Home / Spain: LaLiga / Villarreal vs Espanyol
LaLigaUpcoming

Villarreal vs Espanyol prediction & odds

Villarreal

22:00
Kick-off Fri 30 Oct, 22:00

Espanyol

Odds 1X2
1Villarreal1.42Nito’s pickXDraw5.402Espanyol7.00
VillarrealvsEspanyolNito’s pick1.37

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Villarreal
1.37

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
LaLiga
Kick-off

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Villarreal70%Confidence1.37Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.37 means bookmakers give it 73%; Nito's confidence is 70% (-3 pts)
  • Villarreal won 3 of their last 5 (goals 13–6); Espanyol won 0 (goals 6–11)
  • In the table Villarreal are 10th with 12 pts, Espanyol 18th with 8 pts
  • In 50 meetings Villarreal won 21, Espanyol won 8, 21 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Villarreal68%1.42
Draw18%5.40
Espanyol14%7.00

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.2%
Villarreal1.4268%Draw5.4018%Espanyol7.0014%
Double chance
Villarreal or Draw1.08Villarreal or Espanyol1.14Draw or Espanyol2.73
1st-half resultmargin 14.9%
Villarreal1.9146%Draw2.4136%Espanyol4.7618%
More markets (1)
Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%
Villarreal1.9649%Espanyol1.9251%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Comments

What do you think about this match and Nito's pick? Be kind — no links, no advertising.

About this match

Villarreal vs Espanyol preview

LaLiga fixture: Villarreal welcome Espanyol on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 (22:00 kick-off).