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Villarreal vs Espanyol prediction & odds

Villarreal

22:00

Kick-off Fri 30 Oct, 22:00

Espanyol

Odds 1X2

1Villarreal1.43Nito’s pickXDraw5.292Espanyol7.01

VillarrealvsEspanyol

Nito’s pick1.43

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Villarreal

1.43

70%Confidence

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: LaLiga
Kick-off: Fri 30 Oct 22:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Villarreal70%Confidence1.43Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.43 means bookmakers give it 70%; Nito's confidence is 70% (0 pts)
Villarreal won 3 of their last 5 (goals 13–6); Espanyol won 0 (goals 6–11)
In the table Villarreal are 10th with 12 pts, Espanyol 18th with 8 pts
In 50 meetings Villarreal won 21, Espanyol won 8, 21 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Villarreal68%1.43

Draw18%5.29

Espanyol14%7.01

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.1%

Villarreal1.4368%Draw5.2918%Espanyol7.0114%

Double chance

Villarreal or Draw1.08Villarreal or Espanyol1.14Draw or Espanyol2.73

Total goals 2.5margin 4.7%

Over 2.51.4865%Under 2.52.6935%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 2.5%

Villarreal -1.251.8852%Espanyol +1.252.0348%

1st-half resultmargin 2.5%

Villarreal1.9151%Draw2.8534%Espanyol6.6215%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Villarreal1.9649%Espanyol1.9251%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

21Villarreal wins

21Draws

8Espanyol wins

Last matches: Villarreal

27.10.26Spanish CupManacorVillarreal05W
24.10.26La LigaValenciaVillarreal12W
20.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueLiverpoolVillarreal43L
17.10.26La LigaVillarrealElche00D
13.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueVillarrealNapoli31W

Last matches: Espanyol

27.10.26Spanish CupSestaoEspanyol43L

Villarreal vs Espanyol: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 1998: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

21Villarreal wins

21Draws

8Espanyol wins

73:46Goals (Villarreal : Espanyol)

2.38Goals per match

50%BTTS

66%Over 1.5

50%Over 2.5

32%Over 3.5

Villarreal at home: 13-9-348:20 goals in 25 games
Espanyol at home: 5-12-826:25 goals in 25 games
Villarreal's biggest win: 5–1Villarreal 5–1 Espanyol, 27 Feb 2022
Espanyol's biggest win: 0–3Villarreal 0–3 Espanyol, 9 Apr 2015

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
9 Feb 2026	La Liga	Villarreal	4–1	Espanyol
8 Nov 2025	La Liga	Espanyol	0–2

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Villarreal3W 1D 1L · goals 13–6

W27.10Spanish CupAManacor5–0
W24.10La LigaAValencia2–1
L20.10UEFA Champions LeagueALiverpool3–4
D17.10La LigaHElche0–0
W13.10UEFA Champions LeagueHNapoli3–1

Espanyol0W 1D 4L · goals 6–11

L27.10Spanish CupASestao3–4
L24.10La LigaARacing Santander1–2
L17.10La LigaHAtl. Madrid0–1
D09.10La LigaAMalaga1–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

VillarrealEspanyol

2.2Goals scored per game1.2

1.4Goals conceded per game1.8

70%Both teams scored80%

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

2Clean sheets1

20%Failed to score10%

2-1-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-4

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

VillarrealEspanyol

La Liga 2025/2026 · 38 gamesLa Liga 2026/2027 · 7 games

1.9Goals scored1.4

1.2Goals conceded1.4

4.2Corners2.1

12.0Shots13.6

44%Possession49%

2.1Yellow cards2.9

21%Clean sheets29%

16%Failed to score0%

15-1-3Home / away record (W-D-L)1-0-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera División

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
9	Celta Vigo	10	+3	12	DWDWD
10	Villarreal	10	+1	12	WDLWW
11	Dep. A Coruna	10	0	11	LDLDL
17	Getafe	10	-10	9	LDLWL
18	Espanyol	10	-2	8	LLDLL
19	Valencia	10	-10

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Villarreal

✕I. AkhomachMuscle Injury
✕P. GueyeRed Card
✕N. SalibaInjury

Espanyol

✕K. GarciaHamstring Injury
✕JofreGroin Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

About this match

Villarreal vs Espanyol preview

LaLiga fixture: Villarreal welcome Espanyol on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 (22:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

VillarrealWWLDW13 scored · 6 conceded

EspanyolLLLDL6 scored · 11 conceded

Key facts · last 5

VillarrealEspanyol

2.2Goals scored per game1.2

1.4Goals conceded per game1.8

70%Both teams scored80%

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

2Clean sheets1

Head-to-head in numbers

21Villarreal wins

21Draws

8Espanyol wins

50 meetings · 2.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

What's at stake

Villarreal10th12 pts · 10 played

Nito explains: Villarreal vs Espanyol

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Villarreal vs Espanyol mean?

The best prices are 1.43 for a Villarreal win, 5.29 for a draw and 7.01 for a Espanyol win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.43 returns 14.30 if Villarreal win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.1% removed) that is 68% Villarreal, 18% draw and 14% Espanyol.

What does Nito's pick "Villarreal to win" mean?

It wins only if Villarreal win; a draw or a Espanyol win loses. At 1.43, the price implies a 70% chance; Nito's data rates it at 70%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Villarreal and Espanyol matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Villarreal's last 10 matches and 80% of Espanyol's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Villarreal reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Espanyol in 60% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.4 goals (50% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWLDW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Villarreal, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (13 scored, 6 conceded). Espanyol, last 5: 0 W · 1 D · 4 L (6 scored, 11 conceded).

Where do Villarreal and Espanyol stand in the table?

Villarreal are 10th with 12 points from 10 games. Espanyol are 18th with 8 points from 10 games. The gap between them is 4 points.

Villarreal vs Espanyol: questions & answers

Who will win Villarreal vs Espanyol?

Our pick is Villarreal to win with 70% confidence (best price 1.43). Bookmaker odds imply Villarreal 68%, draw 18%, Espanyol 14%.

Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Espanyol?

Both teams scored in 50% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Villarreal's matches and 80% of Espanyol's.

What are the odds for Villarreal vs Espanyol?

Odds: Villarreal 1.43, draw 5.29, Espanyol 7.01. Our pick Villarreal to win is available at 1.43.

When is the Villarreal vs Espanyol kick-off?

Villarreal vs Espanyol kicks off on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 at 22:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Villarreal and Espanyol?

50 meetings: Villarreal 21 wins, 21 draws, Espanyol 8 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Villarreal vs Espanyol prediction & odds

Villarreal

Espanyol

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds