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Pasaia vs Derio prediction & odds

Pasaia

17:30

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 17:30

Derio

Odds 1X2

1Pasaia3.07XDraw3.202Derio2.27

PasaiavsDerio

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Tercera Rfef - Group 4
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 17:30 EET

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Pasaia30%3.07

Draw29%3.20

Derio41%2.27

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 7.9%

Pasaia3.0730%Draw3.2029%Derio2.2741%

Total goals 2.5margin 6.4%

Over 2.51.9947%Under 2.51.7853%

Asian handicapmargin 6.4%

Pasaia +0.251.8451%Derio -0.251.9249%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

1Pasaia wins

0Draws

1Derio wins

Last matches: Pasaia

24.10.26TerceraDurangoPasaia20L
17.10.26TerceraPasaiaBeasain14L
11.10.26TerceraUD AretxabaletaPasaia42L
03.10.26TerceraPasaiaSanturtzi10W
27.09.26TerceraSan IgnacioPasaia12W

Last matches: Derio

24.10.26TerceraDerioLagun Onak21W
17.10.26TerceraTouring KEDerio20L
10.10.26TerceraDurangoDerio11D
04.10.26TerceraDerioBeasain20W
26.09.26TerceraUD AretxabaletaDerio12W

Head-to-head matches

14.02.26TerceraPasaiaDerio04L
05.10.25TerceraDerioPasaia01W

2.50Avg goals0%Both scored50%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Pasaia vs Derio: head-to-head record

2 meetings since 2025: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

1Pasaia wins

0Draws

1Derio wins

1:4Goals (Pasaia : Derio)

2.50Goals per match

0%BTTS

50%Over 1.5

50%Over 2.5

50%Over 3.5

Pasaia at home: 0-0-10:4 goals in 1 games
Derio at home: 0-0-10:1 goals in 1 games
Pasaia's biggest win: 0–1Derio 0–1 Pasaia, 5 Oct 2025
Derio's biggest win: 0–4Pasaia 0–4 Derio, 14 Feb 2026

Meetings (2 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
14 Feb 2026	Tercera	Pasaia	0–4	Derio
5 Oct 2025	Tercera	Derio	0–1	Pasaia

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Pasaia2W 0D 3L · goals 6–11

L24.10TerceraADurango0–2
L17.10TerceraHBeasain1–4
L11.10TerceraAUD Aretxabaleta2–4
W03.10TerceraHSanturtzi1–0
W27.09TerceraASan Ignacio2–1

Derio3W 1D 1L · goals 7–5

W24.10TerceraHLagun Onak2–1
L17.10TerceraATouring KE0–2
D10.10TerceraADurango1–1
W04.10TerceraHBeasain2–0
W26.09TerceraAUD Aretxabaleta2–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

PasaiaDerio

1.0Goals scored per game1.4

2.0Goals conceded per game1.2

50%Both teams scored60%

50%Over 2.5 goals30%

1Clean sheets3

40%Failed to score20%

2-0-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-3-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Tercera: Group 4

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Aurrera de Vitoria	8	-1	16	LWLWW
3	Derio	8	+4	15	WLDWW
4	San Ignacio	8	+8	14	WWWWL
12	Sodupe	8	-6	11	LWWLL
13	Pasaia	8	-6	10	LLLWW
14	Santurtzi	8	-4	9	WLWLL

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About this match

Pasaia vs Derio preview

Tercera Rfef - Group 4 fixture: Pasaia welcome Derio on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 (17:30 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

PasaiaLLLWW6 scored · 11 conceded

DerioWLDWW7 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

PasaiaDerio

1.0Goals scored per game1.4

2.0Goals conceded per game1.2

50%Both teams scored60%

50%Over 2.5 goals30%

1Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

1Pasaia wins

0Draws

1Derio wins

2 meetings · 2.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 0%

What's at stake

Pasaia13th10 pts · 8 played

Derio3rd15 pts · 8 played

Derio lead by 5 pts

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Derio the favourite at 2.27 (41% implied), with the draw at 3.20 (29%).

Pasaia come into the game with LLLWW in their last 5 (6 scored, 11 conceded), while Derio have WLDWW (7 scored, 5 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 50% of Pasaia's recent games and 30% of Derio's, with both teams scoring in 50% and 60%.

Per game, Pasaia average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Derio 1.4 and 1.2 (clean sheets: 3).

Head-to-head over 2 previous meetings: Pasaia 1 wins, Derio 1 wins, draws 0.

Those 2 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

The last meeting (2026-02-14) ended Pasaia 0–4 Derio.

In the table, Pasaia are 13th (10 pts from 8 games) and Derio are 3rd (15 pts from 8).

Nito explains: Pasaia vs Derio

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Pasaia vs Derio mean?

The best prices are 3.07 for a Pasaia win, 3.20 for a draw and 2.27 for a Derio win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.07 returns 30.70 if Pasaia win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 7.9% removed) that is 30% Pasaia, 29% draw and 41% Derio.

How often do Pasaia and Derio matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Pasaia's last 10 matches and 60% of Derio's last 10. In their 2 recorded meetings it was 0%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Pasaia reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Derio in 30% of their last 10. Their 2 meetings averaged 2.5 goals (50% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLLWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Pasaia, last 5: 2 W · 0 D · 3 L (6 scored, 11 conceded). Derio, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (7 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do Pasaia and Derio stand in the table?

Pasaia are 13th with 10 points from 8 games. Derio are 3rd with 15 points from 8 games. The gap between them is 5 points.

Pasaia vs Derio: questions & answers

Who will win Pasaia vs Derio?

Bookmaker odds imply Pasaia 30%, draw 29%, Derio 41%.

Will both teams score in Pasaia vs Derio?

Both teams scored in 0% of their 2 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Pasaia's matches and 60% of Derio's.

What are the odds for Pasaia vs Derio?

Odds: Pasaia 3.07, draw 3.20, Derio 2.27.

When is the Pasaia vs Derio kick-off?

Pasaia vs Derio kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:30 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Pasaia and Derio?

2 meetings: Pasaia 1 wins, 0 draws, Derio 1 wins. Those 2 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Other Tercera Rfef - Group 4 matches on 31 Oct

All Tercera Rfef - Group 4 fixtures

Pasaia vs Derio prediction & odds

Pasaia

Derio

Match information

Match information

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

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