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Huachipato vs La Serena prediction & odds

Huachipato

17:00

Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 17:00

La Serena

Odds 1X2

1Huachipato2.34XDraw3.652La Serena3.00

Estadio CAP

HuachipatovsLa Serena

Nito’s pick2.24

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

2.24

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Liga De Primera
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 17:00 EET
Stadium: Estadio CAP
Capacity: 10,579
City: Talcahuano

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence2.24Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 2.24 means bookmakers give it 45%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+15 pts)
3+ goals in 40% of Huachipato's last 5 and 70% of La Serena's
Goals per game in the last 5: Huachipato matches 3.0, La Serena matches 3.5
Their 27 meetings average 2.9 goals; both teams scored in 59%

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.24

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 60%, 15 points above the 45% the best price of 2.24 implies.

Asian handicap -0.25Huachipato -0.25

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.99

Asian handicap: Huachipato -0.25: our confidence is 60%, 10 points above the 50% the best price of 1.99 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Huachipato41%2.34

Draw26%3.65

La Serena32%3.00

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.5%

Huachipato2.3441%Draw3.6526%La Serena3.0032%

Total goals 2.5margin 5.2%

Over 2.51.6558%Under 2.52.2442%

1st-half resultmargin 6.1%

Huachipato2.8433%Draw2.4139%La Serena3.4028%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

13Huachipato wins

6Draws

8La Serena wins

Last matches: Huachipato

23.10.26Liga De PrimeraA. ItalianoHuachipato11D
10.10.26Liga De PrimeraHuachipatoO'Higgins20W
02.10.26Liga De PrimeraU. De ConcepcionHuachipato02W
06.09.26Liga De PrimeraHuachipatoColo Colo00D
22.08.26Liga De PrimeraHuachipatoLimache13L

Last matches: La Serena

24.10.26Liga De PrimeraLa SerenaD. Concepcion31W
11.10.26Liga De PrimeraEvertonLa Serena32L
13.09.26Liga De PrimeraLa SerenaU. De Chile03L
06.09.26Liga De PrimeraLa SerenaNublense21W
31.08.26Liga De PrimeraUnion La CaleraLa Serena01W

Head-to-head matches

26.04.26Liga De PrimeraLa SerenaHuachipato00D
24.08.25PrimeraLa SerenaHuachipato02W
30.03.25PrimeraHuachipatoLa Serena31W
14.08.22PrimeraLa SerenaHuachipato01W
20.03.22PrimeraHuachipatoLa Serena23L
29.10.21PrimeraLa SerenaHuachipato22D

2.93Avg goals59%Both scored59%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Huachipato vs La Serena: head-to-head record

27 meetings since 2004: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

13Huachipato wins

6Draws

8La Serena wins

45:34Goals (Huachipato : La Serena)

2.93Goals per match

59%BTTS

78%Over 1.5

59%Over 2.5

41%Over 3.5

Huachipato at home: 7-4-225:15 goals in 13 games
La Serena at home: 6-2-619:20 goals in 14 games
Huachipato's biggest win: 0–3La Serena 0–3 Huachipato, 1 Apr 2010
La Serena's biggest win: 0–4Huachipato 0–4 La Serena, 19 Mar 2011

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
26 Apr 2026	Liga De Primera	La Serena	0–0	Huachipato
24 Aug 2025	Primera	La Serena	0–2	Huachipato
30 Mar 2025	Primera	Huachipato	3–1	La Serena
14 Aug 2022	Primera	La Serena	0–1	Huachipato
20 Mar 2022	Primera	Huachipato	2–3	La Serena
29 Oct 2021	Primera	La Serena	2–2	Huachipato
25 Jul 2021	Primera	Huachipato	0–0	La Serena
15 Nov 2020	Primera	La Serena	1–0	Huachipato
25 Sept 2020	Primera	Huachipato	1–1	La Serena
22 Jul 2012	Primera	La Serena	2–1	Huachipato
11 Feb 2012	Primera	Huachipato	1–1	La Serena
24 Sept 2011	Primera	La Serena	1–0	Huachipato
19 Mar 2011	Primera	Huachipato	0–4	La Serena
15 Oct 2010	Primera	Huachipato	0–0	La Serena
1 Apr 2010	Primera	La Serena	0–3	Huachipato
8 Aug 2009	Primera	Huachipato	2–0	La Serena
26 Feb 2009	Primera	La Serena	3–1	Huachipato
21 Sept 2008	Primera	Huachipato	4–1	La Serena
29 Mar 2008	Primera	La Serena	2–1	Huachipato
27 Sept 2007	Primera	La Serena	4–1	Huachipato

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Huachipato2W 2D 1L · goals 6–4

D23.10Liga De PrimeraAA. Italiano1–1
W10.10Liga De PrimeraHO'Higgins2–0
W02.10Liga De PrimeraAU. De Concepcion2–0
D06.09Liga De PrimeraHColo Colo0–0
L22.08Liga De PrimeraHLimache1–3

La Serena3W 0D 2L · goals 8–8

W24.10Liga De PrimeraHD. Concepcion3–1
L11.10Liga De PrimeraAEverton2–3
L13.09Liga De PrimeraHU. De Chile0–3
W06.09Liga De PrimeraHNublense2–1
W31.08Liga De PrimeraAUnion La Calera1–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

HuachipatoLa Serena

1.2Goals scored per game1.8

1.8Goals conceded per game1.7

50%Both teams scored70%

40%Over 2.5 goals70%

4Clean sheets2

20%Failed to score10%

1-2-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-2-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

HuachipatoLa Serena

Primera Division 2026 · 17 gamesPrimera Division 2026 · 16 games

1.5Goals scored1.5

1.6Goals conceded1.8

3.4Corners4.2

11.9Shots11.9

45%Possession48%

2.5Yellow cards2.5

24%Clean sheets25%

35%Failed to score25%

5-1-2Home / away record (W-D-L)1-3-3

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Primera

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
6	Limache	25	+9	37	WDLWW
7	Huachipato	25	-5	35	DWWWD
8	Nublense	25	-8	35	WLLLL
9	La Serena	25	-3	33	WLLWW
10	Coquimbo	25	+1	32	LWLLL

Comments

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About this match

Huachipato vs La Serena preview

Huachipato host La Serena in the Liga De Primera on Sun, 1 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.

Form · last 5 matches

HuachipatoDWWDL6 scored · 4 conceded

La SerenaWLLWW8 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

HuachipatoLa Serena

1.2Goals scored per game1.8

1.8Goals conceded per game1.7

50%Both teams scored70%

40%Over 2.5 goals70%

4Clean sheets2

Head-to-head in numbers

13Huachipato wins

6Draws

8La Serena wins

27 meetings · 2.9 goals per game · both teams scored in 59%

What's at stake

Huachipato7th35 pts · 25 played

La Serena9th33 pts · 25 played

Huachipato lead by 2 pts

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.560%Confidence2.24Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Estadio CAP hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Huachipato the favourite at 2.34 (41% implied), with the draw at 3.65 (26%).

The selection we rate highest is Under 2.5 goals: 60% confidence, priced at 2.24.

We also have Asian handicap: Huachipato -0.25 (60%, 1.99).

Huachipato come into the game with DWWDL in their last 5 (6 scored, 4 conceded), while La Serena have WLLWW (8 scored, 8 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 40% of Huachipato's recent games and 70% of La Serena's, with both teams scoring in 50% and 70%.

Per game, Huachipato average 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (clean sheets: 4), La Serena 1.8 and 1.7 (clean sheets: 2).

Head-to-head over 27 previous meetings: Huachipato 13 wins, La Serena 8 wins, draws 6.

Those 27 games averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 59% of them.

The last meeting (2026-04-26) ended La Serena 0–0 Huachipato.

In the table, Huachipato are 7th (35 pts from 25 games) and La Serena are 9th (33 pts from 25).

Nito explains: Huachipato vs La Serena

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Huachipato vs La Serena mean?

The best prices are 2.34 for a Huachipato win, 3.65 for a draw and 3.00 for a La Serena win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.34 returns 23.40 if Huachipato win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.5% removed) that is 41% Huachipato, 26% draw and 32% La Serena.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 2.24, the price implies a 45% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Huachipato and La Serena matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Huachipato's last 10 matches and 70% of La Serena's last 10. In their 27 recorded meetings it was 59%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Huachipato reached that in 40% of their last 10 matches, La Serena in 70% of their last 10. Their 27 meetings averaged 2.9 goals (59% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DWWDL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Huachipato, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (6 scored, 4 conceded). La Serena, last 5: 3 W · 0 D · 2 L (8 scored, 8 conceded).

Where do Huachipato and La Serena stand in the table?

Huachipato are 7th with 35 points from 25 games. La Serena are 9th with 33 points from 25 games. The gap between them is 2 points.

Huachipato vs La Serena: questions & answers

Who will win Huachipato vs La Serena?

Our pick is Asian handicap: Huachipato -0.25 with 60% confidence (best price 1.99). Bookmaker odds imply Huachipato 41%, draw 26%, La Serena 32%.

Will both teams score in Huachipato vs La Serena?

Both teams scored in 59% of their 27 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Huachipato's matches and 70% of La Serena's.

What are the odds for Huachipato vs La Serena?

Odds: Huachipato 2.34, draw 3.65, La Serena 3.00. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.24.

When is the Huachipato vs La Serena kick-off?

Huachipato vs La Serena kicks off on Sun, 1 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2) at Estadio CAP.

What is the head-to-head record between Huachipato and La Serena?

27 meetings: Huachipato 13 wins, 6 draws, La Serena 8 wins. Those 27 games averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 59% of them.

Other Liga De Primera matches on 1 Nov

All Liga De Primera fixtures

Huachipato vs La Serena prediction & odds

Huachipato

La Serena

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds