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Sao Paulo vs Corinthians prediction & odds

Sao Paulo

23:00

Kick-off Wed 4 Nov, 23:00

Corinthians

Odds 1X2

1Sao Paulo2.07XDraw3.252Corinthians3.85

MorumBIS

Sao PaulovsCorinthians

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Brasileirão
Kick-off: Wed 4 Nov 23:00 EET
Stadium: MorumBIS
Capacity: 66,795
City: São Paulo, São Paulo

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Sao Paulo46%2.07

Draw29%3.25

Corinthians25%3.85

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 5.1%

Sao Paulo2.0746%Draw3.2529%Corinthians3.8525%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

16Sao Paulo wins

17Draws

17Corinthians wins

Last matches: Sao Paulo

29.10.26BrasileirãoBahiaSao Paulo32L
24.10.26BrasileirãoMirassolSao Paulo11D
18.10.26BrasileirãoSao PauloVasco10W
11.10.26BrasileirãoSao PauloVitoria21W
08.10.26BrasileirãoCruzeiroSao Paulo20L

Last matches: Corinthians

24.10.26BrasileirãoVascoCorinthians32L
19.10.26BrasileirãoCorinthiansVitoria11D
11.10.26BrasileirãoPalmeirasCorinthians41L
07.10.26BrasileirãoInternacionalCorinthians21L
20.09.26BrasileirãoCorinthiansFluminense13L

Head-to-head matches

10.05.26BrasileirãoCorinthiansSao Paulo32L
18.01.26Paulista A1CorinthiansSao Paulo11D
20.11.25Serie ACorinthiansSao Paulo31L
20.07.25Serie ASao PauloCorinthians20W
26.01.25Paulista A1Sao PauloCorinthians31W
29.09.24Serie ASao PauloCorinthians31W

2.48Avg goals62%Both scored42%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 2013: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

16Sao Paulo wins

17Draws

17Corinthians wins

62:62Goals (Sao Paulo : Corinthians)

2.48Goals per match

62%BTTS

76%Over 1.5

42%Over 2.5

24%Over 3.5

Sao Paulo at home: 14-8-335:16 goals in 25 games
Corinthians at home: 14-9-246:27 goals in 25 games
Sao Paulo's biggest win: 4–0Sao Paulo 4–0 Corinthians, 5 Nov 2016
Corinthians's biggest win: 6–1Corinthians 6–1 Sao Paulo, 22 Nov 2015

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Brasileirão	Corinthians	3–2	Sao Paulo
18 Jan 2026	Paulista A1	Corinthians	1–1	Sao Paulo
20 Nov 2025	Serie A	Corinthians	3–1	Sao Paulo
20 Jul 2025	Serie A	Sao Paulo	2–0	Corinthians
26 Jan 2025	Paulista A1	Sao Paulo	3–1	Corinthians
29 Sept 2024	Serie A	Sao Paulo	3–1	Corinthians
16 Jun 2024	Serie A	Corinthians	2–2	Sao Paulo
30 Jan 2024	Paulista A1	Corinthians	1–2	Sao Paulo
30 Sept 2023	Serie A	Sao Paulo	2–1	Corinthians
16 Aug 2023	Cup	Sao Paulo	2–0	Corinthians
26 Jul 2023	Cup	Corinthians	2–1	Sao Paulo
14 May 2023	Serie A	Corinthians	1–1	Sao Paulo
29 Jan 2023	Paulista A1	Sao Paulo	1–2	Corinthians
11 Sept 2022	Serie A	Sao Paulo	1–1	Corinthians
22 May 2022	Serie A	Corinthians	1–1	Sao Paulo
27 Mar 2022	Paulista A1	Sao Paulo	2–1	Corinthians
5 Mar 2022	Paulista A1	Sao Paulo	1–0	Corinthians
18 Oct 2021	Serie A	Sao Paulo	1–0	Corinthians
1 Jul 2021	Serie A	Corinthians	0–0	Sao Paulo
3 May 2021	Paulista A1	Corinthians	2–2	Sao Paulo

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Sao Paulo2W 1D 2L · goals 6–7

L29.10BrasileirãoABahia2–3
D24.10BrasileirãoAMirassol1–1
W18.10BrasileirãoHVasco1–0
W11.10BrasileirãoHVitoria2–1
L08.10BrasileirãoACruzeiro0–2

Corinthians0W 1D 4L · goals 6–13

L24.10BrasileirãoAVasco2–3
D19.10BrasileirãoHVitoria1–1
L11.10BrasileirãoAPalmeiras1–4
L07.10BrasileirãoAInternacional1–2
L20.09BrasileirãoHFluminense1–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Sao PauloCorinthians

0.9Goals scored per game0.9

1.3Goals conceded per game2.0

50%Both teams scored80%

30%Over 2.5 goals60%

2Clean sheets0

30%Failed to score20%

3-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-1-4

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Sao PauloCorinthians

Serie A 2026 · 23 gamesSerie A 2026 · 29 games

1.2Goals scored1.0

1.2Goals conceded1.2

6.2Corners5.2

13.0Shots12.6

53%Possession54%

2.3Yellow cards2.6

17%Clean sheets34%

22%Failed to score24%

6-3-2Home / away record (W-D-L)3-5-6

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Serie A

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
9	Bragantino	33	+4	44	WLDWD
10	Sao Paulo	33	0	43	LDWWL
11	Botafogo RJ	33	-8	39	LLWDL
17	Gremio	32	-9	34	WLDDD
18	Corinthians	32	-8	33	LDLLL
19	Remo	33	-15	29	WLDDD

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About this match

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians preview

On Wed, 4 Nov 2026 at 23:00, Sao Paulo take on Corinthians in the Brasileirão.

Form · last 5 matches

Sao PauloLDWWL6 scored · 7 conceded

CorinthiansLDLLL6 scored · 13 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Sao PauloCorinthians

0.9Goals scored per game0.9

1.3Goals conceded per game2.0

50%Both teams scored80%

30%Over 2.5 goals60%

2Clean sheets0

Head-to-head in numbers

16Sao Paulo wins

17Draws

17Corinthians wins

50 meetings · 2.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 62%

What's at stake

Sao Paulo10th43 pts · 33 played

Corinthians18th33 pts · 32 played

Sao Paulo lead by 10 pts

Read the full match preview

MorumBIS hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Sao Paulo the favourite at 2.07 (46% implied), with the draw at 3.25 (29%).

Sao Paulo come into the game with LDWWL in their last 5 (6 scored, 7 conceded), while Corinthians have LDLLL (6 scored, 13 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 30% of Sao Paulo's recent games and 60% of Corinthians's, with both teams scoring in 50% and 80%.

Per game, Sao Paulo average 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Corinthians 0.9 and 2.0 (clean sheets: 0).

Head-to-head over 50 previous meetings: Sao Paulo 16 wins, Corinthians 17 wins, draws 17.

Those 50 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.

The last meeting (2026-05-10) ended Corinthians 3–2 Sao Paulo.

In the table, Sao Paulo are 10th (43 pts from 33 games) and Corinthians are 18th (33 pts from 32).

Nito explains: Sao Paulo vs Corinthians

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Sao Paulo vs Corinthians mean?

The best prices are 2.07 for a Sao Paulo win, 3.25 for a draw and 3.85 for a Corinthians win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.07 returns 20.70 if Sao Paulo win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 5.1% removed) that is 46% Sao Paulo, 29% draw and 25% Corinthians.

How often do Sao Paulo and Corinthians matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Sao Paulo's last 10 matches and 80% of Corinthians's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 62%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Sao Paulo reached that in 30% of their last 10 matches, Corinthians in 60% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.5 goals (42% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LDWWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Sao Paulo, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (6 scored, 7 conceded). Corinthians, last 5: 0 W · 1 D · 4 L (6 scored, 13 conceded).

Where do Sao Paulo and Corinthians stand in the table?

Sao Paulo are 10th with 43 points from 33 games. Corinthians are 18th with 33 points from 32 games. The gap between them is 10 points.

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians: questions & answers

Who will win Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?

Bookmaker odds imply Sao Paulo 46%, draw 29%, Corinthians 25%.

Will both teams score in Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?

Both teams scored in 62% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Sao Paulo's matches and 80% of Corinthians's.

What are the odds for Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?

Odds: Sao Paulo 2.07, draw 3.25, Corinthians 3.85.

When is the Sao Paulo vs Corinthians kick-off?

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians kicks off on Wed, 4 Nov 2026 at 23:00 (GMT+2) at MorumBIS.

What is the head-to-head record between Sao Paulo and Corinthians?

50 meetings: Sao Paulo 16 wins, 17 draws, Corinthians 17 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.

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Sao Paulo vs Corinthians prediction & odds

Sao Paulo

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Match information

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All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

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