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Mjallby vs Kalmar prediction & odds

Mjallby

20:00
Kick-off Mon 2 Nov, 20:00

Kalmar

Odds 1X2
1Mjallby2.46XDraw3.452Kalmar2.92
Strandvallen
MjallbyvsKalmarNito’s pick1.91

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
1.91

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Allsvenskan
Kick-off
Stadium
Strandvallen
Capacity
7,500
City
Sölvesborg

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence1.91Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.91 means bookmakers give it 52%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+8 pts)
  • 3+ goals in 20% of Mjallby's last 5 and 30% of Kalmar's
  • Goals per game in the last 5: Mjallby matches 2.0, Kalmar matches 1.6
  • Their 30 meetings average 2.8 goals; both teams scored in 47%

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Mjallby39%2.46
Draw28%3.45
Kalmar33%2.90

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.9%
Mjallby2.4639%Draw3.4528%Kalmar2.9233%
Total goals 2.5margin 5.3%
Over 2.51.8950%Under 2.51.9150%
Asian handicapmargin 4.7%
Mjallby -0.252.0646%Kalmar +0.251.7854%
More markets (1)
1st-half resultmargin 6.4%
Mjallby2.9832%Draw2.2542%Kalmar3.5227%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Comments

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About this match

Mjallby vs Kalmar preview

On Mon, 2 Nov 2026 at 20:00, Mjallby take on Kalmar in the Allsvenskan.