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Derby vs Norwich prediction & odds

Derby

21:45

Kick-off Tue 3 Nov, 21:45

Norwich

Odds 1X2

1Derby3.35XDraw3.702Norwich2.13

Pride Park Stadium

DerbyvsNorwich

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: EFL Championship
Kick-off: Tue 3 Nov 21:45 EET
Stadium: Pride Park Stadium
Capacity: 33,597
City: Derby

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Derby29%3.35

Draw26%3.70

Norwich45%2.13

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.8%

Derby3.3529%Draw3.7026%Norwich2.1345%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

15Derby wins

15Draws

20Norwich wins

Last matches: Derby

24.10.26EFL ChampionshipSheffield UtdDerby11D
17.10.26EFL ChampionshipDerbyStoke01L
14.10.26EFL ChampionshipQPRDerby41L
10.10.26EFL ChampionshipDerbyWrexham11D
19.09.26EFL ChampionshipBurnleyDerby11D

Last matches: Norwich

24.10.26EFL ChampionshipCharltonNorwich13W
17.10.26EFL ChampionshipNorwichPortsmouth01L
14.10.26EFL ChampionshipNorwichSouthampton01L
10.10.26EFL ChampionshipSwanseaNorwich21L
20.09.26EFL ChampionshipNorwichBolton34L

Head-to-head matches

21.04.26EFL ChampionshipNorwichDerby21L
21.10.25EFL ChampionshipDerbyNorwich10W
08.02.25ChampionshipNorwichDerby11D
28.09.24ChampionshipDerbyNorwich23L
10.04.21ChampionshipDerbyNorwich01L
03.10.20ChampionshipNorwichDerby01W

2.42Avg goals54%Both scored48%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Derby vs Norwich: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 1972: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

15Derby wins

15Draws

20Norwich wins

55:66Goals (Derby : Norwich)

2.42Goals per match

54%BTTS

66%Over 1.5

48%Over 2.5

22%Over 3.5

Derby at home: 8-10-729:29 goals in 25 games
Norwich at home: 13-5-737:26 goals in 25 games
Derby's biggest win: 3–1Derby 3–1 Norwich, 28 Oct 2008
Norwich's biggest win: 0–4Derby 0–4 Norwich, 27 Dec 2003

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
21 Apr 2026	EFL Championship	Norwich	2–1	Derby
21 Oct 2025	EFL Championship	Derby	1–0	Norwich
8 Feb 2025	Championship	Norwich	1–1	Derby
28 Sept 2024	Championship	Derby	2–3	Norwich
10 Apr 2021	Championship	Derby	0–1	Norwich
3 Oct 2020	Championship	Norwich	0–1	Derby
29 Dec 2018	Championship	Norwich	3–4	Derby
3 Oct 2018	Championship	Derby	1–1	Norwich
10 Feb 2018	Championship	Derby	1–1	Norwich
28 Oct 2017	Championship	Norwich	1–2	Derby
2 Jan 2017	Championship	Norwich	3–0	Derby
26 Nov 2016	Championship	Derby	1–0	Norwich
14 Mar 2015	Championship	Norwich	1–1	Derby
20 Dec 2014	Championship	Derby	2–2	Norwich
25 Apr 2011	Championship	Norwich	3–2	Derby
4 Dec 2010	Championship	Derby	1–2	Norwich
28 Oct 2008	Championship	Derby	3–1	Norwich
4 Oct 2008	Championship	Norwich	1–2	Derby
6 Mar 2007	Championship	Norwich	1–2	Derby
18 Aug 2006	Championship	Derby	0–0	Norwich

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Derby0W 3D 2L · goals 4–8

D24.10EFL ChampionshipASheffield Utd1–1
L17.10EFL ChampionshipHStoke0–1
L14.10EFL ChampionshipAQPR1–4
D10.10EFL ChampionshipHWrexham1–1
D19.09EFL ChampionshipABurnley1–1

Norwich1W 0D 4L · goals 7–9

W24.10EFL ChampionshipACharlton3–1
L17.10EFL ChampionshipHPortsmouth0–1
L14.10EFL ChampionshipHSouthampton0–1
L10.10EFL ChampionshipASwansea1–2
L20.09EFL ChampionshipHBolton3–4

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

DerbyNorwich

0.7Goals scored per game1.5

1.7Goals conceded per game2.1

50%Both teams scored60%

40%Over 2.5 goals70%

1Clean sheets0

40%Failed to score40%

0-1-4Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-0-4

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

DerbyNorwich

Championship 2026/2027 · 8 gamesChampionship 2025/2026 · 45 games

0.9Goals scored1.4

1.8Goals conceded1.2

6.4Corners5.4

12.3Shots12.7

49%Possession53%

2.3Yellow cards1.9

13%Clean sheets20%

38%Failed to score20%

0-1-3Home / away record (W-D-L)10-5-8

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Championship

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
19	Charlton	12	-7	14	LLDDL
20	Norwich	12	-2	12	WLLLL
21	Watford	12	-10	11	LWLLL
22	Burnley	12	-8	8	LLDWD
23	Derby	12	-11	7	DLLDD
24	Preston	12	-15	5	DLLLD

About this match

Derby vs Norwich preview

On Tue, 3 Nov 2026 at 21:45, Derby take on Norwich in the EFL Championship.

Form · last 5 matches

DerbyDLLDD4 scored · 8 conceded

NorwichWLLLL7 scored · 9 conceded

Key facts · last 5

DerbyNorwich

0.7Goals scored per game1.5

1.7Goals conceded per game2.1

50%Both teams scored60%

40%Over 2.5 goals70%

1Clean sheets0

Head-to-head in numbers

15Derby wins

15Draws

20Norwich wins

50 meetings · 2.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 54%

What's at stake

Derby23rd7 pts · 12 played

Norwich20th12 pts · 12 played

Norwich lead by 5 pts

Read the full match preview

Pride Park Stadium hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Norwich the favourite at 2.13 (45% implied), with the draw at 3.70 (26%).

Derby come into the game with DLLDD in their last 5 (4 scored, 8 conceded), while Norwich have WLLLL (7 scored, 9 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 40% of Derby's recent games and 70% of Norwich's, with both teams scoring in 50% and 60%.

Per game, Derby average 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Norwich 1.5 and 2.1 (clean sheets: 0).

Head-to-head over 50 previous meetings: Derby 15 wins, Norwich 20 wins, draws 15.

Those 50 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.

The last meeting (2026-04-21) ended Norwich 2–1 Derby.

In the table, Derby are 23rd (7 pts from 12 games) and Norwich are 20th (12 pts from 12).

Nito explains: Derby vs Norwich

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Derby vs Norwich mean?

The best prices are 3.35 for a Derby win, 3.70 for a draw and 2.13 for a Norwich win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.35 returns 33.50 if Derby win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.8% removed) that is 29% Derby, 26% draw and 45% Norwich.

How often do Derby and Norwich matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Derby's last 10 matches and 60% of Norwich's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 54%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Derby reached that in 40% of their last 10 matches, Norwich in 70% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.4 goals (48% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DLLDD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Derby, last 5: 0 W · 3 D · 2 L (4 scored, 8 conceded). Norwich, last 5: 1 W · 0 D · 4 L (7 scored, 9 conceded).

Where do Derby and Norwich stand in the table?

Derby are 23rd with 7 points from 12 games. Norwich are 20th with 12 points from 12 games. The gap between them is 5 points.

Derby vs Norwich: questions & answers

Who will win Derby vs Norwich?

Bookmaker odds imply Derby 29%, draw 26%, Norwich 45%.

Will both teams score in Derby vs Norwich?

Both teams scored in 54% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Derby's matches and 60% of Norwich's.

What are the odds for Derby vs Norwich?

Odds: Derby 3.35, draw 3.70, Norwich 2.13.

When is the Derby vs Norwich kick-off?

Derby vs Norwich kicks off on Tue, 3 Nov 2026 at 21:45 (GMT+2) at Pride Park Stadium.

What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Norwich?

50 meetings: Derby 15 wins, 15 draws, Norwich 20 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.

Other EFL Championship matches on 3 Nov

All EFL Championship fixtures

Derby vs Norwich prediction & odds

Derby

Norwich

Match information

Match information

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

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