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Grazer AK vs Hartberg prediction & odds

Grazer AK

20:30

Kick-off Fri 30 Oct, 20:30

Hartberg

Odds 1X2

1Grazer AK2.63XDraw3.452Hartberg3.01

Grazer AKvsHartberg

Nito’s pick1.98

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5

1.98

62%Confidence

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Bundesliga
Kick-off: Fri 30 Oct 20:30 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Over 2.562%Confidence1.98Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.98 means bookmakers give it 51%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+11 pts)
3+ goals in 50% of Grazer AK's last 5 and 80% of Hartberg's
Goals per game in the last 5: Grazer AK matches 3.1, Hartberg matches 4.1
Their 10 meetings average 2.4 goals; both teams scored in 50%

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or Hartberg

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.68

Double chance: Draw or Hartberg: our confidence is 60% at a best price of 1.68.

Total goals 2.5Over 2.5

Confidence62%

Indicative price1.98

We rate Over 2.5 goals at 62% — the price of 1.98 implies only 51%.

Asian handicap -0.5Hartberg +0.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.54

Asian handicap: Hartberg +0.5: our confidence is 60% at a best price of 1.54.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Grazer AK38%2.63

Draw29%3.45

Hartberg33%3.01

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 0.2%

Grazer AK2.6338%Draw3.4529%Hartberg3.0133%

Double chance

Grazer AK or Draw1.26Grazer AK or Hartberg1.25Draw or Hartberg1.68

Total goals 2.5margin 2.9%

Over 2.51.9849%Under 2.51.9151%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 2.5%

Grazer AK 01.8852%Hartberg 02.0348%

1st-half resultmargin 3.5%

Grazer AK3.1930%Draw2.2743%Hartberg3.5627%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Grazer AK1.9549%Hartberg1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

2Grazer AK wins

5Draws

3Hartberg wins

Last matches: Grazer AK

27.10.26Austria CupGrazer AKAltach04L
24.10.26Austrian BundesligaTirolGrazer AK11D
18.10.26Austrian BundesligaSturm GrazGrazer AK61L
10.10.26Austrian BundesligaGrazer AKSalzburg00D
19.09.26Austrian BundesligaGrazer AKAustria Vienna22D

Last matches: Hartberg

27.10.26Austria CupAustria ViennaHartberg11D
24.10.26Austrian BundesligaHartbergWolfsberger AC10W
16.10.26Austrian BundesligaSK RapidHartberg31L
11.10.26Austrian BundesligaHartbergA. Lustenau43W
24.09.26Club FriendliesHartbergKapfenberg50W

Head-to-head matches

21.02.26Austrian BundesligaHartbergGrazer AK10L
18.10.25Austrian BundesligaGrazer AKHartberg00D
25.04.25BundesligaHartbergGrazer AK11D
22.04.25BundesligaGrazer AKHartberg03L
08.12.24BundesligaGrazer AKHartberg03L
31.08.24BundesligaHartbergGrazer AK11D

2.40Avg goals50%Both scored40%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Grazer AK vs Hartberg: head-to-head record

10 meetings since 2007: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

2Grazer AK wins

5Draws

3Hartberg wins

10:14Goals (Grazer AK : Hartberg)

2.40Goals per match

50%BTTS

80%Over 1.5

40%Over 2.5

20%Over 3.5

Grazer AK at home: 2-1-25:8 goals in 5 games
Hartberg at home: 1-4-06:5 goals in 5 games
Grazer AK's biggest win: 2–0Grazer AK 2–0 Hartberg, 5 Jun 2009
Hartberg's biggest win: 0–3Grazer AK 0–3 Hartberg, 22 Apr 2025

Meetings (10 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	Austrian Bundesliga	Hartberg	1–0	Grazer AK
18 Oct 2025	Austrian Bundesliga	Grazer AK	0–0	Hartberg
25 Apr 2025	Bundesliga	Hartberg	1–1	Grazer AK
22 Apr 2025	Bundesliga	Grazer AK	0–3	Hartberg
8 Dec 2024	Bundesliga	Grazer AK	0–3	Hartberg
31 Aug 2024	Bundesliga	Hartberg	1–1	Grazer AK
5 Jun 2009	Regionalliga	Grazer AK	2–0	Hartberg
31 Oct 2008	Regionalliga	Hartberg	1–1	Grazer AK
5 Apr 2008	Regionalliga	Hartberg	2–2	Grazer AK
23 Aug 2007	Regionalliga	Grazer AK	3–2	Hartberg

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Grazer AK0W 3D 2L · goals 4–13

L27.10Austria CupHAltach0–4
D24.10Austrian BundesligaATirol1–1
L18.10Austrian BundesligaASturm Graz1–6
D10.10Austrian BundesligaHSalzburg0–0
D19.09Austrian BundesligaHAustria Vienna2–2

Hartberg3W 1D 1L · goals 12–7

D27.10Austria CupAAustria Vienna1–1
W24.10Austrian BundesligaHWolfsberger AC1–0
L16.10Austrian BundesligaASK Rapid1–3
W11.10Austrian BundesligaHA. Lustenau4–3
W24.09Club FriendliesHKapfenberg5–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Grazer AKHartberg

0.8Goals scored per game2.6

2.3Goals conceded per game1.5

40%Both teams scored70%

50%Over 2.5 goals80%

3Clean sheets3

50%Failed to score0%

0-3-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-2-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Grazer AKHartberg

Bundesliga 2026/2027 · 6 gamesBundesliga 2025/2026 · 32 games

0.7Goals scored1.3

2.5Goals conceded1.3

3.7Corners3.1

12.7Shots9.2

46%Possession38%

3.2Yellow cards1.7

17%Clean sheets31%

67%Failed to score31%

0-2-0Home / away record (W-D-L)6-7-3

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Bundesliga

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
5	Ried	10	+1	15	DWWWD
6	Hartberg	10	-3	14	WLWDD
7	Tirol	10	-2	12	DWLLD
8	Grazer AK	10	-15	10	DLDDW
9	Altach	10	-6	9	WLWLL

About this match

Grazer AK vs Hartberg preview

Bundesliga fixture: Grazer AK welcome Hartberg on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 (20:30 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

Grazer AKLDLDD4 scored · 13 conceded

HartbergDWLWW12 scored · 7 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Grazer AKHartberg

0.8Goals scored per game2.6

2.3Goals conceded per game1.5

40%Both teams scored70%

50%Over 2.5 goals80%

3Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

2Grazer AK wins

5Draws

3Hartberg wins

10 meetings · 2.4 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

What's at stake

Grazer AK8th10 pts · 10 played

Hartberg6th14 pts · 10 played

Hartberg lead by 4 pts

Our pick

Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.562%Confidence1.98Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The market sees little between the sides: Grazer AK 2.63 (38%), draw 3.45 (29%), Hartberg 3.01 (33%).

The selection we rate highest is Over 2.5 goals: 62% confidence, priced at 1.98.

We also have Double chance: Draw or Hartberg (60%, 1.68) and Asian handicap: Hartberg +0.5 (60%, 1.54).

Recent form over the last 5: Grazer AK LDLDD (goals 4–13), Hartberg DWLWW (goals 12–7).

Both teams scored in 40% of Grazer AK's recent games and 70% of Hartberg's; over 2.5 goals landed in 50% and 80% respectively.

Per game, Grazer AK average 0.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Hartberg 2.6 and 1.5 (clean sheets: 3).

Across 10 head-to-head games the record reads 2–5–3 (wins–draws–losses) from Grazer AK's side.

Those 10 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

The last meeting (2026-02-21) ended Hartberg 1–0 Grazer AK.

Grazer AK sit 8th on 10 pts after 10 games, Hartberg 6th on 14 pts.

Nito explains: Grazer AK vs Hartberg

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Grazer AK vs Hartberg mean?

The best prices are 2.63 for a Grazer AK win, 3.45 for a draw and 3.01 for a Hartberg win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.63 returns 26.30 if Grazer AK win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 0.2% removed) that is 38% Grazer AK, 29% draw and 33% Hartberg.

What does Nito's pick "Over 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has more than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.98, the price implies a 51% chance; Nito's data rates it at 62%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Grazer AK and Hartberg matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Grazer AK's last 10 matches and 70% of Hartberg's last 10. In their 10 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Grazer AK reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Hartberg in 80% of their last 10. Their 10 meetings averaged 2.4 goals (40% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LDLDD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Grazer AK, last 5: 0 W · 3 D · 2 L (4 scored, 13 conceded). Hartberg, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (12 scored, 7 conceded).

Where do Grazer AK and Hartberg stand in the table?

Grazer AK are 8th with 10 points from 10 games. Hartberg are 6th with 14 points from 10 games. The gap between them is 4 points.

Grazer AK vs Hartberg: questions & answers

Who will win Grazer AK vs Hartberg?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Hartberg with 60% confidence (best price 1.68). Bookmaker odds imply Grazer AK 38%, draw 29%, Hartberg 33%.

Will both teams score in Grazer AK vs Hartberg?

Both teams scored in 50% of their 10 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Grazer AK's matches and 70% of Hartberg's.

What are the odds for Grazer AK vs Hartberg?

Odds: Grazer AK 2.63, draw 3.45, Hartberg 3.01. Our pick Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.98.

When is the Grazer AK vs Hartberg kick-off?

Grazer AK vs Hartberg kicks off on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 at 20:30 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Grazer AK and Hartberg?

10 meetings: Grazer AK 2 wins, 5 draws, Hartberg 3 wins. Those 10 games averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Grazer AK vs Hartberg prediction & odds

Grazer AK

Hartberg

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds