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Flamengo vs Grêmio prediction & odds

Flamengo

23:00

Kick-off Wed 4 Nov, 23:00

Grêmio

Odds 1X2

1Flamengo1.21XDraw7.302Grêmio13.00

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã)

FlamengovsGrêmio

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Brasileirão
Kick-off: Wed 4 Nov 23:00 EET
Stadium: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã)
Capacity: 78,838
City: Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

No pick for this match yet. We only publish a market when our confidence is at least 60%.

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Flamengo79%1.21

Draw13%7.30

Grêmio7%13.00

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.0%

Flamengo1.2179%Draw7.3013%Grêmio13.007%

1st-half resultmargin 5.7%

Flamengo1.5561%Draw3.1730%Grêmio10.409%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

23Flamengo wins

11Draws

16Grêmio wins

Last matches: Flamengo

Primeira LigaFlamengoAmérica Mineiro10W
Primeira LigaCearáFlamengo00D
Primeira LigaFlamengoGrêmio20W
29.10.26BrasileirãoVascoFlamengo14W
26.10.26BrasileirãoFlamengoAtlético Mineiro32W

Last matches: Grêmio

Primeira LigaGrêmioCeará11D
Primeira LigaGrêmioAmérica Mineiro10W
Primeira LigaFlamengoGrêmio20L
30.10.26BrasileirãoGrêmioAthletico-PR20W
26.10.26BrasileirãoCoritibaGrêmio01W

Head-to-head matches

10.05.26BrasileirãoGrêmioFlamengo01W
31.08.25Serie AFlamengoGrêmio11D
13.04.25Serie AGrêmioFlamengo02W
22.09.24Serie AGrêmioFlamengo32L
13.06.24Serie AFlamengoGrêmio21W
26.10.23Serie AGrêmioFlamengo32L

2.42Avg goals42%Both scored38%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Flamengo vs Grêmio: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 2003: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

23Flamengo wins

11Draws

16Grêmio wins

69:52Goals (Flamengo : Grêmio)

2.42Goals per match

42%BTTS

72%Over 1.5

38%Over 2.5

20%Over 3.5

Flamengo at home: 17-4-440:14 goals in 25 games
Grêmio at home: 12-7-638:29 goals in 25 games
Flamengo's biggest win: 5–0Flamengo 5–0 Grêmio, 24 Oct 2019
Grêmio's biggest win: 4–1Grêmio 4–1 Flamengo, 16 Aug 2009

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Brasileirão	Grêmio	0–1	Flamengo
31 Aug 2025	Serie A	Flamengo	1–1	Grêmio
13 Apr 2025	Serie A	Grêmio	0–2	Flamengo
22 Sept 2024	Serie A	Grêmio	3–2	Flamengo
13 Jun 2024	Serie A	Flamengo	2–1	Grêmio
26 Oct 2023	Serie A	Grêmio	3–2	Flamengo
17 Aug 2023	Cup	Flamengo	1–0	Grêmio
27 Jul 2023	Cup	Grêmio	0–2	Flamengo
11 Jun 2023	Serie A	Flamengo	3–0	Grêmio
24 Nov 2021	Serie A	Grêmio	2–2	Flamengo
19 Sept 2021	Serie A	Flamengo	0–1	Grêmio
16 Sept 2021	Cup	Flamengo	2–0	Grêmio
26 Aug 2021	Cup	Grêmio	0–4	Flamengo
28 Jan 2021	Serie A	Grêmio	2–4	Flamengo
19 Aug 2020	Serie A	Flamengo	1–1	Grêmio
17 Nov 2019	Serie A	Grêmio	0–1	Flamengo
24 Oct 2019	Libertadores	Flamengo	5–0	Grêmio
3 Oct 2019	Libertadores	Grêmio	1–1	Flamengo
10 Aug 2019	Serie A	Flamengo	3–1	Grêmio
21 Nov 2018	Serie A	Flamengo	2–0	Grêmio

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Flamengo4W 1D 0L · goals 10–3

W01.01Primeira LigaHAmérica Mineiro1–0
D01.01Primeira LigaACeará0–0
W01.01Primeira LigaHGrêmio2–0
W29.10BrasileirãoAVasco4–1
W26.10BrasileirãoHAtlético Mineiro3–2

Grêmio3W 1D 1L · goals 5–3

D01.01Primeira LigaHCeará1–1
W01.01Primeira LigaHAmérica Mineiro1–0
L01.01Primeira LigaAFlamengo0–2
W30.10BrasileirãoHAthletico-PR2–0
W26.10BrasileirãoACoritiba1–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

FlamengoGrêmio

1.6Goals scored per game1.1

0.6Goals conceded per game1.2

30%Both teams scored50%

40%Over 2.5 goals20%

6Clean sheets4

30%Failed to score20%

4-0-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

FlamengoGrêmio

Serie A 2025 · 36 gamesSerie A 2025 · 37 games

1.9Goals scored1.2

0.7Goals conceded1.3

6.1Corners3.9

15.4Shots12.2

61%Possession45%

2.1Yellow cards2.8

47%Clean sheets19%

17%Failed to score30%

13-5-0Home / away record (W-D-L)4-5-10

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Serie A

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Flamengo RJ	33	+40	73	WWWWD
2	Palmeiras	33	+34	70	DWWWW
16	Internacional	33	-5	35	LWLDW
17	Gremio	32	-9	34	WLDDD
18	Corinthians	32	-8	33	LDLLL

Comments

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About this match

Flamengo vs Grêmio preview

Flamengo host Grêmio in the Brasileirão on Wed, 4 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 23:00.

Form · last 5 matches

FlamengoWDWWW10 scored · 3 conceded

GrêmioDWLWW5 scored · 3 conceded

Key facts · last 5

FlamengoGrêmio

1.6Goals scored per game1.1

0.6Goals conceded per game1.2

30%Both teams scored50%

40%Over 2.5 goals20%

6Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

23Flamengo wins

11Draws

16Grêmio wins

50 meetings · 2.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 42%

What's at stake

Flamengo1st73 pts · 33 played

Grêmio17th34 pts · 32 played

Flamengo lead by 39 pts

Read the full match preview

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Flamengo the favourite at 1.21 (79% implied), with the draw at 7.30 (13%).

Flamengo come into the game with WDWWW in their last 5 (10 scored, 3 conceded), while Grêmio have DWLWW (5 scored, 3 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 40% of Flamengo's recent games and 20% of Grêmio's, with both teams scoring in 30% and 50%.

Per game, Flamengo average 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded (clean sheets: 6), Grêmio 1.1 and 1.2 (clean sheets: 4).

Head-to-head over 50 previous meetings: Flamengo 23 wins, Grêmio 16 wins, draws 11.

Those 50 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 42% of them.

The last meeting (2026-05-10) ended Grêmio 0–1 Flamengo.

In the table, Flamengo are 1st (73 pts from 33 games) and Grêmio are 17th (34 pts from 32).

Nito explains: Flamengo vs Grêmio

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Flamengo vs Grêmio mean?

The best prices are 1.21 for a Flamengo win, 7.30 for a draw and 13.00 for a Grêmio win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.21 returns 12.10 if Flamengo win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.0% removed) that is 79% Flamengo, 13% draw and 7% Grêmio.

How often do Flamengo and Grêmio matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 30% of Flamengo's last 10 matches and 50% of Grêmio's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 42%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Flamengo reached that in 40% of their last 10 matches, Grêmio in 20% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.4 goals (38% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WDWWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Flamengo, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (10 scored, 3 conceded). Grêmio, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (5 scored, 3 conceded).

Where do Flamengo and Grêmio stand in the table?

Flamengo are 1st with 73 points from 33 games. Grêmio are 17th with 34 points from 32 games. The gap between them is 39 points.

Flamengo vs Grêmio: questions & answers

Who will win Flamengo vs Grêmio?

Bookmaker odds imply Flamengo 79%, draw 13%, Grêmio 7%.

Will both teams score in Flamengo vs Grêmio?

Both teams scored in 42% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 30% of Flamengo's matches and 50% of Grêmio's.

What are the odds for Flamengo vs Grêmio?

Odds: Flamengo 1.21, draw 7.30, Grêmio 13.00.

When is the Flamengo vs Grêmio kick-off?

Flamengo vs Grêmio kicks off on Wed, 4 Nov 2026 at 23:00 (GMT+2) at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã).

What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Grêmio?

50 meetings: Flamengo 23 wins, 11 draws, Grêmio 16 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 42% of them.

Other Brasileirão matches on 4 Nov

All Brasileirão fixtures

Flamengo vs Grêmio prediction & odds

Flamengo

Grêmio

Match information

Match information

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds