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Heerenveen vs Nijmegen prediction & odds

Heerenveen

19:45

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 19:45

Nijmegen

Odds 1X2

1Heerenveen2.14Nito’s pickXDraw4.002Nijmegen3.22

Abe Lenstra Stadion

HeerenveenvsNijmegen

Nito’s pick2.14

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Heerenveen

2.14

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Eredivisie
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 19:45 EET
Stadium: Abe Lenstra Stadion
Capacity: 27,224
City: Heerenveen

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Heerenveen60%Confidence2.14Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 2.14 means bookmakers give it 47%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+13 pts)
Heerenveen won 4 of their last 5 (goals 13–4); Nijmegen won 1 (goals 10–8)
In the table Heerenveen are 7th with 15 pts, Nijmegen 12th with 11 pts
In 50 meetings Heerenveen won 20, Nijmegen won 18, 12 were drawn

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Heerenveen45%2.14

Draw24%4.00

Nijmegen30%3.22

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.8%

Heerenveen2.1445%Draw4.0024%Nijmegen3.2230%

Double chance

Heerenveen or Draw1.28Heerenveen or Nijmegen1.16Draw or Nijmegen1.77

1st-half resultmargin 15.2%

Heerenveen2.3337%Draw2.5234%Nijmegen3.0728%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Heerenveen1.9450%Nijmegen1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

20Heerenveen wins

12Draws

18Nijmegen wins

Last matches: Heerenveen

28.10.26KNVB CupExcelsior MaassluisHeerenveen02W
24.10.26EredivisieDen HaagHeerenveen23W
16.10.26EredivisieHeerenveenExcelsior40W
09.10.26EredivisiePSVHeerenveen20L
19.09.26EredivisieSparta RotterdamHeerenveen04W

Last matches: Nijmegen

25.10.26EredivisieNijmegenGroningen22D

Heerenveen vs Nijmegen: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 1996: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

20Heerenveen wins

12Draws

18Nijmegen wins

79:73Goals (Heerenveen : Nijmegen)

3.04Goals per match

58%BTTS

82%Over 1.5

60%Over 2.5

40%Over 3.5

Heerenveen at home: 12-6-744:31 goals in 25 games
Nijmegen at home: 11-6-842:35 goals in 25 games
Heerenveen's biggest win: 5–0Heerenveen 5–0 Nijmegen, 6 Apr 2001
Nijmegen's biggest win: 3–0Nijmegen 3–0 Heerenveen, 19 Oct 2024

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
22 Mar 2026	Eredivisie	Nijmegen	2–2	Heerenveen
21 Sept 2025	Eredivisie	Heerenveen	3–2

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Heerenveen4W 0D 1L · goals 13–4

W28.10KNVB CupAExcelsior Maassluis2–0
W24.10EredivisieADen Haag3–2
W16.10EredivisieHExcelsior4–0
L09.10EredivisieAPSV0–2
W19.09EredivisieASparta Rotterdam4–0

Nijmegen1W 4D 0L · goals 10–8

D25.10EredivisieHGroningen2–2
W22.10Europa LeagueADin. Zagreb4–2
D18.10EredivisieHSittard2–2
D15.10Europa LeagueHLevski Sofia

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

HeerenveenNijmegen

1.9Goals scored per game1.4

1.3Goals conceded per game2.2

40%Both teams scored80%

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

4Clean sheets0

30%Failed to score20%

1-1-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-2

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

HeerenveenNijmegen

Eredivisie 2025/2026 · 35 gamesEredivisie 2026/2027 · 7 games

1.7Goals scored1.7

1.6Goals conceded1.9

5.6Corners5.0

14.9Shots15.1

51%Possession61%

1.5Yellow cards1.6

14%Clean sheets0%

23%Failed to score14%

8-6-3Home / away record (W-D-L)2-0-1

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Eredivisie

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	Sittard	10	0	18	WDDWL
7	Heerenveen	10	+5	15	WWLWD
8	Groningen	10	+3	15	DLWWD
11	Utrecht	10	-10	12	DWWLW
12	Nijmegen	10	-1	11	DDDDL
13	Excelsior	10	-3	11

Comments

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About this match

Heerenveen vs Nijmegen preview

Heerenveen host Nijmegen in the Eredivisie on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 19:45.

Form · last 5 matches

HeerenveenWWWLW13 scored · 4 conceded

NijmegenDWDDD10 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

HeerenveenNijmegen

1.9Goals scored per game1.4

1.3Goals conceded per game2.2

40%Both teams scored80%

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

4Clean sheets0

Head-to-head in numbers

20Heerenveen wins

12Draws

18Nijmegen wins

50 meetings · 3.0 goals per game · both teams scored in 58%

What's at stake

Heerenveen7th15 pts · 10 played

Nito explains: Heerenveen vs Nijmegen

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Heerenveen vs Nijmegen mean?

The best prices are 2.14 for a Heerenveen win, 4.00 for a draw and 3.22 for a Nijmegen win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.14 returns 21.40 if Heerenveen win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 2.8% removed) that is 45% Heerenveen, 24% draw and 30% Nijmegen.

What does Nito's pick "Heerenveen to win" mean?

It wins only if Heerenveen win; a draw or a Nijmegen win loses. At 2.14, the price implies a 47% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Heerenveen and Nijmegen matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Heerenveen's last 10 matches and 80% of Nijmegen's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 58%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Heerenveen reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Nijmegen in 70% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 3.0 goals (60% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWWLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Heerenveen, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (13 scored, 4 conceded). Nijmegen, last 5: 1 W · 4 D · 0 L (10 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do Heerenveen and Nijmegen stand in the table?

Heerenveen are 7th with 15 points from 10 games. Nijmegen are 12th with 11 points from 10 games. The gap between them is 4 points.

Heerenveen vs Nijmegen: questions & answers

Who will win Heerenveen vs Nijmegen?

Our pick is Heerenveen to win with 60% confidence (best price 2.14). Bookmaker odds imply Heerenveen 45%, draw 24%, Nijmegen 30%.

Will both teams score in Heerenveen vs Nijmegen?

Both teams scored in 58% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Heerenveen's matches and 80% of Nijmegen's.

What are the odds for Heerenveen vs Nijmegen?

Odds: Heerenveen 2.14, draw 4.00, Nijmegen 3.22. Our pick Heerenveen to win is available at 2.14.

When is the Heerenveen vs Nijmegen kick-off?

Heerenveen vs Nijmegen kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 19:45 (GMT+2) at Abe Lenstra Stadion.

What is the head-to-head record between Heerenveen and Nijmegen?

50 meetings: Heerenveen 20 wins, 12 draws, Nijmegen 18 wins. Those 50 games averaged 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.

Heerenveen vs Nijmegen prediction & odds

Heerenveen

Nijmegen

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds