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Criciuma vs Ponte Preta prediction & odds

Criciuma

00:30

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 00:30

Ponte Preta

Odds 1X2

1Criciuma1.09XDraw12.782Ponte Preta29.03

CriciumavsPonte Preta

Nito’s pick1.44

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Both teams to scoreNo

1.44

75%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Serie B
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 00:30 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Both teams to scoreNo75%Confidence1.44Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.44 means bookmakers give it 69%; Nito's confidence is 75% (+6 pts)
Both teams scored in 40% of Criciuma's last 5 and 30% of Ponte Preta's
Goals per game in the last 5: Criciuma matches 2.5, Ponte Preta matches 2.9
Their 24 meetings average 2.5 goals; both teams scored in 67%

Best price 1.44 means bookmakers give it 69%; Nito's confidence is 75% (+6 pts)

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreNoHigh confidence

Confidence75%

Indicative price1.44

Both teams to score: No: our confidence is 75%, 6 points above the 69% the best price of 1.44 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price3.00

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 65%, 32 points above the 33% the best price of 3.00 implies.

Total goals 3.5Under 3.5

Confidence62%

Indicative price1.83

We rate Under 3.5 goals at 62% — the price of 1.83 implies only 55%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Criciuma89%1.09

Draw8%12.78

Ponte Preta3%29.03

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.0%

Criciuma1.0989%Draw12.788%Ponte Preta29.033%

1st-half resultmargin 6.6%

Criciuma1.3470%Draw3.8924%Ponte Preta15.996%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Criciuma1.9350%Ponte Preta1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

5Criciuma wins

9Draws

10Ponte Preta wins

Last matches: Criciuma

Primeira LigaCriciumaInternacional13L
Primeira LigaBrasil de PelotasCriciuma21L
Primeira LigaFluminenseCriciuma32L
24.10.26Serie BSport RecifeCriciuma21L
18.10.26Serie BSao BernardoCriciuma01W

Last matches: Ponte Preta

24.10.26Serie BPonte PretaFortaleza22D
16.10.26Serie BPonte PretaAtletico GO11D
12.10.26Serie BNovorizontinoPonte Preta51L
07.10.26Serie BPonte PretaJuventude02L
03.10.26Serie BCuiabaPonte Preta20L

Head-to-head matches

08.07.26Serie BPonte PretaCriciuma12W
02.08.23Serie BCriciumaPonte Preta21W
22.04.23Serie BPonte PretaCriciuma12W
29.10.22Serie BPonte PretaCriciuma11D
15.07.22Serie BCriciumaPonte Preta11D
09.04.21CupCriciumaPonte Preta11D

2.50Avg goals67%Both scored50%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Criciuma vs Ponte Preta: head-to-head record

24 meetings since 2003: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

5Criciuma wins

9Draws

10Ponte Preta wins

25:35Goals (Criciuma : Ponte Preta)

2.50Goals per match

67%BTTS

83%Over 1.5

50%Over 2.5

21%Over 3.5

Criciuma at home: 3-5-413:14 goals in 12 games
Ponte Preta at home: 6-4-221:12 goals in 12 games
Criciuma's biggest win: 3–0Criciuma 3–0 Ponte Preta, 20 Aug 2003
Ponte Preta's biggest win: 3–0Ponte Preta 3–0 Criciuma, 13 Aug 2011

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
8 Jul 2026	Serie B	Ponte Preta	1–2	Criciuma
2 Aug 2023	Serie B	Criciuma	2–1	Ponte Preta
22 Apr 2023	Serie B	Ponte Preta	1–2	Criciuma
29 Oct 2022	Serie B	Ponte Preta	1–1	Criciuma
15 Jul 2022	Serie B	Criciuma	1–1	Ponte Preta
9 Apr 2021	Cup	Criciuma	1–1	Ponte Preta
4 Sept 2019	Serie B	Criciuma	0–0	Ponte Preta
3 May 2019	Serie B	Ponte Preta	1–1	Criciuma
15 Aug 2018	Serie B	Ponte Preta	3–1	Criciuma
21 Apr 2018	Serie B	Criciuma	0–1	Ponte Preta
3 Nov 2013	Serie A	Criciuma	1–1	Ponte Preta
27 Aug 2013	Copa Sudamericana	Ponte Preta	0–0	Criciuma
22 Aug 2013	Copa Sudamericana	Criciuma	1–2	Ponte Preta
11 Aug 2013	Serie A	Ponte Preta	3–1	Criciuma
8 Nov 2011	Serie B	Criciuma	1–1	Ponte Preta
13 Aug 2011	Serie B	Ponte Preta	3–0	Criciuma
29 Nov 2008	Serie B	Ponte Preta	3–1	Criciuma
16 Aug 2008	Serie B	Criciuma	0–3	Ponte Preta
19 Oct 2007	Serie B	Criciuma	0–2	Ponte Preta
12 Jul 2007	Serie B	Ponte Preta	3–2	Criciuma

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Criciuma1W 0D 4L · goals 6–10

L01.01Primeira LigaHInternacional1–3
L01.01Primeira LigaABrasil de Pelotas1–2
L01.01Primeira LigaAFluminense2–3
L24.10Serie BASport Recife1–2
W18.10Serie BASao Bernardo1–0

Ponte Preta0W 2D 3L · goals 4–12

D24.10Serie BHFortaleza2–2
D16.10Serie BHAtletico GO1–1
L12.10Serie BANovorizontino1–5
L07.10Serie BHJuventude0–2
L03.10Serie BACuiaba0–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

CriciumaPonte Preta

1.2Goals scored per game0.5

1.3Goals conceded per game2.4

40%Both teams scored30%

50%Over 2.5 goals30%

4Clean sheets1

20%Failed to score60%

2-0-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-0-5

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

CriciumaPonte Preta

Serie B 2026 · 24 gamesSerie B 2026 · 25 games

0.9Goals scored0.5

0.8Goals conceded2.2

7.1Corners4.4

14.3Shots10.5

52%Possession42%

2.5Yellow cards2.5

46%Clean sheets12%

29%Failed to score56%

8-4-2Home / away record (W-D-L)1-0-11

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Serie B

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
4	Fortaleza	35	+12	61	DWDWD
5	Criciuma	35	+6	59	LWWLW
6	CRB	35	+4	55	WLDWL
19	America MG	35	-31	23	WWLLL
20	Ponte Preta	35	-55	15	DDLLL

Comments

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About this match

Criciuma vs Ponte Preta preview

Criciuma host Ponte Preta in the Serie B on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 00:30.

Form · last 5 matches

CriciumaLLLLW6 scored · 10 conceded

Ponte PretaDDLLL4 scored · 12 conceded

Key facts · last 5

CriciumaPonte Preta

1.2Goals scored per game0.5

1.3Goals conceded per game2.4

40%Both teams scored30%

50%Over 2.5 goals30%

4Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

5Criciuma wins

9Draws

10Ponte Preta wins

24 meetings · 2.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 67%

What's at stake

Criciuma5th59 pts · 35 played

Ponte Preta20th15 pts · 35 played

Criciuma lead by 44 pts

Our pick

Both teams to scoreNo75%Confidence1.44Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Criciuma the favourite at 1.09 (89% implied), with the draw at 12.78 (8%).

Our strongest pick is Both teams to score: No with 75% confidence at a best price of 1.44.

We also have Under 2.5 goals (65%, 3.00) and Under 3.5 goals (62%, 1.83).

Criciuma come into the game with LLLLW in their last 5 (6 scored, 10 conceded), while Ponte Preta have DDLLL (4 scored, 12 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 50% of Criciuma's recent games and 30% of Ponte Preta's, with both teams scoring in 40% and 30%.

Per game, Criciuma average 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (clean sheets: 4), Ponte Preta 0.5 and 2.4 (clean sheets: 1).

Head-to-head over 24 previous meetings: Criciuma 5 wins, Ponte Preta 10 wins, draws 9.

Those 24 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

The last meeting (2026-07-08) ended Ponte Preta 1–2 Criciuma.

In the table, Criciuma are 5th (59 pts from 35 games) and Ponte Preta are 20th (15 pts from 35).

Nito explains: Criciuma vs Ponte Preta

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Criciuma vs Ponte Preta mean?

The best prices are 1.09 for a Criciuma win, 12.78 for a draw and 29.03 for a Ponte Preta win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.09 returns 10.90 if Criciuma win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.0% removed) that is 89% Criciuma, 8% draw and 3% Ponte Preta.

What does Nito's pick "Both teams to score: No" mean?

It wins if at least one team fails to score. At 1.44, the price implies a 69% chance; Nito's data rates it at 75%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Criciuma and Ponte Preta matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Criciuma's last 10 matches and 30% of Ponte Preta's last 10. In their 24 recorded meetings it was 67%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Criciuma reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Ponte Preta in 30% of their last 10. Their 24 meetings averaged 2.5 goals (50% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLLLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Criciuma, last 5: 1 W · 0 D · 4 L (6 scored, 10 conceded). Ponte Preta, last 5: 0 W · 2 D · 3 L (4 scored, 12 conceded).

Where do Criciuma and Ponte Preta stand in the table?

Criciuma are 5th with 59 points from 35 games. Ponte Preta are 20th with 15 points from 35 games. The gap between them is 44 points.

Criciuma vs Ponte Preta: questions & answers

Who will win Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?

Bookmaker odds imply Criciuma 89%, draw 8%, Ponte Preta 3%.

Will both teams score in Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (75% confidence, 1.44). Both teams scored in 67% of their 24 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Criciuma's matches and 30% of Ponte Preta's.

What are the odds for Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?

Odds: Criciuma 1.09, draw 12.78, Ponte Preta 29.03. Our pick Both teams to score: No is available at 1.44.

When is the Criciuma vs Ponte Preta kick-off?

Criciuma vs Ponte Preta kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 00:30 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Criciuma and Ponte Preta?

24 meetings: Criciuma 5 wins, 9 draws, Ponte Preta 10 wins. Those 24 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Other Serie B matches on 31 Oct

All Serie B fixtures

Criciuma vs Ponte Preta prediction & odds

Criciuma

Ponte Preta

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds