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KCCA vs UPDF prediction & odds

KCCA

19:00

Kick-off Thu 22 Oct, 19:00

UPDF

MTN Omondi Stadium

KCCAvsUPDF

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)KCCA

1.35

75%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Premier League
Kick-off: Thu 22 Oct 19:00 EEST
Stadium: MTN Omondi Stadium
Capacity: 10,000
City: Kampala

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)KCCA75%Confidence1.35Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.35 means bookmakers give it 74%; Nito's confidence is 75% (+1 pts)
KCCA won 4 of their last 5 (goals 6–1); UPDF won 2 (goals 3–4)
In the table KCCA are 9th with 10 pts, UPDF 11th with 8 pts
In 2 meetings KCCA won 2, UPDF won 0, 0 were drawn

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 75% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)KCCAHigh confidence

Confidence75%

Indicative price1.35

KCCA to win: our confidence is 75% at a best price of 1.35.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence

Confidence68%

Indicative price1.89

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 68%, 15 points above the 53% the best price of 1.89 implies.

Asian handicap -1UPDF +1

Confidence62%

Indicative price2.29

Asian handicap: UPDF +1: our confidence is 62%, 18 points above the 44% the best price of 2.29 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

No odds published yet — prices appear closer to kick-off

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

2KCCA wins

0Draws

0UPDF wins

Last matches: KCCA

28.10.26Premier LeagueKCCALugazi21W
13.10.26Premier LeagueKCCA02W
09.10.26Premier LeagueURA SCKCCA01W
16.09.26Premier LeagueKCCA10W
08.09.26Premier LeagueKCCA00D

Last matches: UPDF

27.10.26Premier LeagueUPDFURA SC01L
18.10.26Premier LeagueUPDFBUL02L
15.10.26Premier LeagueExpressUPDF12W
17.09.26Premier LeagueUPDFMaroons10W
10.09.26Premier LeaguePoliceUPDF00D

Head-to-head matches

13.05.26Premier LeagueUPDFKCCA12W
27.01.26Premier LeagueKCCAUPDF40W

3.50Avg goals50%Both scored100%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

KCCA vs UPDF: head-to-head record

2 meetings since 2026: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

2KCCA wins

0Draws

0UPDF wins

6:1Goals (KCCA : UPDF)

3.50Goals per match

50%BTTS

100%Over 1.5

100%Over 2.5

50%Over 3.5

KCCA at home: 1-0-04:0 goals in 1 games
UPDF at home: 0-0-11:2 goals in 1 games
KCCA's biggest win: 4–0KCCA 4–0 UPDF, 27 Jan 2026

Meetings (2 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
13 May 2026	Premier League	UPDF	1–2	KCCA
27 Jan 2026	Premier League	KCCA	4–0	UPDF

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

KCCA4W 1D 0L · goals 6–1

W28.10Premier LeagueHLugazi2–1
W13.10Premier LeagueA2–0
W09.10Premier LeagueAURA SC1–0
W16.09Premier LeagueH1–0
D08.09Premier LeagueA0–0

UPDF2W 1D 2L · goals 3–4

L27.10Premier LeagueHURA SC0–1
L18.10Premier LeagueHBUL0–2
W15.10Premier LeagueAExpress2–1
W17.09Premier LeagueHMaroons1–0
D10.09Premier LeagueAPolice0–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

KCCAUPDF

1.2Goals scored per game0.6

0.7Goals conceded per game1.0

30%Both teams scored40%

30%Over 2.5 goals40%

5Clean sheets4

40%Failed to score50%

3-0-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Premier League

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
8	Maroons	7	+5	10	WDWLL
9	Kampala City	6	0	10	WWWDL
10	Kitara	4	+2	8	WWDD
11	UPDF	7	-2	8	LLWWD
12	Lugazi	7	-5	8	DDLLW

Comments

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About this match

KCCA vs UPDF preview

KCCA host UPDF in the Premier League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 19:00.

Form · last 5 matches

KCCAWWWWD6 scored · 1 conceded

UPDFLLWWD3 scored · 4 conceded

Key facts · last 5

KCCAUPDF

1.2Goals scored per game0.6

0.7Goals conceded per game1.0

30%Both teams scored40%

30%Over 2.5 goals40%

5Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

2KCCA wins

0Draws

0UPDF wins

2 meetings · 3.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 50%

What's at stake

KCCA9th10 pts · 6 played

UPDF11th8 pts · 7 played

KCCA lead by 2 pts

Our pick

KCCA to winKCCA75%Confidence1.35Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

MTN Omondi Stadium hosts the match.

Our strongest pick is KCCA to win with 75% confidence at a best price of 1.35.

We also have Under 2.5 goals (68%, 1.89) and Asian handicap: UPDF +1 (62%, 2.29).

KCCA come into the game with WWWWD in their last 5 (6 scored, 1 conceded), while UPDF have LLWWD (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 30% of KCCA's recent games and 40% of UPDF's, with both teams scoring in 30% and 40%.

Per game, KCCA average 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (clean sheets: 5), UPDF 0.6 and 1.0 (clean sheets: 4).

Head-to-head over 2 previous meetings: KCCA 2 wins, UPDF 0 wins, draws 0.

Those 2 games averaged 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

The last meeting (2026-05-13) ended UPDF 1–2 KCCA.

In the table, KCCA are 9th (10 pts from 6 games) and UPDF are 11th (8 pts from 7).

Nito explains: KCCA vs UPDF

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What does Nito's pick "KCCA to win" mean?

It wins only if KCCA win; a draw or a UPDF win loses. At 1.35, the price implies a 74% chance; Nito's data rates it at 75%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do KCCA and UPDF matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 30% of KCCA's last 10 matches and 40% of UPDF's last 10. In their 2 recorded meetings it was 50%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. KCCA reached that in 30% of their last 10 matches, UPDF in 40% of their last 10. Their 2 meetings averaged 3.5 goals (100% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWWWD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. KCCA, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (6 scored, 1 conceded). UPDF, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Where do KCCA and UPDF stand in the table?

KCCA are 9th with 10 points from 6 games. UPDF are 11th with 8 points from 7 games. The gap between them is 2 points.

KCCA vs UPDF: questions & answers

Who will win KCCA vs UPDF?

Our pick is KCCA to win with 75% confidence (best price 1.35).

Will both teams score in KCCA vs UPDF?

Both teams scored in 50% of their 2 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 30% of KCCA's matches and 40% of UPDF's.

When is the KCCA vs UPDF kick-off?

KCCA vs UPDF kicks off on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (GMT+3) at MTN Omondi Stadium.

What is the head-to-head record between KCCA and UPDF?

2 meetings: KCCA 2 wins, 0 draws, UPDF 0 wins. Those 2 games averaged 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

KCCA vs UPDF prediction & odds

KCCA

UPDF

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Odds comparison

Odds