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Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow prediction & odds

Orenburg

12:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 12:00

CSKA Moscow

Odds 1X2

1Orenburg3.31XDraw3.642CSKA Moscow2.20

OrenburgvsCSKA Moscow

Nito’s pick1.40

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or CSKA

1.40

77%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 77% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Premier League
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 12:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or CSKA77%Confidence1.40Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.40 means bookmakers give it 71%; Nito's confidence is 77% (+6 pts)
CSKA Moscow won 4 of their last 5 (goals 13–4); Orenburg won 4 (goals 13–4)
In the table CSKA Moscow are 3rd with 25 pts, Orenburg 6th with 16 pts
In 17 meetings CSKA Moscow won 11, Orenburg won 2, 4 were drawn

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 77% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or CSKAHigh confidence

Confidence77%

Indicative price1.40

Double chance: Draw or CSKA: our confidence is 77%, 6 points above the 71% the best price of 1.40 implies.

Asian handicap +0.25CSKA -0.25

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.85

We rate Asian handicap: CSKA -0.25 at 60% — the price of 1.85 implies only 54%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Orenburg29%3.31

Draw27%3.64

CSKA Moscow44%2.20

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.1%

Orenburg3.3129%Draw3.6427%CSKA Moscow2.2044%

Total goals 2.5margin 4.9%

Over 2.51.7056%Under 2.52.1744%

Asian handicapmargin 3.6%

Orenburg +0.252.0248%CSKA Moscow -0.251.8552%

More markets (1)

1st-half resultmargin 5.5%

Orenburg3.7725%Draw2.3940%CSKA Moscow2.6935%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

2Orenburg wins

4Draws

11CSKA Moscow wins

Last matches: Orenburg

28.10.26Russia CupOrenburgRodina Moscow21W
23.10.26Premier LeagueAkhmat GroznyOrenburg01W
19.10.26Premier LeagueRodina MoscowOrenburg22D
15.10.26Russia CupRubin KazanOrenburg14W
10.10.26Premier LeagueOrenburgDynamo Makhachkala40W

Last matches: CSKA Moscow

29.10.26Russia CupCSKA MoscowLokomotiv Moscow31W
25.10.26Premier LeagueCSKA MoscowSpartak Moscow20W
18.10.26Premier LeagueDynamo MoscowCSKA Moscow31L
14.10.26Russia CupCSKA MoscowFK Rostov40W
11.10.26Premier LeagueCSKA MoscowRodina Moscow30W

Head-to-head matches

11.07.26Club FriendliesOrenburgCSKA Moscow20W
29.11.25Premier LeagueCSKA MoscowOrenburg20L
21.07.25Premier LeagueOrenburgCSKA Moscow00D
12.04.25Premier LeagueOrenburgCSKA Moscow02L
04.08.24Premier LeagueCSKA MoscowOrenburg51L
02.03.24Premier LeagueCSKA MoscowOrenburg11D

2.88Avg goals47%Both scored47%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow: head-to-head record

17 meetings since 2016: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

2Orenburg wins

4Draws

11CSKA Moscow wins

13:36Goals (Orenburg : CSKA Moscow)

2.88Goals per match

47%BTTS

82%Over 1.5

47%Over 2.5

35%Over 3.5

Orenburg at home: 1-3-55:17 goals in 9 games
CSKA Moscow at home: 6-1-119:8 goals in 8 games
Orenburg's biggest win: 2–0Orenburg 2–0 CSKA Moscow, 11 Jul 2026
CSKA Moscow's biggest win: 0–6Orenburg 0–6 CSKA Moscow, 26 Jul 2023

Meetings (17 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
11 Jul 2026	Club Friendlies	Orenburg	2–0	CSKA Moscow
29 Nov 2025	Premier League	CSKA Moscow	2–0	Orenburg
21 Jul 2025	Premier League	Orenburg	0–0	CSKA Moscow
12 Apr 2025	Premier League	Orenburg	0–2	CSKA Moscow
4 Aug 2024	Premier League	CSKA Moscow	5–1	Orenburg
2 Mar 2024	Premier League	CSKA Moscow	1–1	Orenburg
2 Nov 2023	Cup	CSKA Moscow	3–1	Orenburg
25 Aug 2023	Premier League	Orenburg	1–1	CSKA Moscow
26 Jul 2023	Cup	Orenburg	0–6	CSKA Moscow
7 May 2023	Premier League	CSKA Moscow	2–1	Orenburg
23 Oct 2022	Premier League	Orenburg	2–2	CSKA Moscow
8 Jul 2020	Premier League	Orenburg	0–4	CSKA Moscow
20 Jul 2019	Premier League	CSKA Moscow	2–1	Orenburg
13 Apr 2019	Premier League	CSKA Moscow	2–3	Orenburg
28 Sept 2018	Premier League	Orenburg	0–1	CSKA Moscow
30 Nov 2016	Premier League	CSKA Moscow	2–0	Orenburg
7 Aug 2016	Premier League	Orenburg	0–1	CSKA Moscow

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Orenburg4W 1D 0L · goals 13–4

W28.10Russia CupHRodina Moscow2–1
W23.10Premier LeagueAAkhmat Grozny1–0
D19.10Premier LeagueARodina Moscow2–2
W15.10Russia CupARubin Kazan4–1
W10.10Premier LeagueHDynamo Makhachkala4–0

CSKA Moscow4W 0D 1L · goals 13–4

W29.10Russia CupHLokomotiv Moscow3–1
W25.10Premier LeagueHSpartak Moscow2–0
L18.10Premier LeagueADynamo Moscow1–3
W14.10Russia CupHFK Rostov4–0
W11.10Premier LeagueHRodina Moscow3–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

OrenburgCSKA Moscow

1.7Goals scored per game1.9

1.0Goals conceded per game0.9

60%Both teams scored50%

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets4

20%Failed to score20%

2-2-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-0-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

OrenburgCSKA Moscow

Play-offs 1/2 2026/2027 · 5 gamesPlay-offs 1/2 2026/2027 · 3 games

1.0Goals scored1.7

1.0Goals conceded0.7

2.2Corners5.0

10.0Shots13.3

34%Possession50%

4.4Yellow cards2.3

20%Clean sheets33%

40%Failed to score0%

1-2-0Home / away record (W-D-L)1-0-0

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Premier League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Dynamo Moscow	12	+7	25	LWWWW
3	CSKA Moscow	12	+9	25	WLWWD
4	Krasnodar	12	+6	23	DDLDD
5	Spartak Moscow	12	+11	23	LWDWW
6	Orenburg	12	+2	16	WDWDL
7	FK Rostov	12	-4	15	WDWLL

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Orenburg

✕Alexandre JesusInactive
✕R. MejiaInactive
✕M. RudakovArm Injury
✕M. SavelyevInactive
✕D. VasiljevInactive

CSKA Moscow

✕I. AkinfeevMuscle Injury
✕D. BarinovKnee Injury
✕M. GajicKnee Injury
✕Joao VictorYellow Cards
✕MoisesKnee Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 12:00, Orenburg take on CSKA Moscow in the Premier League.

Form · last 5 matches

OrenburgWWDWW13 scored · 4 conceded

CSKA MoscowWWLWW13 scored · 4 conceded

Key facts · last 5

OrenburgCSKA Moscow

1.7Goals scored per game1.9

1.0Goals conceded per game0.9

60%Both teams scored50%

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

2Orenburg wins

4Draws

11CSKA Moscow wins

17 meetings · 2.9 goals per game · both teams scored in 47%

What's at stake

Orenburg6th16 pts · 12 played

CSKA Moscow3rd25 pts · 12 played

CSKA Moscow lead by 9 pts

Our pick

Double chanceDraw or CSKA77%Confidence1.40Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make CSKA Moscow the favourite at 2.20 (44% implied), with the draw at 3.64 (27%).

The selection we rate highest is Double chance: Draw or CSKA: 77% confidence, priced at 1.40.

We also have Asian handicap: CSKA -0.25 (60%, 1.85).

Orenburg come into the game with WWDWW in their last 5 (13 scored, 4 conceded), while CSKA Moscow have WWLWW (13 scored, 4 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 60% of Orenburg's recent games and 60% of CSKA Moscow's, with both teams scoring in 60% and 50%.

Per game, Orenburg average 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (clean sheets: 3), CSKA Moscow 1.9 and 0.9 (clean sheets: 4).

Head-to-head over 17 previous meetings: Orenburg 2 wins, CSKA Moscow 11 wins, draws 4.

Those 17 games averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.

The last meeting (2026-07-11) ended Orenburg 2–0 CSKA Moscow.

In the table, Orenburg are 6th (16 pts from 12 games) and CSKA Moscow are 3rd (25 pts from 12).

Nito explains: Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow mean?

The best prices are 3.31 for a Orenburg win, 3.64 for a draw and 2.20 for a CSKA Moscow win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.31 returns 33.10 if Orenburg win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.1% removed) that is 29% Orenburg, 27% draw and 44% CSKA Moscow.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or CSKA" mean?

It wins if CSKA Moscow win or draw; it loses only if Orenburg win. At 1.40, the price implies a 71% chance; Nito's data rates it at 77%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Orenburg and CSKA Moscow matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Orenburg's last 10 matches and 50% of CSKA Moscow's last 10. In their 17 recorded meetings it was 47%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Orenburg reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, CSKA Moscow in 60% of their last 10. Their 17 meetings averaged 2.9 goals (47% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWDWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Orenburg, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (13 scored, 4 conceded). CSKA Moscow, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (13 scored, 4 conceded).

Where do Orenburg and CSKA Moscow stand in the table?

Orenburg are 6th with 16 points from 12 games. CSKA Moscow are 3rd with 25 points from 12 games. The gap between them is 9 points.

Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow: questions & answers

Who will win Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or CSKA with 77% confidence (best price 1.40). Bookmaker odds imply Orenburg 29%, draw 27%, CSKA Moscow 44%.

Will both teams score in Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow?

Both teams scored in 47% of their 17 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Orenburg's matches and 50% of CSKA Moscow's.

What are the odds for Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow?

Odds: Orenburg 3.31, draw 3.64, CSKA Moscow 2.20. Our pick Double chance: Draw or CSKA is available at 1.40.

When is the Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow kick-off?

Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 12:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Orenburg and CSKA Moscow?

17 meetings: Orenburg 2 wins, 4 draws, CSKA Moscow 11 wins. Those 17 games averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.

Other Premier League matches on 1 Nov

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Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow prediction & odds

Orenburg

CSKA Moscow

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds