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Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City prediction & odds

Mamelodi Sundowns

20:15
Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 20:15

Durban City

Odds 1X2
1Mamelodi Sundowns1.30Nito’s pickXDraw5.002Durban City10.50
Mamelodi SundownsvsDurban CityNito’s pick1.30

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Mamelodi
1.30

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 80% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Premiership
Kick-off

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Mamelodi80%Confidence1.30Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.30 means bookmakers give it 77%; Nito's confidence is 80% (+3 pts)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns won 3 of their last 5 (goals 8–2); Durban City won 2 (goals 8–6)
  • In the table Mamelodi Sundowns are 1st with 23 pts, Durban City 10th with 7 pts
  • In 2 meetings Mamelodi Sundowns won 2, Durban City won 0, 0 were drawn

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 80% is not 100%.

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Mamelodi Sundowns72%1.30
Draw19%5.00
Durban City9%10.50

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 6.4%
Mamelodi Sundowns1.3072%Draw5.0019%Durban City10.509%
Total goals 2.5margin 5.3%
Over 2.51.9549%Under 2.51.8551%
Asian handicapmargin 4.7%
Mamelodi Sundowns -1.51.9449%Durban City +1.51.8851%
More markets (1)
1st-half resultmargin 8.6%
Mamelodi Sundowns1.7553%Draw2.4538%Durban City9.3610%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Comments

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About this match

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 20:15, Mamelodi Sundowns take on Durban City in the Premiership.