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Malmo FF vs Hammarby prediction & odds

Malmo FF

15:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 15:00

Hammarby

Odds 1X2

1Malmo FF4.45XDraw4.102Hammarby1.72Nito’s pick

Eleda Stadion

Malmo FFvsHammarby

Nito’s pick1.72

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Hammarby

1.72

63%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 63% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Allsvenskan
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 15:00 EET
Stadium: Eleda Stadion
Capacity: 24,148
City: Malmö

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Hammarby63%Confidence1.72Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.72 means bookmakers give it 58%; Nito's confidence is 63% (+5 pts)
Hammarby won 4 of their last 5 (goals 6–1); Malmo FF won 2 (goals 4–3)
In the table Hammarby are 2nd with 52 pts, Malmo FF 7th with 40 pts
In 50 meetings Hammarby won 15, Malmo FF won 22, 13 were drawn

Best price 1.72 means bookmakers give it 58%; Nito's confidence is 63% (+5 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 63% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Malmo FF21%4.45

Draw23%4.10

Hammarby55%1.72

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 5.0%

Malmo FF4.4521%Draw4.1023%Hammarby1.7255%

Total goals 2.5margin 5.8%

Over 2.51.5860%Under 2.52.3540%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

22Malmo FF wins

13Draws

15Hammarby wins

Last matches: Malmo FF

28.10.26AllsvenskanHalmstadMalmo FF03W
23.10.26AllsvenskanElfsborgMalmo FF00D
18.10.26AllsvenskanMalmo FFHacken01L
12.10.26AllsvenskanMalmo FFKalmar10W
19.09.26AllsvenskanVasteras SKMalmo FF20L

Last matches: Hammarby

29.10.26AllsvenskanHammarbySirius20W
25.10.26AllsvenskanMjallbyHammarby02W
18.10.26AllsvenskanHalmstadHammarby01W
11.10.26AllsvenskanHammarbyDjurgarden01L
20.09.26AllsvenskanDegerforsHammarby01W

Head-to-head matches

17.05.26AllsvenskanHammarbyMalmo FF41L
27.10.25AllsvenskanMalmo FFHammarby13L
23.04.25AllsvenskanHammarbyMalmo FF20L
02.11.24AllsvenskanHammarbyMalmo FF22D
07.04.24AllsvenskanMalmo FFHammarby20W
17.09.23AllsvenskanHammarbyMalmo FF13W

3.22Avg goals62%Both scored60%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Malmo FF vs Hammarby: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 1995: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

22Malmo FF wins

13Draws

15Hammarby wins

91:70Goals (Malmo FF : Hammarby)

3.22Goals per match

62%BTTS

78%Over 1.5

60%Over 2.5

48%Over 3.5

Malmo FF at home: 16-4-558:30 goals in 25 games
Hammarby at home: 10-9-640:33 goals in 25 games
Malmo FF's biggest win: 6–0Malmo FF 6–0 Hammarby, 16 Aug 2003
Hammarby's biggest win: 4–1Hammarby 4–1 Malmo FF, 17 May 2026

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
17 May 2026	Allsvenskan	Hammarby	4–1	Malmo FF
27 Oct 2025	Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	1–3	Hammarby
23 Apr 2025	Allsvenskan	Hammarby	2–0	Malmo FF
2 Nov 2024	Allsvenskan	Hammarby	2–2	Malmo FF
7 Apr 2024	Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	2–0	Hammarby
17 Sept 2023	Allsvenskan	Hammarby	1–3	Malmo FF
30 Apr 2023	Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	4–2	Hammarby
1 Oct 2022	Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	0–0	Hammarby
26 May 2022	Svenska Cupen	Hammarby	0–0	Malmo FF
2 May 2022	Allsvenskan	Hammarby	0–0	Malmo FF
29 Aug 2021	Allsvenskan	Hammarby	2–1	Malmo FF
10 Apr 2021	Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	3–2	Hammarby
22 Nov 2020	Allsvenskan	Hammarby	2–2	Malmo FF
23 Jul 2020	Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	3–0	Hammarby
20 Oct 2019	Allsvenskan	Hammarby	2–0	Malmo FF
24 Apr 2019	Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	4–1	Hammarby
20 Oct 2018	Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	2–1	Hammarby
16 May 2018	Allsvenskan	Hammarby	3–2	Malmo FF
17 Sept 2017	Allsvenskan	Malmo FF	4–0	Hammarby
17 May 2017	Allsvenskan	Hammarby	1–1	Malmo FF

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Malmo FF2W 1D 2L · goals 4–3

W28.10AllsvenskanAHalmstad3–0
D23.10AllsvenskanAElfsborg0–0
L18.10AllsvenskanHHacken0–1
W12.10AllsvenskanHKalmar1–0
L19.09AllsvenskanAVasteras SK0–2

Hammarby4W 0D 1L · goals 6–1

W29.10AllsvenskanHSirius2–0
W25.10AllsvenskanAMjallby2–0
W18.10AllsvenskanAHalmstad1–0
L11.10AllsvenskanHDjurgarden0–1
W20.09AllsvenskanADegerfors1–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Malmo FFHammarby

1.4Goals scored per game1.7

0.8Goals conceded per game0.6

20%Both teams scored30%

40%Over 2.5 goals30%

5Clean sheets6

50%Failed to score10%

2-1-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)4-1-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Malmo FFHammarby

Allsvenskan 2026 · 16 gamesAllsvenskan 2026 · 18 games

1.8Goals scored2.3

1.7Goals conceded1.0

4.6Corners6.3

13.5Shots21.9

55%Possession60%

2.3Yellow cards0.9

31%Clean sheets39%

6%Failed to score11%

3-0-5Home / away record (W-D-L)3-2-4

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Allsvenskan

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Sirius	26	+22	55	LLDWW
2	Hammarby	26	+33	52	WWWLW
3	Djurgarden	26	+29	49	DDWWL
6	Vasteras SK	26	+1	41	WLWLW
7	Malmo FF	26	+7	40	WDLWL
8	AIK	26	-3	38	DWDLL

Comments

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About this match

Malmo FF vs Hammarby preview

On Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 15:00, Malmo FF take on Hammarby in the Allsvenskan.

Form · last 5 matches

Malmo FFWDLWL4 scored · 3 conceded

HammarbyWWWLW6 scored · 1 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Malmo FFHammarby

1.4Goals scored per game1.7

0.8Goals conceded per game0.6

20%Both teams scored30%

40%Over 2.5 goals30%

5Clean sheets6

Head-to-head in numbers

22Malmo FF wins

13Draws

15Hammarby wins

50 meetings · 3.2 goals per game · both teams scored in 62%

What's at stake

Malmo FF7th40 pts · 26 played

Hammarby2nd52 pts · 26 played

Hammarby lead by 12 pts

Our pick

Hammarby to winHammarby63%Confidence1.72Price

Read the full match preview

Eleda Stadion hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Hammarby the favourite at 1.72 (55% implied), with the draw at 4.10 (23%).

Our strongest pick is Hammarby to win with 63% confidence at a best price of 1.72.

Malmo FF come into the game with WDLWL in their last 5 (4 scored, 3 conceded), while Hammarby have WWWLW (6 scored, 1 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 40% of Malmo FF's recent games and 30% of Hammarby's, with both teams scoring in 20% and 30%.

Per game, Malmo FF average 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (clean sheets: 5), Hammarby 1.7 and 0.6 (clean sheets: 6).

Head-to-head over 50 previous meetings: Malmo FF 22 wins, Hammarby 15 wins, draws 13.

Those 50 games averaged 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.

The last meeting (2026-05-17) ended Hammarby 4–1 Malmo FF.

In the table, Malmo FF are 7th (40 pts from 26 games) and Hammarby are 2nd (52 pts from 26).

Nito explains: Malmo FF vs Hammarby

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Malmo FF vs Hammarby mean?

The best prices are 4.45 for a Malmo FF win, 4.10 for a draw and 1.72 for a Hammarby win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 4.45 returns 44.50 if Malmo FF win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 5.0% removed) that is 21% Malmo FF, 23% draw and 55% Hammarby.

What does Nito's pick "Hammarby to win" mean?

It wins only if Hammarby win; a draw or a Malmo FF win loses. At 1.72, the price implies a 58% chance; Nito's data rates it at 63%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Malmo FF and Hammarby matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 20% of Malmo FF's last 10 matches and 30% of Hammarby's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 62%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Malmo FF reached that in 40% of their last 10 matches, Hammarby in 30% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 3.2 goals (60% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WDLWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Malmo FF, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (4 scored, 3 conceded). Hammarby, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (6 scored, 1 conceded).

Where do Malmo FF and Hammarby stand in the table?

Malmo FF are 7th with 40 points from 26 games. Hammarby are 2nd with 52 points from 26 games. The gap between them is 12 points.

Malmo FF vs Hammarby: questions & answers

Who will win Malmo FF vs Hammarby?

Our pick is Hammarby to win with 63% confidence (best price 1.72). Bookmaker odds imply Malmo FF 21%, draw 23%, Hammarby 55%.

Will both teams score in Malmo FF vs Hammarby?

Both teams scored in 62% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 20% of Malmo FF's matches and 30% of Hammarby's.

What are the odds for Malmo FF vs Hammarby?

Odds: Malmo FF 4.45, draw 4.10, Hammarby 1.72. Our pick Hammarby to win is available at 1.72.

When is the Malmo FF vs Hammarby kick-off?

Malmo FF vs Hammarby kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 15:00 (GMT+2) at Eleda Stadion.

What is the head-to-head record between Malmo FF and Hammarby?

50 meetings: Malmo FF 22 wins, 13 draws, Hammarby 15 wins. Those 50 games averaged 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.

Other Allsvenskan matches on 1 Nov

All Allsvenskan fixtures

Malmo FF vs Hammarby prediction & odds

Malmo FF

Hammarby

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds