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Coritiba vs Vitoria prediction & odds

Coritiba

21:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 21:00

Vitoria

Odds 1X2

1Coritiba2.35XDraw3.452Vitoria3.08

CoritibavsVitoria

Nito’s pick1.54

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Vitoria

1.54

65%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Serie A
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 21:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Vitoria65%Confidence1.54Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.54 means bookmakers give it 65%; Nito's confidence is 65% (0 pts)
Vitoria won 1 of their last 5 (goals 8–7); Coritiba won 0 (goals 1–12)
In the table Vitoria are 14th with 38 pts, Coritiba 12th with 39 pts
In 36 meetings Vitoria won 13, Coritiba won 14, 9 were drawn

Best price 1.54 means bookmakers give it 65%; Nito's confidence is 65% (0 pts)

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or VitoriaHigh confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.54

Double chance: Draw or Vitoria: our confidence is 65% at a best price of 1.54.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence62%

Indicative price1.87

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 62%, 9 points above the 53% the best price of 1.87 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Coritiba41%2.35

Draw28%3.45

Vitoria31%3.08

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.0%

Coritiba2.3541%Draw3.4528%Vitoria3.0831%

Double chance

Coritiba or Draw1.33Coritiba or Vitoria1.27Draw or Vitoria1.54

1st-half resultmargin 17.0%

Coritiba2.6732%Draw2.0642%Vitoria3.2326%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Coritiba1.9549%Vitoria1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

14Coritiba wins

9Draws

13Vitoria wins

Last matches: Coritiba

26.10.26BrasileirãoCoritibaGrêmio01L
17.10.26BrasileirãoAtlético MineiroCoritiba10L
12.10.26BrasileirãoCoritibaBotafogo11D
09.10.26BrasileirãoFluminenseCoritiba40L
19.09.26BrasileirãoVascoCoritiba50L

Last matches: Vitoria

24.10.26BrasileirãoVitoriaAthletico-PR11D
19.10.26BrasileirãoCorinthiansVitoria11D
11.10.26BrasileirãoSao PauloVitoria21L
07.10.26BrasileirãoVitoriaChapecoense40W
20.09.26BrasileirãoVitoriaCruzeiro13L

Head-to-head matches

02.05.26BrasileirãoVitoriaCoritiba41L
22.09.21Serie BVitoriaCoritiba00D
23.06.21Serie BCoritibaVitoria10W
30.11.19Serie BVitoriaCoritiba12W
27.08.19Serie BCoritibaVitoria11D
28.08.17Serie ACoritibaVitoria01L

2.17Avg goals42%Both scored33%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Coritiba vs Vitoria: head-to-head record

36 meetings since 1998: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

14Coritiba wins

9Draws

13Vitoria wins

42:36Goals (Coritiba : Vitoria)

2.17Goals per match

42%BTTS

58%Over 1.5

33%Over 2.5

22%Over 3.5

Coritiba at home: 11-5-227:9 goals in 18 games
Vitoria at home: 11-4-327:15 goals in 18 games
Coritiba's biggest win: 5–1Coritiba 5–1 Vitoria, 27 Nov 2004
Vitoria's biggest win: 4–1Vitoria 4–1 Coritiba, 2 May 2026

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
2 May 2026	Brasileirão	Vitoria	4–1	Coritiba
22 Sept 2021	Serie B	Vitoria	0–0	Coritiba
23 Jun 2021	Serie B	Coritiba	1–0	Vitoria
30 Nov 2019	Serie B	Vitoria	1–2	Coritiba
27 Aug 2019	Serie B	Coritiba	1–1	Vitoria
28 Aug 2017	Serie A	Coritiba	0–1	Vitoria
28 May 2017	Serie A	Vitoria	0–1	Coritiba
28 Nov 2016	Serie A	Coritiba	0–1	Vitoria
31 Aug 2016	Copa Sudamericana	Coritiba	1–0	Vitoria
26 Aug 2016	Copa Sudamericana	Vitoria	2–1	Coritiba
3 Aug 2016	Serie A	Vitoria	3–1	Coritiba
19 Nov 2014	Serie A	Vitoria	1–1	Coritiba
21 Aug 2014	Serie A	Coritiba	2–0	Vitoria
12 Oct 2013	Serie A	Vitoria	2–1	Coritiba
28 Aug 2013	Copa Sudamericana	Coritiba	1–0	Vitoria
22 Aug 2013	Copa Sudamericana	Vitoria	1–0	Coritiba
28 Jul 2013	Serie A	Coritiba	1–1	Vitoria
24 May 2012	Cup	Coritiba	4–1	Vitoria
17 May 2012	Cup	Vitoria	0–0	Coritiba
1 Nov 2009	Serie A	Coritiba	1–0	Vitoria

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Coritiba0W 1D 4L · goals 1–12

L26.10BrasileirãoHGrêmio0–1
L17.10BrasileirãoAAtlético Mineiro0–1
D12.10BrasileirãoHBotafogo1–1
L09.10BrasileirãoAFluminense0–4
L19.09BrasileirãoAVasco0–5

Vitoria1W 2D 2L · goals 8–7

D24.10BrasileirãoHAthletico-PR1–1
D19.10BrasileirãoACorinthians1–1
L11.10BrasileirãoASao Paulo1–2
W07.10BrasileirãoHChapecoense4–0
L20.09BrasileirãoHCruzeiro1–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

CoritibaVitoria

1.1Goals scored per game1.2

2.1Goals conceded per game1.4

60%Both teams scored60%

60%Over 2.5 goals50%

0Clean sheets2

40%Failed to score20%

1-2-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-2-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

CoritibaVitoria

Serie B 2025 · 33 gamesSerie A 2026 · 24 games

1.0Goals scored1.0

0.6Goals conceded1.4

5.1Corners4.3

12.4Shots11.8

51%Possession45%

3.1Yellow cards2.1

52%Clean sheets38%

36%Failed to score33%

8-8-1Home / away record (W-D-L)0-4-8

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Serie A

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
11	Botafogo RJ	33	-8	39	LLWDL
12	Coritiba	32	-12	39	LLDLL
13	Vasco	32	-9	38	LWLDW
14	Vitoria	32	-11	38	DDLWL
15	Mirassol	32	-8	37	DWLDW

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Coritiba

✕Lucas RonierKnee Injury
?Lucas TavernaInactive

Vitoria

✕BaralhasBroken Leg
✕CamutangaBroken Leg
✕DuduBack Injury
✕EduAchilles Tendon Injury
✕FabianoKnee Injury
✕Luan CandidoYellow Cards
✕MarinhoRed Card
✕Nathan MendesKnee Injury
✕RamonLeg Injury
✕RiccieliCalf Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

Coritiba vs Vitoria preview

Coritiba host Vitoria in the Serie A on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 21:00.

Form · last 5 matches

CoritibaLLDLL1 scored · 12 conceded

VitoriaDDLWL8 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

CoritibaVitoria

1.1Goals scored per game1.2

2.1Goals conceded per game1.4

60%Both teams scored60%

60%Over 2.5 goals50%

0Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

14Coritiba wins

9Draws

13Vitoria wins

36 meetings · 2.2 goals per game · both teams scored in 42%

What's at stake

Coritiba12th39 pts · 32 played

Vitoria14th38 pts · 32 played

Coritiba lead by 1 pts

Our pick

Double chanceDraw or Vitoria65%Confidence1.54Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Coritiba the favourite at 2.35 (41% implied), with the draw at 3.45 (28%).

Double chance: Draw or Vitoria is our top pick for this game (65% confidence, best price 1.54).

We also have Under 2.5 goals (62%, 1.87).

Coritiba come into the game with LLDLL in their last 5 (1 scored, 12 conceded), while Vitoria have DDLWL (8 scored, 7 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 60% of Coritiba's recent games and 50% of Vitoria's, with both teams scoring in 60% and 60%.

Per game, Coritiba average 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded (clean sheets: 0), Vitoria 1.2 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 2).

Head-to-head over 36 previous meetings: Coritiba 14 wins, Vitoria 13 wins, draws 9.

Those 36 games averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 42% of them.

The last meeting (2026-05-02) ended Vitoria 4–1 Coritiba.

In the table, Coritiba are 12th (39 pts from 32 games) and Vitoria are 14th (38 pts from 32).

Nito explains: Coritiba vs Vitoria

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Coritiba vs Vitoria mean?

The best prices are 2.35 for a Coritiba win, 3.45 for a draw and 3.08 for a Vitoria win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.35 returns 23.50 if Coritiba win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.0% removed) that is 41% Coritiba, 28% draw and 31% Vitoria.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Vitoria" mean?

It wins if Vitoria win or draw; it loses only if Coritiba win. At 1.54, the price implies a 65% chance; Nito's data rates it at 65%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Coritiba and Vitoria matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Coritiba's last 10 matches and 60% of Vitoria's last 10. In their 36 recorded meetings it was 42%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Coritiba reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Vitoria in 50% of their last 10. Their 36 meetings averaged 2.2 goals (33% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLDLL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Coritiba, last 5: 0 W · 1 D · 4 L (1 scored, 12 conceded). Vitoria, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (8 scored, 7 conceded).

Where do Coritiba and Vitoria stand in the table?

Coritiba are 12th with 39 points from 32 games. Vitoria are 14th with 38 points from 32 games. The gap between them is 1 points.

Coritiba vs Vitoria: questions & answers

Who will win Coritiba vs Vitoria?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Vitoria with 65% confidence (best price 1.54). Bookmaker odds imply Coritiba 41%, draw 28%, Vitoria 31%.

Will both teams score in Coritiba vs Vitoria?

Both teams scored in 42% of their 36 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Coritiba's matches and 60% of Vitoria's.

What are the odds for Coritiba vs Vitoria?

Odds: Coritiba 2.35, draw 3.45, Vitoria 3.08. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Vitoria is available at 1.54.

When is the Coritiba vs Vitoria kick-off?

Coritiba vs Vitoria kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 21:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Coritiba and Vitoria?

36 meetings: Coritiba 14 wins, 9 draws, Vitoria 13 wins. Those 36 games averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 42% of them.

Other Serie A matches on 31 Oct

01:00CorinthiansMirassol

All Serie A fixtures

Coritiba vs Vitoria prediction & odds

Coritiba

Vitoria

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds