951%

Draw No Bet (1st Half)margin 5.3%

Yes1.9249%No1.8851%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

9Spennymoor wins

3Draws

7Chorley wins

Last matches: Spennymoor

27.10.26National League N/SSpennymoorSouth Shields01L
24.10.26National League N/SDarlingtonSpennymoor30L
17.10.26FA CupHarboroughSpennymoor31L
10.10.26National League N/SBrackley TownSpennymoor21L
03.10.26FA CupSpennymoorChester41W

Last matches: Chorley

27.10.26National League N/SRadcliffeChorley03

Spennymoor vs Chorley: head-to-head record

19 meetings since 2016: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

9Spennymoor wins

3Draws

7Chorley wins

16:19Goals (Spennymoor : Chorley)

1.84Goals per match

26%BTTS

58%Over 1.5

32%Over 2.5

11%Over 3.5

Spennymoor at home: 7-1-210:5 goals in 10 games
Chorley at home: 5-2-214:6 goals in 9 games
Spennymoor's biggest win: 2–0Spennymoor 2–0 Chorley, 7 May 2022
Chorley's biggest win: 4–0Chorley 4–0 Spennymoor, 29 Mar 2025

Meetings (19 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
24 Feb 2026	National League N/S	Spennymoor	1–0	Chorley
25 Nov 2025	National League N/S	Chorley	0–0

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Spennymoor1W 0D 4L · goals 6–10

L27.10National League N/SHSouth Shields0–1
L24.10National League N/SADarlington0–3
L17.10FA CupAHarborough1–3
L10.10National League N/SABrackley Town1–2
W03.10FA CupHChester4–1

Chorley2W 1D 2L · goals 8–6

W27.10National League N/SARadcliffe3–0
L24.10National League N/SHBuxton2–3
L20.10FA CupAWorcester0–1
D17.10FA CupHWorcester

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

SpennymoorChorley

1.5Goals scored per game2.0

1.8Goals conceded per game1.2

70%Both teams scored60%

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

1Clean sheets2

20%Failed to score20%

1-1-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-0-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · National League N/S: North

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
10	Morecambe	13	+7	20	WWLDW
11	Chorley	13	+2	20	WLWWL
12	Worksop	14	0	20	WDDWL
23	Southport	13	-10	10	DLLDL
24	Spennymoor	13	-15	7	LLLDD

Comments

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About this match

Spennymoor vs Chorley preview

National League North fixture: Spennymoor welcome Chorley on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 (17:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

SpennymoorLLLLW6 scored · 10 conceded

ChorleyWLLDW8 scored · 6 conceded

Key facts · last 5

SpennymoorChorley

1.5Goals scored per game2.0

1.8Goals conceded per game1.2

70%Both teams scored60%

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

1Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

9Spennymoor wins

3Draws

7Chorley wins

19 meetings · 1.8 goals per game · both teams scored in 26%

What's at stake

Spennymoor24th7 pts · 13 played

Nito explains: Spennymoor vs Chorley

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Spennymoor vs Chorley mean?

The best prices are 2.55 for a Spennymoor win, 3.65 for a draw and 2.50 for a Chorley win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.55 returns 25.50 if Spennymoor win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 6.6% removed) that is 37% Spennymoor, 26% draw and 38% Chorley.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Chorley" mean?

It wins if Chorley win or draw; it loses only if Spennymoor win. At 1.53, the price implies a 65% chance; Nito's data rates it at 69%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Spennymoor and Chorley matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Spennymoor's last 10 matches and 60% of Chorley's last 10. In their 19 recorded meetings it was 26%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Spennymoor reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Chorley in 60% of their last 10. Their 19 meetings averaged 1.8 goals (32% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLLLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Spennymoor, last 5: 1 W · 0 D · 4 L (6 scored, 10 conceded). Chorley, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (8 scored, 6 conceded).

Where do Spennymoor and Chorley stand in the table?

Spennymoor are 24th with 7 points from 13 games. Chorley are 11th with 20 points from 13 games. The gap between them is 13 points.

Spennymoor vs Chorley: questions & answers

Who will win Spennymoor vs Chorley?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Chorley with 69% confidence (best price 1.53). Bookmaker odds imply Spennymoor 37%, draw 26%, Chorley 38%.

Will both teams score in Spennymoor vs Chorley?

Both teams scored in 26% of their 19 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Spennymoor's matches and 60% of Chorley's.

What are the odds for Spennymoor vs Chorley?

Odds: Spennymoor 2.55, draw 3.65, Chorley 2.50. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Chorley is available at 1.53.

When is the Spennymoor vs Chorley kick-off?

Spennymoor vs Chorley kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Spennymoor and Chorley?

19 meetings: Spennymoor 9 wins, 3 draws, Chorley 7 wins. Those 19 games averaged 1.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 26% of them.

Spennymoor vs Chorley prediction & odds

Spennymoor

Chorley

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds