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D. Concepcion vs Palestino prediction & odds

D. Concepcion

01:30

Kick-off Tue 3 Nov, 01:30

Palestino

Odds 1X2

1D. Concepcion2.60XDraw3.502Palestino2.70

Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo

D. ConcepcionvsPalestino

Nito’s pick1.41

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Palestino

1.41

70%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Liga De Primera
Kick-off: Tue 3 Nov 01:30 EET
Stadium: Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo
Capacity: 33,000
City: Concepción

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Palestino70%Confidence1.41Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.41 means bookmakers give it 71%; Nito's confidence is 70% (-1 pts)
Palestino won 1 of their last 5 (goals 7–9); D. Concepcion won 1 (goals 4–7)
In the table Palestino are 5th with 38 pts, D. Concepcion 11th with 32 pts
In 6 meetings Palestino won 3, D. Concepcion won 3, 0 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or PalestinoHigh confidence

Confidence70%

Indicative price1.41

Double chance: Draw or Palestino: our confidence is 70% at a best price of 1.41.

Both teams to scoreYes

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.78

We rate Both teams to score: Yes at 60% — the price of 1.78 implies only 56%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

D. Concepcion37%2.60

Draw27%3.50

Palestino36%2.70

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.1%

D. Concepcion2.6037%Draw3.5027%Palestino2.7036%

Double chance

D. Concepcion or Draw1.37D. Concepcion or Palestino1.25Draw or Palestino1.41

Total goals 2.5margin 4.7%

Over 2.51.8951%Under 2.51.9349%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.5%

D. Concepcion 01.8851%Palestino 01.9549%

1st-half resultmargin 6.1%

D. Concepcion3.1930%Draw2.2542%Palestino3.3029%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.7%

D. Concepcion1.9649%Palestino1.9051%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

3D. Concepcion wins

0Draws

3Palestino wins

Last matches: D. Concepcion

24.10.26Liga De PrimeraLa SerenaD. Concepcion31L
11.10.26Liga De PrimeraD. ConcepcionUnion La Calera11D
04.10.26CupO'HigginsD. Concepcion20L
30.09.26CupD. ConcepcionO'Higgins01L
27.09.26CupD. ConcepcionCurico Unido20W

Last matches: Palestino

25.10.26Liga De PrimeraPalestinoColo Colo11D
11.10.26Liga De PrimeraLimachePalestino22D
12.09.26Liga De PrimeraPalestinoU. Catolica23L
06.09.26Liga De PrimeraPalestinoU. De Concepcion21W
28.08.26Liga De PrimeraCobresalPalestino20L

Head-to-head matches

24.04.26Liga De PrimeraPalestinoD. Concepcion01W
04.05.08PrimeraD. ConcepcionPalestino13L
27.10.07PrimeraD. ConcepcionPalestino02L
11.05.07PrimeraPalestinoD. Concepcion20L
12.08.05PrimeraPalestinoD. Concepcion02W
23.04.05PrimeraD. ConcepcionPalestino20W

2.17Avg goals17%Both scored17%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

D. Concepcion vs Palestino: head-to-head record

6 meetings since 2005: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

3D. Concepcion wins

0Draws

3Palestino wins

6:7Goals (D. Concepcion : Palestino)

2.17Goals per match

17%BTTS

83%Over 1.5

17%Over 2.5

17%Over 3.5

D. Concepcion at home: 1-0-23:5 goals in 3 games
Palestino at home: 1-0-22:3 goals in 3 games
D. Concepcion's biggest win: 0–2Palestino 0–2 D. Concepcion, 12 Aug 2005
Palestino's biggest win: 1–3D. Concepcion 1–3 Palestino, 4 May 2008

Meetings (6 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
24 Apr 2026	Liga De Primera	Palestino	0–1	D. Concepcion
4 May 2008	Primera	D. Concepcion	1–3	Palestino
27 Oct 2007	Primera	D. Concepcion	0–2	Palestino
11 May 2007	Primera	Palestino	2–0	D. Concepcion
12 Aug 2005	Primera	Palestino	0–2	D. Concepcion
23 Apr 2005	Primera	D. Concepcion	2–0	Palestino

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

D. Concepcion1W 1D 3L · goals 4–7

L24.10Liga De PrimeraALa Serena1–3
D11.10Liga De PrimeraHUnion La Calera1–1
L04.10CupAO'Higgins0–2
L30.09CupHO'Higgins0–1
W27.09CupHCurico Unido2–0

Palestino1W 2D 2L · goals 7–9

D25.10Liga De PrimeraHColo Colo1–1
D11.10Liga De PrimeraALimache2–2
L12.09Liga De PrimeraHU. Catolica2–3
W06.09Liga De PrimeraHU. De Concepcion2–1
L28.08Liga De PrimeraACobresal0–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

D. ConcepcionPalestino

1.1Goals scored per game1.6

1.0Goals conceded per game1.5

40%Both teams scored70%

20%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets1

30%Failed to score20%

1-2-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-3

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
4	Everton	25	+10	39	LWWLW
5	Palestino	25	+3	38	DDLWL
6	Limache	25	+9	37	WDLWW
10	Coquimbo	25	+1	32	LWLLL
11	D. Concepcion	25	-3	32	LDDLW
12	A. Italiano	25	-5	30	DDWWL

Comments

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About this match

D. Concepcion vs Palestino preview

D. Concepcion host Palestino in the Liga De Primera on Tue, 3 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 01:30.

Form · last 5 matches

D. ConcepcionLDLLW4 scored · 7 conceded

PalestinoDDLWL7 scored · 9 conceded

Key facts · last 5

D. ConcepcionPalestino

1.1Goals scored per game1.6

1.0Goals conceded per game1.5

40%Both teams scored70%

20%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

3D. Concepcion wins

0Draws

3Palestino wins

6 meetings · 2.2 goals per game · both teams scored in 17%

What's at stake

D. Concepcion11th32 pts · 25 played

Palestino5th38 pts · 25 played

Palestino lead by 6 pts

Our pick

Double chanceDraw or Palestino70%Confidence1.41Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The game is played at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo.

The market sees little between the sides: D. Concepcion 2.60 (37%), draw 3.50 (27%), Palestino 2.70 (36%).

Double chance: Draw or Palestino is our top pick for this game (70% confidence, best price 1.41).

We also have Both teams to score: Yes (60%, 1.78).

Recent form over the last 5: D. Concepcion LDLLW (goals 4–7), Palestino DDLWL (goals 7–9).

Both teams scored in 40% of D. Concepcion's recent games and 70% of Palestino's; over 2.5 goals landed in 20% and 60% respectively.

Per game, D. Concepcion average 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Palestino 1.6 and 1.5 (clean sheets: 1).

Across 6 head-to-head games the record reads 3–0–3 (wins–draws–losses) from D. Concepcion's side.

Those 6 games averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.

The last meeting (2026-04-24) ended Palestino 0–1 D. Concepcion.

D. Concepcion sit 11th on 32 pts after 25 games, Palestino 5th on 38 pts.

Nito explains: D. Concepcion vs Palestino

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for D. Concepcion vs Palestino mean?

The best prices are 2.60 for a D. Concepcion win, 3.50 for a draw and 2.70 for a Palestino win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.60 returns 26.00 if D. Concepcion win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.1% removed) that is 37% D. Concepcion, 27% draw and 36% Palestino.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Palestino" mean?

It wins if Palestino win or draw; it loses only if D. Concepcion win. At 1.41, the price implies a 71% chance; Nito's data rates it at 70%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do D. Concepcion and Palestino matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of D. Concepcion's last 10 matches and 70% of Palestino's last 10. In their 6 recorded meetings it was 17%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. D. Concepcion reached that in 20% of their last 10 matches, Palestino in 60% of their last 10. Their 6 meetings averaged 2.2 goals (17% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LDLLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. D. Concepcion, last 5: 1 W · 1 D · 3 L (4 scored, 7 conceded). Palestino, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (7 scored, 9 conceded).

Where do D. Concepcion and Palestino stand in the table?

D. Concepcion are 11th with 32 points from 25 games. Palestino are 5th with 38 points from 25 games. The gap between them is 6 points.

D. Concepcion vs Palestino: questions & answers

Who will win D. Concepcion vs Palestino?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Palestino with 70% confidence (best price 1.41). Bookmaker odds imply D. Concepcion 37%, draw 27%, Palestino 36%.

Will both teams score in D. Concepcion vs Palestino?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is Yes (60% confidence, 1.78). Both teams scored in 17% of their 6 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of D. Concepcion's matches and 70% of Palestino's.

What are the odds for D. Concepcion vs Palestino?

Odds: D. Concepcion 2.60, draw 3.50, Palestino 2.70. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Palestino is available at 1.41.

When is the D. Concepcion vs Palestino kick-off?

D. Concepcion vs Palestino kicks off on Tue, 3 Nov 2026 at 01:30 (GMT+2) at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo.

What is the head-to-head record between D. Concepcion and Palestino?

6 meetings: D. Concepcion 3 wins, 0 draws, Palestino 3 wins. Those 6 games averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.

D. Concepcion vs Palestino prediction & odds

D. Concepcion

Palestino

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds