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Ertis Pavlodar vs Ordabasy prediction & odds

Ertis Pavlodar

12:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 12:00

Ordabasy

Odds 1X2

1Ertis Pavlodar3.85XDraw3.552Ordabasy1.81Nito’s pick

Ortalyq stadıon

Ertis PavlodarvsOrdabasy

Nito’s pick1.79

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Ordabasy

1.79

62%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Premier League
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 12:00 EET
Stadium: Ortalyq stadıon
Capacity: 15,000
City: Pavlodar

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Ordabasy62%Confidence1.79Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.79 means bookmakers give it 56%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+6 pts)
Ordabasy won 4 of their last 5 (goals 12–3); Ertis Pavlodar won 2 (goals 5–11)
In the table Ordabasy are 1st with 68 pts, Ertis Pavlodar 12th with 29 pts
In 46 meetings Ordabasy won 21, Ertis Pavlodar won 18, 7 were drawn

Best price 1.79 means bookmakers give it 56%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+6 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Ertis Pavlodar24%3.75

Draw26%3.55

Ordabasy50%1.81

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 9.4%

Ertis Pavlodar3.8524%Draw3.5526%Ordabasy1.8151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

18Ertis Pavlodar wins

7Draws

21Ordabasy wins

Last matches: Ertis Pavlodar

25.10.26Premier LeagueAtyrauErtis Pavlodar23W
18.10.26Premier LeagueKairat AlmatyErtis Pavlodar50L
14.10.26Premier LeagueErtis PavlodarFC Astana01L
10.10.26Premier LeagueErtis PavlodarKyzylzhar02L
18.09.26Premier LeagueAltaiErtis Pavlodar12W

Last matches: Ordabasy

24.10.26Premier LeagueOrdabasyZhenis11D
17.10.26Premier LeagueAktobeOrdabasy13W
11.10.26Premier LeagueKaisar KyzylordaOrdabasy14W
17.09.26Premier LeagueAtyrauOrdabasy03W
12.09.26Premier LeagueOrdabasyFC Astana10W

Head-to-head matches

07.03.26Premier LeagueOrdabasyErtis Pavlodar22D
26.10.19Premier LeagueOrdabasyErtis Pavlodar20L
28.07.19Premier LeagueOrdabasyErtis Pavlodar10L
11.05.19Premier LeagueErtis PavlodarOrdabasy02L
22.09.18Premier LeagueOrdabasyErtis Pavlodar02W
15.07.18Premier LeagueErtis PavlodarOrdabasy12L

2.26Avg goals35%Both scored41%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Ertis Pavlodar vs Ordabasy: head-to-head record

46 meetings since 2003: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

18Ertis Pavlodar wins

7Draws

21Ordabasy wins

54:50Goals (Ertis Pavlodar : Ordabasy)

2.26Goals per match

35%BTTS

72%Over 1.5

41%Over 2.5

13%Over 3.5

Ertis Pavlodar at home: 13-2-633:12 goals in 21 games
Ordabasy at home: 15-5-538:21 goals in 25 games
Ertis Pavlodar's biggest win: 4–0Ertis Pavlodar 4–0 Ordabasy, 14 Sept 2008
Ordabasy's biggest win: 3–0Ordabasy 3–0 Ertis Pavlodar, 21 May 2011

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
7 Mar 2026	Premier League	Ordabasy	2–2	Ertis Pavlodar
26 Oct 2019	Premier League	Ordabasy	2–0	Ertis Pavlodar
28 Jul 2019	Premier League	Ordabasy	1–0	Ertis Pavlodar
11 May 2019	Premier League	Ertis Pavlodar	0–2	Ordabasy
22 Sept 2018	Premier League	Ordabasy	0–2	Ertis Pavlodar
15 Jul 2018	Premier League	Ertis Pavlodar	1–2	Ordabasy
5 May 2018	Premier League	Ordabasy	1–0	Ertis Pavlodar
24 Sept 2017	Premier League	Ordabasy	1–2	Ertis Pavlodar
31 May 2017	Premier League	Ordabasy	0–1	Ertis Pavlodar
2 May 2017	Premier League	Ertis Pavlodar	0–1	Ordabasy
16 Oct 2016	Premier League	Ordabasy	3–3	Ertis Pavlodar
11 Sept 2016	Premier League	Ertis Pavlodar	1–2	Ordabasy
11 Jun 2016	Premier League	Ordabasy	2–0	Ertis Pavlodar
13 Apr 2016	Premier League	Ertis Pavlodar	2–0	Ordabasy
25 Oct 2015	Premier League	Ertis Pavlodar	1–2	Ordabasy
20 Sept 2015	Premier League	Ordabasy	1–1	Ertis Pavlodar
26 Jul 2015	Premier League	Ertis Pavlodar	2–0	Ordabasy
7 Mar 2015	Premier League	Ordabasy	1–1	Ertis Pavlodar
1 Jun 2014	Premier League	Ordabasy	2–1	Ertis Pavlodar
9 Apr 2014	Premier League	Ertis Pavlodar	2–0	Ordabasy

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Ertis Pavlodar2W 0D 3L · goals 5–11

W25.10Premier LeagueAAtyrau3–2
L18.10Premier LeagueAKairat Almaty0–5
L14.10Premier LeagueHFC Astana0–1
L10.10Premier LeagueHKyzylzhar0–2
W18.09Premier LeagueAAltai2–1

Ordabasy4W 1D 0L · goals 12–3

D24.10Premier LeagueHZhenis1–1
W17.10Premier LeagueAAktobe3–1
W11.10Premier LeagueAKaisar Kyzylorda4–1
W17.09Premier LeagueAAtyrau3–0
W12.09Premier LeagueHFC Astana1–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Ertis PavlodarOrdabasy

1.0Goals scored per game2.5

1.9Goals conceded per game0.7

50%Both teams scored60%

60%Over 2.5 goals80%

0Clean sheets4

50%Failed to score0%

2-0-3Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)5-0-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Premier League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Ordabasy	29	+38	68	DWWWW
2	Kairat Almaty	29	+37	64	DWWLL
11	Kyzylzhar	29	-12	30	WLWDL
12	Ertis Pavlodar	29	-15	29	WLLLW
13	Altai	29	-11	27	DDLLW

Comments

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About this match

Ertis Pavlodar vs Ordabasy preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 12:00, Ertis Pavlodar take on Ordabasy in the Premier League.

Form · last 5 matches

Ertis PavlodarWLLLW5 scored · 11 conceded

OrdabasyDWWWW12 scored · 3 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Ertis PavlodarOrdabasy

1.0Goals scored per game2.5

1.9Goals conceded per game0.7

50%Both teams scored60%

60%Over 2.5 goals80%

0Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

18Ertis Pavlodar wins

7Draws

21Ordabasy wins

46 meetings · 2.3 goals per game · both teams scored in 35%

What's at stake

Ertis Pavlodar12th29 pts · 29 played

Ordabasy1st68 pts · 29 played

Ordabasy lead by 39 pts

Our pick

Ordabasy to winOrdabasy62%Confidence1.79Price

Read the full match preview

Ortalyq stadıon hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Ordabasy the favourite at 1.81 (50% implied), with the draw at 3.55 (26%).

Our strongest pick is Ordabasy to win with 62% confidence at a best price of 1.79.

Ertis Pavlodar come into the game with WLLLW in their last 5 (5 scored, 11 conceded), while Ordabasy have DWWWW (12 scored, 3 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 60% of Ertis Pavlodar's recent games and 80% of Ordabasy's, with both teams scoring in 50% and 60%.

Per game, Ertis Pavlodar average 1.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (clean sheets: 0), Ordabasy 2.5 and 0.7 (clean sheets: 4).

Head-to-head over 46 previous meetings: Ertis Pavlodar 18 wins, Ordabasy 21 wins, draws 7.

Those 46 games averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 35% of them.

The last meeting (2026-03-07) ended Ordabasy 2–2 Ertis Pavlodar.

In the table, Ertis Pavlodar are 12th (29 pts from 29 games) and Ordabasy are 1st (68 pts from 29).

Nito explains: Ertis Pavlodar vs Ordabasy

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Ertis Pavlodar vs Ordabasy mean?

The best prices are 3.75 for a Ertis Pavlodar win, 3.55 for a draw and 1.81 for a Ordabasy win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.75 returns 37.50 if Ertis Pavlodar win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 10.1% removed) that is 24% Ertis Pavlodar, 26% draw and 50% Ordabasy.

What does Nito's pick "Ordabasy to win" mean?

It wins only if Ordabasy win; a draw or a Ertis Pavlodar win loses. At 1.79, the price implies a 56% chance; Nito's data rates it at 62%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Ertis Pavlodar and Ordabasy matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Ertis Pavlodar's last 10 matches and 60% of Ordabasy's last 10. In their 46 recorded meetings it was 35%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Ertis Pavlodar reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Ordabasy in 80% of their last 10. Their 46 meetings averaged 2.3 goals (41% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WLLLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Ertis Pavlodar, last 5: 2 W · 0 D · 3 L (5 scored, 11 conceded). Ordabasy, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (12 scored, 3 conceded).

Where do Ertis Pavlodar and Ordabasy stand in the table?

Ertis Pavlodar are 12th with 29 points from 29 games. Ordabasy are 1st with 68 points from 29 games. The gap between them is 39 points.

Ertis Pavlodar vs Ordabasy: questions & answers

Who will win Ertis Pavlodar vs Ordabasy?

Our pick is Ordabasy to win with 62% confidence (best price 1.79). Bookmaker odds imply Ertis Pavlodar 24%, draw 26%, Ordabasy 50%.

Will both teams score in Ertis Pavlodar vs Ordabasy?

Both teams scored in 35% of their 46 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Ertis Pavlodar's matches and 60% of Ordabasy's.

What are the odds for Ertis Pavlodar vs Ordabasy?

Odds: Ertis Pavlodar 3.75, draw 3.55, Ordabasy 1.81. Our pick Ordabasy to win is available at 1.79.

When is the Ertis Pavlodar vs Ordabasy kick-off?

Ertis Pavlodar vs Ordabasy kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 12:00 (GMT+2) at Ortalyq stadıon.

What is the head-to-head record between Ertis Pavlodar and Ordabasy?

46 meetings: Ertis Pavlodar 18 wins, 7 draws, Ordabasy 21 wins. Those 46 games averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 35% of them.

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Ertis Pavlodar vs Ordabasy prediction & odds

Ertis Pavlodar

Ordabasy

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds