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Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes prediction & odds

Gil Vicente

22:15

Kick-off Mon 2 Nov, 22:15

Vitoria Guimaraes

Odds 1X2

1Gil Vicente2.90XDraw3.252Vitoria Guimaraes2.69

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil VicentevsVitoria Guimaraes

Nito’s pick1.67

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

1.67

68%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 68% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Primeira Liga
Kick-off: Mon 2 Nov 22:15 EET
Stadium: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Capacity: 12,046

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.568%Confidence1.67Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.67 means bookmakers give it 60%; Nito's confidence is 68% (+8 pts)
3+ goals in 40% of Gil Vicente's last 5 and 30% of Vitoria Guimaraes's
Goals per game in the last 5: Gil Vicente matches 2.4, Vitoria Guimaraes matches 2.1
Their 45 meetings average 2.7 goals; both teams scored in 58%

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 68% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreNo

Confidence62%

Indicative price1.91

Both teams to score: No: our confidence is 62%, 10 points above the 52% the best price of 1.91 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence

Confidence68%

Indicative price1.67

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 68%, 8 points above the 60% the best price of 1.67 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Gil Vicente34%2.90

Draw30%3.25

Vitoria Guimaraes36%2.69

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.4%

Gil Vicente2.9034%Draw3.2530%Vitoria Guimaraes2.6936%

Double chance

Gil Vicente or Draw1.48Gil Vicente or Vitoria Guimaraes1.30Draw or Vitoria Guimaraes1.35

1st-half resultmargin 17.2%

Gil Vicente3.2826%Draw1.9145%Vitoria Guimaraes2.9129%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.7%

Gil Vicente1.9649%Vitoria Guimaraes1.9051%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

13Gil Vicente wins

12Draws

20Vitoria Guimaraes wins

Last matches: Gil Vicente

29.10.26League CupBenficaGil Vicente41L
24.10.26Primeira LigaGil VicenteFC Porto01L
19.10.26Primeira LigaBragaGil Vicente12W
14.10.26Taça de PortugalSantaremGil Vicente23W
09.10.26Primeira LigaMoreirenseGil Vicente01W

Last matches: Vitoria Guimaraes

23.10.26Primeira LigaVitoria GuimaraesMaritimo50W
17.10.26Taça de PortugalVitoria Guimaraes01W
11.10.26Primeira LigaBenficaVitoria Guimaraes20L
20.09.26Primeira LigaVitoria GuimaraesMoreirense11D
12.09.26Primeira LigaAcademico ViseuVitoria Guimaraes21L

Head-to-head matches

18.04.26Primeira LigaGil VicenteVitoria Guimaraes01L
08.12.25Primeira LigaVitoria GuimaraesGil Vicente00D
11.04.25Portuguese LigaGil VicenteVitoria Guimaraes01L
02.12.24Portuguese LigaVitoria GuimaraesGil Vicente40L
08.02.24CupVitoria GuimaraesGil Vicente31L
28.01.24Portuguese LigaGil VicenteVitoria Guimaraes10W

2.69Avg goals58%Both scored49%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes: head-to-head record

45 meetings since 1994: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

13Gil Vicente wins

12Draws

20Vitoria Guimaraes wins

52:69Goals (Gil Vicente : Vitoria Guimaraes)

2.69Goals per match

58%BTTS

76%Over 1.5

49%Over 2.5

36%Over 3.5

Gil Vicente at home: 9-7-630:26 goals in 22 games
Vitoria Guimaraes at home: 14-5-443:22 goals in 23 games
Gil Vicente's biggest win: 4–1Gil Vicente 4–1 Vitoria Guimaraes, 17 Feb 2001
Vitoria Guimaraes's biggest win: 5–0Vitoria Guimaraes 5–0 Gil Vicente, 15 May 2022

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
18 Apr 2026	Primeira Liga	Gil Vicente	0–1	Vitoria Guimaraes
8 Dec 2025	Primeira Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	0–0	Gil Vicente
11 Apr 2025	Portuguese Liga	Gil Vicente	0–1	Vitoria Guimaraes
2 Dec 2024	Portuguese Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	4–0	Gil Vicente
8 Feb 2024	Cup	Vitoria Guimaraes	3–1	Gil Vicente
28 Jan 2024	Portuguese Liga	Gil Vicente	1–0	Vitoria Guimaraes
19 Aug 2023	Portuguese Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	2–1	Gil Vicente
21 May 2023	Portuguese Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	1–0	Gil Vicente
16 Jan 2023	Portuguese Liga	Gil Vicente	2–1	Vitoria Guimaraes
15 May 2022	Portuguese Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	5–0	Gil Vicente
10 Jan 2022	Portuguese Liga	Gil Vicente	3–2	Vitoria Guimaraes
14 Mar 2021	Portuguese Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	2–4	Gil Vicente
1 Nov 2020	Portuguese Liga	Gil Vicente	1–2	Vitoria Guimaraes
10 Jul 2020	Portuguese Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	1–2	Gil Vicente
15 Dec 2019	Portuguese Liga	Gil Vicente	2–2	Vitoria Guimaraes
24 Jan 2015	Portuguese Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	2–2	Gil Vicente
16 Aug 2014	Portuguese Liga	Gil Vicente	1–3	Vitoria Guimaraes
22 Mar 2014	Portuguese Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	0–0	Gil Vicente
3 Nov 2013	Portuguese Liga	Gil Vicente	1–0	Vitoria Guimaraes
5 May 2013	Portuguese Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	3–1	Gil Vicente

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Gil Vicente3W 0D 2L · goals 7–8

L29.10League CupABenfica1–4
L24.10Primeira LigaHFC Porto0–1
W19.10Primeira LigaABraga2–1
W14.10Taça de PortugalASantarem3–2
W09.10Primeira LigaAMoreirense1–0

Vitoria Guimaraes2W 1D 2L · goals 8–5

W23.10Primeira LigaHMaritimo5–0
W17.10Taça de PortugalA1–0
L11.10Primeira LigaABenfica0–2
D20.09Primeira LigaHMoreirense1–1
L12.09Primeira LigaAAcademico Viseu1–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Gil VicenteVitoria Guimaraes

1.1Goals scored per game1.1

1.3Goals conceded per game1.0

50%Both teams scored30%

40%Over 2.5 goals30%

3Clean sheets4

30%Failed to score40%

1-1-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-0-4

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Gil VicenteVitoria Guimaraes

Primeira Liga 2026/2027 · 3 gamesPrimeira Liga 2026/2027 · 7 games

1.0Goals scored0.7

0.0Goals conceded1.1

3.7Corners5.7

9.3Shots19.1

54%Possession55%

2.3Yellow cards2.3

100%Clean sheets29%

33%Failed to score43%

2-0-0Home / away record (W-D-L)0-0-3

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primeira Liga

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	Academico Viseu	9	+2	17	WWWWW
7	Gil Vicente	9	+1	14	LWWDL
8	Alverca	9	0	11	LWWWL
12	Estrela	9	-3	10	LLLDW
13	Vitoria Guimaraes	9	0	8	WLDLD
14	Maritimo	9	-10	8	LLDLL

Comments

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About this match

Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes preview

On Mon, 2 Nov 2026 at 22:15, Gil Vicente take on Vitoria Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga.

Form · last 5 matches

Gil VicenteLLWWW7 scored · 8 conceded

Vitoria GuimaraesWWLDL8 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Gil VicenteVitoria Guimaraes

1.1Goals scored per game1.1

1.3Goals conceded per game1.0

50%Both teams scored30%

40%Over 2.5 goals30%

3Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

13Gil Vicente wins

12Draws

20Vitoria Guimaraes wins

45 meetings · 2.7 goals per game · both teams scored in 58%

What's at stake

Gil Vicente7th14 pts · 9 played

Vitoria Guimaraes13th8 pts · 9 played

Gil Vicente lead by 6 pts

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.568%Confidence1.67Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos hosts the match.

The market sees little between the sides: Gil Vicente 2.90 (34%), draw 3.25 (30%), Vitoria Guimaraes 2.69 (36%).

Our strongest pick is Under 2.5 goals with 68% confidence at a best price of 1.67.

We also have Both teams to score: No (62%, 1.91).

Gil Vicente come into the game with LLWWW in their last 5 (7 scored, 8 conceded), while Vitoria Guimaraes have WWLDL (8 scored, 5 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 40% of Gil Vicente's recent games and 30% of Vitoria Guimaraes's, with both teams scoring in 50% and 30%.

Per game, Gil Vicente average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Vitoria Guimaraes 1.1 and 1.0 (clean sheets: 4).

Head-to-head over 45 previous meetings: Gil Vicente 13 wins, Vitoria Guimaraes 20 wins, draws 12.

Those 45 games averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.

The last meeting (2026-04-18) ended Gil Vicente 0–1 Vitoria Guimaraes.

In the table, Gil Vicente are 7th (14 pts from 9 games) and Vitoria Guimaraes are 13th (8 pts from 9).

Nito explains: Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes mean?

The best prices are 2.90 for a Gil Vicente win, 3.25 for a draw and 2.69 for a Vitoria Guimaraes win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.90 returns 29.00 if Gil Vicente win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 2.4% removed) that is 34% Gil Vicente, 30% draw and 36% Vitoria Guimaraes.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.67, the price implies a 60% chance; Nito's data rates it at 68%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Gil Vicente and Vitoria Guimaraes matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Gil Vicente's last 10 matches and 30% of Vitoria Guimaraes's last 10. In their 45 recorded meetings it was 58%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Gil Vicente reached that in 40% of their last 10 matches, Vitoria Guimaraes in 30% of their last 10. Their 45 meetings averaged 2.7 goals (49% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLWWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Gil Vicente, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (7 scored, 8 conceded). Vitoria Guimaraes, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (8 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do Gil Vicente and Vitoria Guimaraes stand in the table?

Gil Vicente are 7th with 14 points from 9 games. Vitoria Guimaraes are 13th with 8 points from 9 games. The gap between them is 6 points.

Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes: questions & answers

Who will win Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes?

Bookmaker odds imply Gil Vicente 34%, draw 30%, Vitoria Guimaraes 36%.

Will both teams score in Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (62% confidence, 1.91). Both teams scored in 58% of their 45 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Gil Vicente's matches and 30% of Vitoria Guimaraes's.

What are the odds for Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes?

Odds: Gil Vicente 2.90, draw 3.25, Vitoria Guimaraes 2.69. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.67.

When is the Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick-off?

Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes kicks off on Mon, 2 Nov 2026 at 22:15 (GMT+2) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos.

What is the head-to-head record between Gil Vicente and Vitoria Guimaraes?

45 meetings: Gil Vicente 13 wins, 12 draws, Vitoria Guimaraes 20 wins. Those 45 games averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.

Other Primeira Liga matches on 2 Nov

22:15BenficaAlverca

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Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimaraes prediction & odds

Gil Vicente

Vitoria Guimaraes

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds